SACRUS Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 yup, and the mean actually looks like its in the "classic" position. gfs has perhaps lead the way again. time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where/who runs this? ive seen it posted all season but never knew the background. Its an experimental model which also uses to my knowledge some aspect of the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where/who runs this? ive seen it posted all season but never knew the background. Experimental US model. Its has some crazy resolution but I do believe its initialized with GFS scheme. There is a whole page on it but I dont have link. Just google FIM model. I read all about it the other night when I saw it posted for the first time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where/who runs this? ive seen it posted all season but never knew the background. It did very well with the Feb snowstorms last year, this year its been kinda meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Is tombo around to do the breakdown of the Euro ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 through hr 54 its like the rest of the guidance so far where its not driving the northern stream as much but a stronger southern stream...has a sub 1012 low in the nw gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Love the FIM. Nice HP building in. 0.80 - 1.35 for philly, with the "32" line straddling I-95. I assume that's the surface freezing line since it says 32, the model page doesnt indicate which level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 hr 60 a little slower with a 1008 low just south of central la coast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 at 60 h5 trough is hanging back a bit compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 FIM: http://fim.noaa.gov/FIMscp/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=fim&domain=236&run_time=04+Jan+2010+-+00Z Stands for Flow-following Finite-volume Icosahedral Model. Idk what that means but it sounds fancy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 through hr 66 sub 1008 low in gom south of mobile...deff more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 oh and 0.85 - 1.50 for NYC. I'll do the FIM pbp from now on, kthnxbye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 hr 72 has a sub 1004 low in sw ga...its trying to close off the h5 546 hgt line over eastern ark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 H5 is much closer to closing off at 72 over eastern AR western AL, at least compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Escaping towards the coast at 78 hrs..this is going to be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 EC DAY 3: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 hr 78 has closed h5 low over northern alabama...it has two areas of sub 1000 pressures...one by cape fear...the other just west of savannah... .01-.1 from dc to phl frz line on the cities 850s just south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 it Aint the GGEM, thats for sure. could be east of the gfs or very close to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 at 90 h5 closed off, trough going negative in AL as opposed to GA on 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 at 90 h5 closed off, trough going negative in AL as opposed to GA on 12z Please let Tombo do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 hr 84 sub 996 low over eastern nc...frz line from hgr to ukt...850 line hgr to pne....mod precip .25-.5 m/d line south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 hr 72 has a sub 1004 low in sw ga...its trying to close off the h5 546 hgt line over eastern ark on plymouth thru 72 it appears as if the SLP is right over Panama City, FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 That's a pretty ugly 90 hr panel...very warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 hr 90 sub 988 tip of delmarva... bout to get captured 850s and frz line well west of the cities... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 wow, very warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Taking the temperatures at this point would be foolish, the euro was high on my temps by 11 degrees for the ice storm last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 It's sub 990 just east of OC MD at 90 hrs...and then sub 986 a good bit east of ACY at 96. Thermal profiles are marginal to say the least..it's probably rain or sleet along the coast. Honestly the area hit the hardest is NW NJ..far NE PA..and interior SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 The cold sector precip absolutely blows...areas that stay all snow don't get that much QPF. You have to be closer to the coast..and the heavy dynamics..to get the better QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 102 hrs there's a wraparound CCB that nails NYC and absolutely buries SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 EC DAY 4: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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