dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How much more west? He didnt really say but he made it pretty clear that he is going with mostly rain now for the EC, which would mean it is a little further west than thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 is that in his 430 vid? No FB he just posted it 15 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No FB he just posted it 15 minutes ago. ok...cool thnx. I didn't want to sit thru one of his vids if i didn't have to lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ok...cool thnx. I didn't want to sit thru one of his vids if i didn't have to lol What are you thinking? I am waiting to see what the NAM says here in a bit. I mean if we are getting that 50-100 mile shift west then were in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 He didnt really say but he made it pretty clear that he is going with mostly rain now for the EC, which would mean it is a little further west than thought. Damn! Well, I haven't seen this shield of precip start to to make an east turn, still looks like it is heading north....for how long is the question. FWIW, temps along the river are in the low 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 bastardi also posted saying models are off by 75 miles too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 snippet from JB I think that againk, the weakness in the physics of the model of the GFS is forcing the eastward bias, and the center further west, and now its a matter of 50 miles and 5-8 mb, but that will make a big difference in the precip shield further west. I think the weakness of the model in understand the storms ability to intensify toward the northern branch because of the natural increase in vorticity in a lifting trough is another problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 bastardi also posted saying models are off by 75 miles too far east. Wow! We are sitting at 25 here and temps should continue to drop...wonder what ratios would look like in Columbus if it does make it this far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Wow! We are sitting at 25 here and temps should continue to drop...wonder what ratios would look like in Columbus if it does make it this far north? idk, im not getting my hopes up for anything yet. I am just watching radar looking for that east shift the models showed and Im not even remotely seeing it. more NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Do we have any posters in southern indiana? That would be great to know for obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The 0Z NAM is in--looks like it is shifting a little precip into far southern OH with the first wave lifting NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 okay weenies.. Here is a pic of the future radar predictions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Dilly, you're kidding me...right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 im not sure what to think right now. lol Whether to put a snow forecast out there or not. Still going with a dusting but I am skeptical of that call right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Dilly, you're kidding me...right? its a futurecast from a weather site lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 okay weenies.. Here is a pic of the future radar predictions What!!! That would slam pit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 its a futurecast from a weather site lol.. It must not be taking into account the (later?) east shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 It must not be taking into account the (later?) east shift. No haven't heard good things about that product at all. Don't get your hopes up. I probably won't start sounding the horns until it is actually snowing in Cincinnati. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 haha accuwx's looks the same.. Ill post it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Most of the futurecast products run some variant of the WRF fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There are the accuwx ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well, if that radar verifies that is totally insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There are the accuwx ones. Dilly, if that happens, the wwa's will not only be too low, but cincy to pit will see warning level snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Dilly, if that happens, the wwa's will not only be too low, but cincy to pit will see warning level snows. well sorry. That is what the future cast at wdt shows and accuwx predictive radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Nam feedback destroys model as it has wave escaping and ruining energy bundling. Still it did trend north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Some reflectivity returns start south of Bedford and Brownstown now, but its definitely moving this way. We have 0 chance of snow here south of Indy. Will be interesting to see if this holds together. For the last 1-2 days which model was showing west vs the euro, was it the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 No haven't heard good things about that product at all. Don't get your hopes up. I probably won't start sounding the horns until it is actually snowing in Cincinnati. i can still buy into the idea of cmh missing narrowly... ...but cincy??? are you kidding me? I can't believe there are no advisories or anything in sw ohio or nc ky. Just weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 well sorry. That is what the future cast at wdt shows and accuwx predictive radar Lol, why you sorry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i can still buy into the idea of cmh missing narrowly... ...but cincy??? are you kidding me? I can't believe there are no advisories or anything in sw ohio or nc ky. Just weird I think as far as a bust, this is going to be like Jan 2000 for parts if the ov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I must be seeing things to, but this thing looks just like a typical system that thumps Southern Indiana and Central and Southern Ohio and radar looks like the precip is heading generally that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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