Organizing Low Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 anyone want to extrapolate this? new england hit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 ok, after seeing the rgem... ...i'm sett'n up the mic How bad is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 looks like a big step towards the nam. Trough is deep but weak. Might close off but probably too late and with no northward movement. 12z ggem had a much stronger trough with 1004 low already about 100 150 miles nw of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 ok, after seeing the rgem... ...i'm sett'n up the mic well it was a good run anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 well it was a good run anyway that it was Russ.....that it was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 No chance the GFS does anything good either. Call the cab Buckeye!!! This one is in the books as a dud... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 probably last map of this thing i'll post. 72 ukie. ULL is cut off and this is heading due east. Ironically DC could get rain changing to a quick thump while the NE gets whiffed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 So close but so far...............at least February looks crazy active Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 probably last map of this thing i'll post. 72 ukie. ULL is cut off and this is heading due east. Ironically DC could get rain changing to a quick thump while the NE gets whiffed. What a waste of a good low placement for me...At least not awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 in the end, the northern stream just didnt want to help out with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Well who wants to put the time of death stamp on this one? The bus has crashed, burned and blown up. Game Over! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 LOL so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nothing to see, including the east coast. The stj will be whisked off the coast and nothing will emerge. Doesn't matter if it goes inland either, no stream interaction. Would just be rain. Something needs to change in the 500mb pattern. The actually southern stream side of it has improved greatly(though I think it can still be better). she's singing loud now...it's over. I admit i'll peek in at ncep in the morning in case a hail mary was caught. Other then that, at least i'll be back to a productive week again lol. No euro for me. Til the next one whenever that might be. Kinda looks like we are headed into a more traditional la nina pattern with more northern stream systems (too far north for us)... haven't really dwelled on what's after this week though. oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 LOL so close This is painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Well who wants to put the time of death stamp on this one? The bus has crashed, burned and blown up. Game Over! Not I. I'll wait to see the Gem and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Not I. I'll wait to see the Gem and Euro. Knock yourself out! Now I will put my finger on the next storm that could effect us...Right now maybe next weekend with a light crappy <3 system... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Charleston, WV gets hammered per 0z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 post #8, thread 1 of this whole mess. http://www.americanw...post__p__309134 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 The Bus never crashed because it was never started. The real failure was the models trying to force some type of "phasing" what ended up a basically southern stream system with no northern stream interaction. The hints were always there. Honestly very few folks ever had a chance at all except a few folks in PA and far eastern OH as well as parts of KY. Otherwise--very few had a chance with this. I don't know where this whole idea that a storm was going to crawl straight N up the apps really ever came from. It would have been nearly impossible for that--and is still nearly impossible. I think sometimes folks get too excited for nothing then become too angry/distraught when that doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Honestly very few folks ever had a chance at all except a few folks in PA and far eastern OH as well as parts of KY. Otherwise--very few had a chance with this. I don't know where this whole idea that a storm was going to crawl straight N up the apps really ever came from. It would have been nearly impossible for that--and is still nearly impossible. I think sometimes folks get too excited for nothing then become too angry/distraught when that doesn't happen. scanning for angry distraught posters and actually Baro, there were model runs showing app runners. In fact many showed them running the apps to the NC/VA border then making a turn right. Let's not forget todays ggem as well. So to make it sound as though it was a bunch of made up weenie fantasy is kinda disingenuous. Just say'n Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 When does the ggem come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 scanning for angry distraught posters and actually Baro, there were model runs showing app runners. In fact many showed them running the apps to the NC/VA border then making a turn right. Let's not forget todays ggem as well. So to make it sound as though it was a bunch of made up weenie fantasy is kinda disingenuous. Just say'n I was sitting here contemplating on what to say and you pretty much said what I wanted to say. i second that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Buckeye, The only thing that bothers me is how bad the American models have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 scanning for angry distraught posters and actually Baro, there were model runs showing app runners. In fact many showed them running the apps to the NC/VA border then making a turn right. Let's not forget todays ggem as well. So to make it sound as though it was a bunch of made up weenie fantasy is kinda disingenuous. Just say'n I am not saying it was a weenie fantasy--just saw some comments talking about a storm moving straight N and other nonsense. Sure parts of E/S Ohio/KY/PA are in the zone--but there isn't going to be any big storm threats in Michigan or areas N or W. There is a limit to possibilities--it would be like if I was hoping the storm would tick NW into the Northern Plains. Just not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 HA HA local met is keeping snow for Wednesday because of the Canadian! Beyond this there is really nothing at all in the offering to speak of in the next 7 days. Unless your in northern MI.... Buckeye you see anything we can talk about now?lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 HA HA local met is keeping snow for Wednesday because of the Canadian! Beyond this there is really nothing at all in the offering to speak of in the next 7 days. Unless your in northern MI.... Buckeye you see anything we can talk about now?lol we'll be well south of a clipper ushering in the next arctic shot. after that we freeze until that relaxes and maybe offers something. Basically not really. btw, your local met actually mentioned the canadian??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 we'll be well south of a clipper ushering in the next arctic shot. after that we freeze until that relaxes and maybe offers something. Basically not really. btw, your local met actually mentioned the canadian??? gfs looks brutal cold this coming weekend....again... dry as hell too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 we'll be well south of a clipper ushering in the next arctic shot. after that we freeze until that relaxes and maybe offers something. Basically not really. btw, your local met actually mentioned the canadian??? He said one model is bringing snow here for Wednesday and he is keeping that chance in his forecast. What one model brought snow? Canadian! but in about 25 mins it will be gone. I am willing to take that to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 gfs looks brutal cold this coming weekend....again... dry as hell too If you are still unsure about this storm, why would you take anything serious that far out on the GFS of all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Considering the GFS in the pattern coming up, I expect nothing less from it. It loves to try and crush everything. i hope you're right, that would be my defiinition of a crap pattern....brutal cold and dry on strong north winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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