weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think more of a full Lat neg trough which drives the direction more west. a neg base of a trough that is neutral does not exert the influence IMHO Thanks, Steve. I see what you are saying now. FWIW, someone at the whale game in Springfield asked me what things were looking like for our area in CT and while I hate to throw out numbers this far out I said I could see something like an 8-16'' type event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 WOW....this is the best run, yet......this is cooooold . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Ha hahahha I just realized I was looking at the 00z run from last night. You may be a meteorologist but I slept in a Holiday Inn Express last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 nah. You're not getting more than 3-6" from this storm lol lol..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 1"+ inclusive from C ME-N NH-S VT and all of SNE. How does the st. J littleton area look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 So this adds plenty of snow for most of us ...unfortunately the Cape gets porked again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Exactly...briefly the 0C line goes JUST north of BOS before quickly crashing back. And even then the temp maybe is +0.5 or +1 which can be overcome in precip that heavy. But low levels stay cold so it's snow or sleet. You also have the comma head coming over us. Dynamics will limit any taint. I never heard of comma head IP. But, of course the track may easily get closer to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 John, no worries.....I do that crap all the time. I'm so scared this ends up further west, but for now, I'm naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I don't think your bottle is at it's apex any longer. It's Irish Killians ftw, but no - forgot to refresh that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 WOW....this is the best run, yet......this is cooooold . Yeah i think you would luv this to verify as well as I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Is this a lot of RA/IP for DXR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where is this tracking in relation to the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 So right now, GFS/CMC/UKMET/ECMWF give most of us a good snowstorm. I am happily considering going to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 You may be a meteorologist but I slept in a Holiday Inn Express last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Where is this tracking in relation to the GFS? 20 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 So this adds plenty of snow for most of us ...unfortunately the Cape gets porked again. Unfortunitly we need that to happen up here.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 lol..... From DT's map... sorry if the joke didn't come across Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I mentioned it before, but don't forget that this arctic episode is going to knock the marine layer on it's azz well out into the atl, so that is going buy the immediate coastline a bit more time than they normally would expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Is this a lot of RA/IP for DXR? A ton of snow, maybe some IP for a short period. No rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I mentioned it before, but don't forget that this arctic episode is going to knock the marine layer on it's azz well out into the atl, so that is going buy the immediate coastline a bit more time than they normally would expect. I still worry this might end up over MTP, but I like to see a track east of the Cape to lock in 32F or lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 20 miles west. Certainly loving that for here. Nice to see some fairly good agreement on the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 A ton of snow, maybe some IP for a short period. No rain. Thanks Jerry. Now..to just have this hold for 4 days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 How does the euro give western ne copious amounts of precip with a track only 20 miles west of the gfs?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I mentioned it before, but don't forget that this arctic episode is going to knock the marine layer on it's azz well out into the atl, so that is going buy the immediate coastline a bit more time than they normally would expect. And even before the cold, the ocean is chilly. Upper 30s now. Flying north, I saw plenty of ice in protected inlets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I still worry this might end up over MTP, but I like to see a track east of the Cape to lock in 32F or lower. Yep....which is wh the couple of hrs this buys us maybe big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Maybe I should be liking these 0Z runs. The last Noreaster at this stage I think most models were out to sea and trended west the last few days. A trend west this time could finally get a good event out here. I'm afraid the central and western NY people are finished though....after a few days of thinking this was their storm. Where is this tracking in relation to the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 From DT's map... sorry if the joke didn't come across No it came across as a joke, I knew you were reffering to his map, I knew his map was a epic bust up here.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 How does the euro give western ne copious amounts of precip with a track only 20 miles west of the gfs?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 How does the euro give western ne copious amounts of precip with a track only 20 miles west of the gfs?? It's a much more dynamic system. Also, it comes from closer to the coast further south to it's NE position so the entire qpf field is further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Oh christ, do you guys have any alternate sites? my typical ECM channels won't update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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