MJO812 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Wasnt it Friday into Saturday? Thursday into Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Wasnt it Friday into Saturday? thursday into friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Wasnt it Friday into Saturday? This is kind of OT but isn't that storm technically not a HECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 DT first guess: The 6-12 is too widespread and the 12+ does not cover the inland areas of eastern pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 00z UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 The 6-12 is too widespread and the 12+ does not cover the inland areas of eastern pa. Really? Is the storm over? Where's your map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Looks like the GEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 as I suspected, the french maps were a little displaced with the new HP, its further east on the regular maps but the surface low is further west than the french maps. that looks like the ggem surface track but probably colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Looks like the GEM. Maybe, I was leaning towrds the gefs but the key is the ggem (amp'd bias) has trended east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 This is kind of OT but isn't that storm technically not a HECS? It depends on which location you're talking about. For NYC and EWR it was, also for areas in the Lower Hudson Valley and Upstate NY. For Long Island no (although western LI was borderline HECS.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 00z UKMET where do you get those I cant find them on the FSU site anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Maybe, I was leaning towrds the gefs but the key is the ggem (amp'd bias) has trended east GGEM/UKMET have always been in the more phased camp-- NAM is in between-- EURO AND GFS are east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 The zero Celcius line goes up to the right at an angle, its the way the plot is displayed. The 0°C line doesn't go straight up -- none of them do. They go diagonally up to the right (see the other 0°C written along the right edge? The line connecting them is the 0° line!) They should really alter the tick marks along the bottom of those graphs so they're diagonal. It'd clear up 90% of people's confusion... Awesome!!! Thank you both for clearing that up. Weird way to set it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 where do you get those I cant find them on the FSU site anymore? http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 It depends on which location you're talking about. For NYC and EWR it was, also for areas in the Lower Hudson Valley and Upstate NY. For Long Island no (although western LI was borderline HECS.) Right, but for a true HECS it has to affect a much larger area of the megalopolis with 20"+ totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 GGEM/UKMET have always been in the more phased camp-- NAM is in between-- EURO AND GFS are east GGEM is expected, now that the mega blocking is gone its likely back to its more normal tendeny of being to amplified. The uk has been a decent middle of the rd option... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Right, but for a true HECS it has to affect a much larger area of the megalopolis with 20"+ totals. Yup, it wasnt like 1996 or 2003 or anything. It did make it to 3 on NESIS though. I guess a true HECS would have to be 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 where do you get those I cant find them on the FSU site anymore? here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Really? Is the storm over? Where's your map? man, take a chill pill and go to bed. The storm has not started except in your words. . That was his first guess. I am only reading what is being stated in this thread and most models AT THIS TIME state a strong possibility of an inland storm event and even Mt. Holly has stressed this in their discussion. Historically on inland storm events, the Poconos and NE PA do very well in snow fall amounts. I do not have a map because it is way to early to even post one considering the model chaos that has been going on all night. To post a map now would be a waste of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 ok the euro has started out to hr 12, i will update when it gets into the timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 GGEM ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm/ thanks, weird how its no longer on the main site but still in the directory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 thanks, weird how its no longer on the main site but still in the directory Ya I was looking all over for it and found this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 GGEM ensembles Seems like half the members want a faster solution while the other half want a slower solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 0z FIM Nice high up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 and the mean is east of the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Seems like half the members want a faster solution while the other half want a slower solution. more members are east of the op than near or west (again) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Love the FIM. Nice HP building in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 more members are east of the op than near or west (again) yup, and the mean actually looks like its in the "classic" position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Love the FIM. Nice HP building in. Where/who runs this? ive seen it posted all season but never knew the background. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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