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January General Banter Thread III


Isopycnic

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I imagine it's been heart-breaking for most people...but there are still people (mostly lurkers) who're watching this storm because we may have some potential...or hope we do. ʘ‿ʘ

I've been using the bufkit for KAVL (Asheville 60 miles to my NE) and BRA (Brasstown? 30 miles to my SW) in an attempt to see what I could get here in Franklin.

The Asheville numbers show around an inch and the BRA numbers show 5 inches. We'll see.

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Aftering putting some much time into this one, I think I will continue to follow the system.

I can't believe how many people are still following this one east of the Mountains/Foothills in NC when it is essentially DOA.

NICE. My friend just sent me to info yesterday. Looks like a lot of fun. My wife will not be going. Stuff like this is not up her alley.

Hey Strong, my wife and I are running in it! It looks like a blast

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Aftering putting some much time into this one, I think I will continue to follow the system.

NICE. My friend just sent me to info yesterday. Looks like a lot of fun. My wife will not be going. Stuff like this is not up her alley.

Agreed, following at work to see who gets the dump load of snow, don't care if it's not me. Just an intense deal that I like to watch.:thumbsup:

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I think the biggest heartbreak of all with this system is not so much the no snow, but the fact a big dry spot opens up right over central NC and SC so we don't even get a good ****ing rain out of it if last night's NAM verifies...at least the 6z came in wetter but I was sort of looking forward to the high QPF it was painting the last few days if we couldn't get any snow.

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I think the biggest heartbreak of all with this system is not so much the no snow, but the fact a big dry spot opens up right over central NC and SC so we don't even get a good ****ing rain out of it if last night's NAM verifies...at least the 6z came in wetter but I was sort of looking forward to the high QPF it was painting the last few days if we couldn't get any snow.

that's just what was modeled though burger, it's radar time so keep an eye on it. I hope ya'll get a get dose of water out of it! Lord knows some of the areas need it.

I'm surrently .62" ahead of GSP on water this year, and after this system should be normal or above.:maprain:

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Gut punch....

I think the biggest heartbreak of all with this system is not so much the no snow, but the fact a big dry spot opens up right over central NC and SC so we don't even get a good ****ing rain out of it if last night's NAM verifies...at least the 6z came in wetter but I was sort of looking forward to the high QPF it was painting the last few days if we couldn't get any snow.

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I think the biggest heartbreak of all with this system is not so much the no snow, but the fact a big dry spot opens up right over central NC and SC so we don't even get a good ****ing rain out of it if last night's NAM verifies...at least the 6z came in wetter but I was sort of looking forward to the high QPF it was painting the last few days if we couldn't get any snow.

I agree, I was really looking forward to 1"+ rain event, we haven't had that in a while here and we need it. A silver lining though is that suppose the cold air had been there with this storm and all we needed was a good track and qpf, yesterday it looked like we had both and now today we have nothing. That would have been much worse to go from looking at 1 foot type snows to a few inches. This board would have been on major tilt.

Drought to linger

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I can't believe how many people are still following this one east of the Mountains/Foothills in NC when it is essentially DOA.

I've been on the "rain train" with this system for quite a while, probably one of the first I think, and it has been a bit surprising to see so many still following it outside of the mountains. I think those in the foothills of nc have had some reason to because there has been some model runs that showed them getting hit but otherwise, it's been a lost cause for a while for most.

I don't mind getting some rain to be honest, heck especially since it could be a lot of rain..it's been a while since I've gotten a big one. So getting rain this time isn't bothering me a bit. What is bothering me though and what is by far the worst thing about this system is....dc..in particular ji, is likely to get hammered. :axe:

It's probably wrong for a member of the staff to say they have animosity toward a region or city in public but hell everyone already knows I do anyway lol. I don't care if new england gets 20 feet or Va gets 20 feet, but I have such a strong dislike toward dc because of spoiled little kids like ji that are around there that it drives me crazy when they get hit. This year it won't be quite as irritating since I've done so well and this is only their first real storm but still it stings. Especially after all the snow they had last year. Most years though, when none of us have really gotten anything, it really drives me up the wall. I root against it and I curse it every time it happens. In some respects though I feel a bit guilty because it means good people like some that are on this staff would be missed but damn it people like ji has done such a number on me I can't help it.

My girlfriend thinks I'm crazy because of it too :lol: I try to explain to her it's because after 10 plus years of hearing them complain the most only to get drilled over and over, I can't help it..it's like the spoiled rich kid crying about not getting an even more expensive toy. She of course has none of it and thinks it's really stupid but hilarious. She laughs her ass off every time I get upset about it lol. It's bad because I try my best not to let it get to me but I can't help it. So I'm sure I'll be giving her a good laugh here a time or two in the next day or so :arrowhead:

One good thing about going to subforums though is I have not had to listen or watch them whine since. So my dislike toward it happening is slowly going down a tiny bit. But after so many years of having to deal with it and listen to it, it's going to take a while for it to get to a reasonable level lol

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I agree, I was really looking forward to 1"+ rain event, we haven't had that in a while here and we need it. A silver lining though is that suppose the cold air had been there with this storm and all we needed was a good track and qpf, yesterday it looked like we had both and now today we have nothing. That would have been much worse to go from looking at 1 foot type snows to a few inches. This board would have been on major tilt.

Drought to linger

It's amazing to go back and think about all the changes we've been through w/ this storm. We started out w/ a nice little snow that was supposed to happen on Monday. Then that sheared out and there was going to be a big storm for Tuesday. After that we were trying to see if it was going to be the perfect track for our back yard. (inland, coastal, etc...). Then, oh no, where did the cold air go? Models showing good track but no cold because storm keeps getting pushed back. Finally used to the idea that it's not going to snow but you would really like a good rain maker. Now we have to watch and see if the big rain is actually going to hold on. Did I miss anything?

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In the beginning I could say when I-85 west was looking like the greatest snow chance, I was excited...even though Wake Co is far east of that area...When I-77 west looked like the majic spot, my excitement dwendled down to nothing at all. BUT, I think the reason why posters and mets even in the rain area still followed this storm was because, well, we like following big storms. If this was lacking moisture, this board would have been dead...but since it kept showing tons of moisture in the SE (1"-3" liquid) and a track and a bombing low, it was just fun to watch the models. Any storm dumping that much is fun to watch evolve, despite the chance of snow. So I'm not surprised at all this disco was so great leading up to the storm, especially with the back and forth and uncertainty between the models.

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It's amazing to go back and think about all the changes we've been through w/ this storm. We started out w/ a nice little snow that was supposed to happen on Monday. Then that sheared out and there was going to be a big storm for Tuesday. After that we were trying to see if it was going to be the perfect track for our back yard. (inland, coastal, etc...). Then, oh no, where did the cold air go? Models showing good track but no cold because storm keeps getting pushed back. Finally used to the idea that it's not going to snow but you would really like a good rain maker. Now it might be to far north and we dont' get the big rain. Did I miss anything?

Nope. You got it just about right. Anybody ready to do it all over again?

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It's amazing to go back and think about all the changes we've been through w/ this storm. We started out w/ a nice little snow that was supposed to happen on Monday. Then that sheared out and there was going to be a big storm for Tuesday. After that we were trying to see if it was going to be the perfect track for our back yard. (inland, coastal, etc...). Then, oh no, where did the cold air go? Models showing good track but no cold because storm keeps getting pushed back. Finally used to the idea that it's not going to snow but you would really like a good rain maker. Now we have to watch and see if the big rain is actually going to hold on. Did I miss anything?

Yeah this system has been wild with respect to the models flip flopping around like a fish out of water. For a while it did look like a decent one to two inch snow here on monday before the models totally changed. I'm not sure I've seen so many run to run changes with the gfs/nam as with this one. The nam especially..one run it had the low go through central ga the next it was 400 miles south in the gulf. Sensible weather wise for many it didn't mean a lot since cold air has been so lacking but the models have had a terrible time with this one.

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I can't wait to go back to a normal sleeping pattern for the next week or so!

Burger, you just need to go to bed at normal time like I do. Then get up and open up the page that you left off at the night before with a nice cup of coffee. Then you can scroll through and catch up on what happened the night before at your own pace. It's like TIVO for snow weenies.

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Burger, you just need to go to bed at normal time like I do. Then get up and open up the page that you left off at the night before with a nice cup of coffee. Then you can scroll through and catch up on what happened the night before at your own pace. It's like TIVO for snow weenies.

LOL! I do the same exact thing. I catch up on the board rather than go straight to the models. It's so much more of a fun way to get disappointed. Instead of go straight to the models and get discouraged immediately, it's so much more fun to get the play by play and the emotional up swings and down swings that go with it. "Heavy snow in Central NC at 30!" "Central NC, like RDU??! Yeah baby!" "No, Central NC like GSO. Heavy dry slot at RDU." "Crap!"

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And somewhere, in a cold, lonely, hotel room, our banned Raleigh Met reads the board today, smiles wryly and says, "I told you f-bombers I was right"

lets not give credit for the wrong reasons though. The 5H went from Mobile to Montgomery and is going to really be in MEM area and possibly further north of there in 18 hours. I just updated my map call, but this has trended well west and north. Had the 5H did what we thought 2 to 3 days ago, theres no doubt the system would have thrown down snow with the def. band as it swept through...turns out, that band is going from western TN to southern Indiana and southern Ohio and part of Kentucky I think....which is much much further north and west, and nobody called for that.

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