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January 26-27 Storm Threat


Baroclinic Zone

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HPC desk says 2 inches for SNE and 2 inches for SE CNE.

i like S VT for this storm........mt snow FTW

http://www.hpc.ncep....ay=4&fcolor=wbg

Wonder where in this set up with a HP not yet scooting in from the west (wednesday am) how far east the BL warmth gets? LL ESE FLOW past wachusett..?...monads?....GC

Just verbatim HPC track how far west would BL "warmth" make it.

How is that 2 inches with that low track?

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HPC desk says 2 inches for SNE and 2 inches for SE CNE.

i like S VT for this storm........mt snow FTW

Wonder where in this set up with a HP not yet scooting in from the west (wednesday am) how far east the BL warmth gets? LL ESE FLOW past wachusett..?...monads?....GC

Just verbatim HPC track how far west would BL "warmth" make it.

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I don't understand the optimism here, as much as I'd like to believe it for the Boston metro area... what am I missing?

GFS trending west towards the ETA solution that brings rain to much of SNE, a solution that the EURO had several runs ago. Even the benchmark track looks warm, but I fear this will track even closer. Northern NE sits good at this point, imo.

I hope I'm wrong. I'd rather see a scraper than a soaker changing the city's deep snowbanks into glaciers.

Alot

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too far west

I am really nervous about the trough taking on the negative tilt too early here...this has been something that has been our friend this winter but it's like too much of a good thing here. It looks like it goes negatively tilted just east of TX...I would like this to happen much closer to GA. Also looks like this thing is going to start closing off at H5 over GA/SC which is crazy...just not sure how much east this thing can track.

I will say though...these sneaky high pressures can't be ignored either, may end up helping to push this thing further east.

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This has been a consistent flag of a further west track ...the GFS ensemble vs op. Euro however doesn't appear to be having the same issues...

The more amped this storm is the more west it looks like it will track, I think it ends up somewhere between the benchmark and the cape......

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