weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Jerrys 2001 winter analog http://www.erh.noaa....owrpts/FE060114 Remember I said that this resembles that winter but 30 miles further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I'm still blown away by MAV's -17 for a low at KBED tomorrow night....and -5 at KBOS. thank you - the snow first thing is dumb and not showing much interest in Met. The cold should be monitored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 .7\-4......I'm headed below 0...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I'd lean 10:1 ratios. yeah, to be safe I agree. Seems like everything up here has such a high SWE. Last storm we picked up 8.5" out of .59" qpf. Cant wait to start my SWE research project through UVM and Lyndon State! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 .7\-4......I'm headed below 0...... Wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 thank you - the snow first thing is dumb and not showing much interest in Met. The cold should be monitored. Other thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 thank you - the snow first thing is dumb and not showing much interest in Met. The cold should be monitored. You not realizing which thread you are in is dumb....try this: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/9634-122-124-cold-temperatures/ I know, Bri.....sorry....just snuck it in because the other thread is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 That's the link I've used in the past to understand them better but in this case I really am not seeing (or understanding) why this isn't negatively tilted...H5 the isobars appear to be digging to the SE. I think more of a full Lat neg trough which drives the direction more west. a neg base of a trough that is neutral does not exert the influence IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Wrong thread good call! well i'm shocked, frankly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Remember I said that this resembles that winter but 30 miles further SE. Oh my oh my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Remember I said that this resembles that winter but 30 miles further SE. :/ I liked that winter right where it was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think the EURO will be a bit less amplified, yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 ECMWF through 60 hours is almost a carbon of GFS tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 :/ I liked that winter right where it was... I know. But we're experiencing it 30 miles SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think the EURO will be a bit less amplified, yet again. Better downstream ridging through 72. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think the EURO will be a bit less amplified, yet again. Wrong....sometimes tought to tell that early. Everything is shifted a smidge west....whole trough axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Better downstream ridging through 72. We'll see. Correct.....I was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Better downstream ridging through 72. We'll see. You may be onto something based on the look at 78... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think the majority of sne will like this run.....maybe I'll be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I think the majority of sne will like this run.....maybe I'll be wrong. Looks like a big hit. .....can it stay cold enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 988 near the delmarva at 90h. already snowing in sne. 850 0c over the s coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Looks like a big hit. .....can it stay cold enough? My guess is Will and Sam will be naked, I'll be a schizo and you will be longing for 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Low levels stay cold but it appears eastern MA out to 128 is sleet at 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Looks warm SE SNE snowbomb up this way................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 kicker in western Ontario is a little more positively tilted at hr72 which is not good wrt duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Back to the old EC runs. Big interior hit. 0c 850 near will at 96h. large circulation...984 s of mtp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Looks like a big hit. .....can it stay cold enough? This run flips everyone to rain after a decent first 9 hours of hefty snows. Probably then dynamically goes back to snow for many - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 A hair se of ACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Looks warm SE SNE snowbomb up this way................ how about for the rest of NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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