snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 from other Does anybody know about any site besides PSU that has access to the GFS individual ensemble members? PSU is fine for 6z, 12z, and 18z because the members come out roughly half an hour after the OP run has finished. For whatever reason though at 0z they don't update til about 4 in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Does anybody know about any site besides PSU that has access to the GFS individual ensemble members? PSU is fine for 6z, 12z, and 18z because the members come out roughly half an hour after the OP run has finished. For whatever reason though at 0z they don't update til about 4 in the morning. I think accuwx pro does but im not sure what time it updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Does anybody know about any site besides PSU that has access to the GFS individual ensemble members? PSU is fine for 6z, 12z, and 18z because the members come out roughly half an hour after the OP run has finished. For whatever reason though at 0z they don't update til about 4 in the morning. i just got ewall psu as well. now i have a question...any news on the uk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 Does anybody know about any site besides PSU that has access to the GFS individual ensemble members? PSU is fine for 6z, 12z, and 18z because the members come out roughly half an hour after the OP run has finished. For whatever reason though at 0z they don't update til about 4 in the morning. I believe Raleighwx does but I'm not sure when it updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 i just got ewall psu as well. now i have a question...any news on the uk? goes to central NC and then off the Jersey shore at 96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 goes to central NC and then off the Jersey shore at 96 hours. yup just saw it....maybe a tad west not a sig change from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I believe Raleighwx does but I'm not sure when it updates. He does indeed. Reasonable time too. 12.35 am EST for the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 Maybe this will be another January 2009 again. Talk about a model mess. I think Indianapolis went from 0 inches of snow to 13 in the blink of a eye lol. Maybe eastern/central Ohio will be the big winners this time. That storm was dead in the water here as close as 60-72 hours out. Ended up with about 5" but much more not far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Maybe this will be another January 2009 again. Talk about a model mess. I think Indianapolis went from 0 inches of snow to 13 in the blink of a eye lol. Maybe eastern/central Ohio will be the big winners this time. the way that precip shield is being depicted i'd say it'll either be something like that or a whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Ukie basically looks like the GGEM track wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 DT has maps out. http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/NE1g.jpg http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/mid1g1.jpg (I wished I had a dog in this show.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 That storm was dead in the water here as close as 60-72 hours out. Ended up with about 5" but much more not far away. don't remember that one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 DT has maps out. http://www.wxrisk.co...011/01/NE1g.jpg http://www.wxrisk.co...1/01/mid1g1.jpg (I wished I had a dog in this show.) i'll put it in the map file with margusity's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Ukie basically looks like the GGEM track wise. does the same thing....starts out as an apprunner then makes a right at about NC/VA as OHweather pointed out, that lakes low might be acting as a mini temporary block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 don't remember that one... That was the huge Kentucky ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Never seen anything like it. Closest to the infamous January 2000 east coast model mess I remember in the midwest. I think the 12z Euro had a weak wave going up the east coast in the 48-72hr timeframe, next run, it had a 1004 low over eastern Kentucky, eventually to a 999 low over north central Kentucky........wow. Same storm that crippled Kentucky with a ice storm. how did ohio fare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 DT has maps out. http://www.wxrisk.co...011/01/NE1g.jpg http://www.wxrisk.co...1/01/mid1g1.jpg (I wished I had a dog in this show.) What you know more snow for Connecticut/NYC and up to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 i'll put it in the map file with margusity's. ouch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 That was the huge Kentucky ice storm. oh i remember those pics from beau now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 does the same thing....starts out as an apprunner then makes a right at about NC/VA as OHweather pointed out, that lakes low might be acting as a mini temporary block Wouldn't surprise me. It's been little things all winter that stops the big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 That storm was dead in the water here as close as 60-72 hours out. Ended up with about 5" but much more not far away. I received 7.5 out of it is this is the one you are talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think Ohio got into some of the ice, further north, it snowed. 6-12 inches in west central Ohio. I remember hearing 4-8 around Central Ohio with some sleet. Can't remember much more frankly lol. yea it's crazy...i usually remember snowstorms pretty well....drawing a total blank other than recalling beau's posts about the icestorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I received 7.5 out of it is this is the one you are talking about. There's dtx getting flurries. Sandwiched between storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 ...and the euro had that as a weak storm up the coast 48hrs out???....lol and to think some were/are writing off this one based on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I remember something from i think the late 1990's when i was watching a weather report out of cincy, for those around here it was Rich Apuzzo, and he always goes into detail of what models were showing. A storm was supposed to stay way south and the night before he said one model was showing 10 inches for cincy while the others showed nothing. Well the one model was right. Never said which it was but it goes to show even 24 hours out things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 I remember something from i think the late 1990's when i was watching a weather report out of cincy, for those around here it was Rich Apuzzo, and he always goes into detail of what models were showing. A storm was supposed to stay way south and the night before he said one model was showing 10 inches for cincy while the others showed nothing. Well the one model was right. Never said which it was but it goes to show even 24 hours out things can change. The 90's had some awful model busts (at least I'm attributing it to the models). One time I remember being forecasted for 6-12" the day before and I wound up with nothing as it went farther south. You don't see THAT very often nowadays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I received 7.5 out of it is this is the one you are talking about. I think we had around 9+, Edinburgh (south of us) was in the bullseye and had over 13" from that That map shows how independent office forecasts are. Ice warnings squished in the middle of advisories and WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 yea it's crazy...i usually remember snowstorms pretty well....drawing a total blank other than recalling beau's posts about the icestorm. CMH got blitzed the next morning IIRC. There were like 40-45 dbz returns over you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 through hr 54 its like the rest of the guidance so far where its not driving the northern stream as much but a stronger southern stream...has a sub 1012 low in the nw gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 hr 60 a little slower with a 1008 low just south of central la coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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