dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Didnt he say it was going end up way west yesterday? acy...atlantic city bwii...balt He stated at the beginning no change in forecast but he hasn't updated since like 9am.. It says 2pm, but it said that at 9am lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 JB: I like track inside hatteras, right to near acy and then northeast. Heavy backlash should make this DC to BWI heaviest snow.. after rain. Anyone care to spell that out for me in regards to where he thinks the track will go. ACy? BWII? typical jb...that track is pretty far east. ACY is atlantic city...i think bwi is baltimore. this from the man who said the best snows would be north of the ohio river and mason dixon line earlier. Then said this is not a snowstorm for DC. Funny how he tries to sneak around that now. He's caving to the eastern looking models. He's discounting the gfs as too far east and says the gem is too far west. Yet he has been harping on the nao heading positive and the trough so far west as a reason this goes west....then he lays out such a far east track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Didnt he say it was going end up way west yesterday? acy...atlantic city bwii...balt you have to understand the mindset of the MA/NE crowd and its mets like JB. Saying a storm goes way west means it rides up i-95. Remember these guys think pittsburgh is the westcoast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 you have to understand the mindset of the MA/NE crowd and its mets like JB. Saying a storm goes way west means it rides up i-95. Remember these guys think pittsburgh is the westcoast Funny but true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 you have to understand the mindset of the MA/NE crowd and its mets like JB. Saying a storm goes way west means it rides up i-95. Remember these guys think pittsburgh is the westcoast LOL yea I know. I honestly dont see this as a widespread snow event. Alot of moisture heading north and sure some places may get 15-20 inches but it will be localized in the mountains and maybe into central NY. Hartford and western Mass has already seen 56 inches (probably 30 snow depth) and if they get another 20 inches man I would be very jealous. I hate to be so negative towards the NE folks but a part of me hopes it's all rain. Thanks for the help with the bastardi jargon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 21z SREF mean is a dud. Time to put this baby in the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 21z SREF mean is a dud. Time to put this baby in the ground. Time to put this cold weather in the ground. Brutal cold since dec 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Time to put this cold weather in the ground. Brutal cold since dec 1st. Yeah, I'm not fan of persisent cold, although this current brand of bitter cold is fairly acute. Snow every day and 25 is fine by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 You actual care about SREF? Usually if there was going to be a major shift you'd at a minimum see a small budge in the SREFS. Albeit I didn't compare it to the 15z run, the mean track is still well off the coast north of 35N. I can't imagine the global guidance is going to be radically further west, but time may prove me wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yeah, I'm not fan of persisent cold, although this current brand of bitter cold is fairly acute. Snow every day and 25 is fine by me. Snow when its 30 is fine with me. I dont know much about ENSO's and I dont want to venture too far OT but aren't el ninos supposed to be colder than La ninas? Whats the reason behind the block holding steady this year? Lack of significant storms in the middle of the country and moving up into canada to move the block would be my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 you have to understand the mindset of the MA/NE crowd and its mets like JB. Saying a storm goes way west means it rides up i-95. Remember these guys think pittsburgh is the westcoast Still haven't give up yet buckeye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Still haven't give up yet buckeye? Looking at the nam, I'm giving up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Snow when its 30 is fine with me. I dont know much about ENSO's and I dont want to venture too far OT but aren't el ninos supposed to be colder than La ninas? Whats the reason behind the block holding steady this year? Lack of significant storms in the middle of the country and moving up into canada to move the block would be my guess. Negative, it is usually actually the opposite... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Negative, it is usually actually the opposite... Thanks. I guess La ninas aren't good for storms coming out of the four corners and southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nam won't even be close... lol calling the cab yet Buckeye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Man, NAM has really gone drier with the northern part of the storm. Looks like flurries now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Wow at the moisture down south, but it takes awhile for the storm to get its act together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 RSM model, which has a massive overamplification bias, is a whiff. Flurries for Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 RSM model, which has a massive overamplification bias, is a whiff. Flurries for Cape Cod. Never even heard of it, so I'm not concerned with it. If the gem is a whiff I'm throwing in the towel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I am not sure it really matters. Even if the low went further nw, it would probably be to warm. Temps is least of my worries at this point. Gotta have it showing a hit before I worry about temps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 thanks dilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 thanks dilly For what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Negative, it is usually actually the opposite... I would say La Nina Season's have much more variability then this generalization map puts out. I think much of it comes down to the PDO state. I would also say, the El Nino map should have to 2 main computations, pretty much a blowtorch across the country, and of course the -NAO state with coinciding +PNA Eastern trof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 OT but we got Green Bay vs the BURGH in the Superbowl BABy!! GO BLACK and GOLD and most importantly no teams from the east coast are in the Super Bowl another thing they can whine about over there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Nam won't even be close... lol calling the cab yet Buckeye? i'll wait til after the ggem tonite to release the crackin wow what a disaster..lol only concillation prize will be watching jb scrape more egg off his face Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 OT but we got Green Bay vs the BURGH in the Superbowl BABy!! GO BLACK and GOLD and most importantly no teams from the east coast are in the Super Bowl another thing they can whine about over there! Oh shut up. I hate Poopsburgh. Back on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 theres way too much junk on the 5h map....big beautiful storms need their room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Never even heard of it, so I'm not concerned with it. If the gem is a whiff I'm throwing in the towel With good reason. It's a POS that nobody uses. It can't find an area of low pressure it doesn't want to bomb. But because of that bias I thought pointing out that it was suppressed with this storm was relevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 anyone want to extrapolate this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 ok, after seeing the rgem... ...i'm sett'n up the mic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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