Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 If invited to the party at Ginx's, I will gladly tow my El Camino which has been converted into a barbeque. It's loaded with a case of Mazola and game of Twister. Dude no invites needed, if the house is a rockin, don't bother knockin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Sorry new here. But why is upton saying rain and snow for coastal ct. I understand there will be a strong in flow off the ocean. But If it passes Near the benchmark Wouldn't the low pull cold air in. Thanks back to lurking to learn more. Pull cold air from where? Normally, yes, but with with a weak east based neg NAO, that's not going to help lock the cold air source (departing arctic high) in, thus the winds turn more easterly with an absent northern component with the result that coastal NE is progged to be more likely to receive at least part of their precip as non-snow.. At least, thats whats being shown by many of the models. However, there's plenty of uncertainty, with ample time to change, one way or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 number one the storm is coming next week and will be rain or snow near the coast and snow inland areas of sne area. Models will change many times like all the other big storms that hit us . some are are west of us and east of us . Most big snowstorms for the Northeast area have not showed by models until two days before the storm . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 box is saying we want this offshore.... we can't afford a CC scraper without getting inundated with rain this time (ORH included) ....also high is retreating early tues (earlier than last storm). we have WAA snows most of tues....and AFD says steady or rising temps tuesday nite as well. ALSO...UNLIKE THE LAST SEVERAL STORMS HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVELY HIGH AND NOT CRASHING SO IT WILL TAKE AN OFFSHORE TRACK FOR ALL SNOW. A TRACK CLOSE TO THE COAST WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN MOSTLY RAIN NEAR THE COAST AND SNOW TO ICE/RAIN IN THE INTERIOR so hopefully the "seasonal trend" for these lows to hone in anwhere from the canal to over toward ACK.....can be pushed SE toward bench mark for a day. my gut tells me this will go snow to ice and then drenching rains...but every 12 hours the models (ens) don't show this....i feel a teenie bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 With all due respect, and understand that I have no say in it anyway, but I don't want to be logging into a board with a bunch of 13 and 14 year olds participating. I enjoy the banter, it's what adults with common interests do. I'm thrillled that you enjoy teaching, but I really don't want to see this become an extension of a middle school classroom. 100% agree...I prefer to leave the kids in the classroom (no offense to the numerous HS kids on here, they are fine) Some of the name calling yesterday was tough to read, which is too bad, since those involved have lots to offer. Anyway, back on subject, at which point do the models start to show "regular" phasing? I am thinking NNE might be getting hammered on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 100% agree...I prefer to leave the kids in the classroom (no offense to the numerous HS kids on here, they are fine) Some of the name calling yesterday was tough to read, which is too bad, since those involved have lots to offer. Anyway, back on subject, at which point do the models start to show "regular" phasing? I am thinking NNE might be getting hammered on this one while not etched in stone for this one; COMPLEX SPILT FLOW REGIME AND IT DOES APPEAR PHASING WILL NOT OCCUR WITH SOUTHERN STREAM LOW THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS barely gives any qpf to eastern areas. BOS right on the edge. Tons of warm air too with this, so the Cape might have ptype issues, but dynamics could help them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 wow the 18z GFS is garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 while not etched in stone for this one; COMPLEX SPILT FLOW REGIME AND IT DOES APPEAR PHASING WILL NOT OCCUR WITH SOUTHERN STREAM LOW THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR SNE. Ahhh, well... Still a couple days to see what comes together Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 wow the 18z GFS is garbage. has like 0 qpf west of the 0c line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 has like 0 qpf west of the 0c line. If we had some lift, it would cool those 850 temps. Cold nne flow at the surface too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Semper 911 , you sound like an awesome teacher, great job. This is no place for kids however. Jerry kills me with the tone it down stuff, ya know his references to dumps, Cialis, uses fook a lot. Talks about hot broads too. I love Jerry but seriously Jer? LOL If I were a met I would be like Scooter, biggest Met weenie on the board with mad skills. Will gets crazy weenies out too, Ryan weenied out last week as did Arnold, Osu, Tippy and a Goose flew in. Best forum on the Internet and best sub forum right here folks and ohh as the bald guy says Lalalalalalalala Lock this baby up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No cold sector qpf in the latest GFS. This has been a recurring signal for this event in a sense and somewhat of a flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Semper 911 , you sound like an awesome teacher, great job. This is no place for kids however. Jerry kills me with the tone it down stuff, ya know his references to dumps, Cialis, uses fook a lot. Talks about hot broads too. I love Jerry but seriously Jer? LOL If I were a met I would be like Scooter, biggest Met weenie on the board with mad skills. Will gets crazy weenies out too, Ryan weenied out last week as did Arnold, Osu, Tippy and a Goose flew in. Best forum on the Internet and best sub forum right here folks and ohh as the bald guy says Lalalalalalalala Lock this baby up. Kids like talking about dumps. And they know not about Cialis. Most of their parents are too young...lol...well maybe in grampa's meds cabinet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No cold sector qpf in the latest GFS. This has been a recurring signal for this event in a sense and somewhat of a flag. I'm pretty sure if it came west, we'd have some snow. I can't remember one storm where it passes near the BM and we had sleet with below 32F surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 All this talk...meanwhile, I am pretty certain most of us are getting a ton of snow this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No cold sector qpf in the latest GFS. This has been a recurring signal for this event in a sense and somewhat of a flag. Me thinks QPF is the least of your worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 All this talk...meanwhile, I am pretty certain most of us are getting a ton of snow this week. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No cold sector qpf in the latest GFS. This has been a recurring signal for this event in a sense and somewhat of a flag. Just on the GFS or on more models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS is a joke.....it will be back on board by 12z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hasn't the op been showing no cold sector, but the ensemble mean has? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This X's 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS is a joke.....it will be back on board by 12z Monday. Hope so. Otherwise it could be umbrellas and rain rubbers for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 X's 2 Just noticed you passed last year's total yesterday. 2011 is rockin'! I'm approaching this event with some trepidation, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 fwiw, NOGAPS scraper about 50 miles SE of 40/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 box is saying we want this offshore.... we can't afford a CC scraper without getting inundated with rain this time (ORH included) ....also high is retreating early tues (earlier than last storm). we have WAA snows most of tues....and AFD says steady or rising temps tuesday nite as well. ALSO...UNLIKE THE LAST SEVERAL STORMS HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVELY HIGH AND NOT CRASHING SO IT WILL TAKE AN OFFSHORE TRACK FOR ALL SNOW. A TRACK CLOSE TO THE COAST WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN MOSTLY RAIN NEAR THE COAST AND SNOW TO ICE/RAIN IN THE INTERIOR so hopefully the "seasonal trend" for these lows to hone in anwhere from the canal to over toward ACK.....can be pushed SE toward bench mark for a day. my gut tells me this will go snow to ice and then drenching rains...but every 12 hours the models (ens) don't show this....i feel a teenie bit better. You will get alot of snow. Drenching rains for Framingham is a remote possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 has like 0 qpf west of the 0c line. Thankfully we pick up 1 or 2 from the overrunning on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Just noticed you passed last year's total yesterday. 2011 is rockin'! I'm approaching this event with some trepidation, though. Yup. A whole winte'rs worth in about 4 weeks. "Trepidation" is key. I can't afford to get amped up on a few good model runs, and then get kicked in the gut by bad ones. I'm almost of the mind to not even watch this one until 48 hours out. Otherwise, I will just be constantly hanging the noose . . . taking it down . . . hanging it up . . . taking it down . . . etc. Such activity is not healthy, to a point where I may end up at next weeks gtg propped up on display in a pine box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Kids like talking about dumps. And they know not about Cialis. Most of their parents are too young...lol...well maybe in grampa's meds cabinet... What? These kids don't watch football games???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Excellent post. We really need to tone down some of the stuff for this reason but otoh.....maybe we have decided it's an adult bb and that's it. I'm ok either way but would like to be more inclusive of youngsters. 100% agree. Moderation has been far too loose lately and it results im the degrading of the forum. Adult doesn't have to mean sophomoric and crude and sometimes full of references to violent sexual acts and genitalia. I think enough people from varying backgrounds here have said as much including several pros. I suspect others keep quiet out of fear of a backlash/rocking the boat. We moderate snownh because we don't like what he says about the weather but the sexual references are ok? How is that consistent at all? It's been said other regions threads are seeing a departure or quality posters. If I were a red tagger or posting from a work computer ask yourself if what is sometimes written here/what you're participating in would make it through a code of conduct screening if a coworker had a hair across their butt...or a competitor trying to get your clients etc. "can you believe pro xyz participates in this?" It cuts both ways. It would be more female and kid friendly in addition to preventing what could be ugly hr type issues for some of the pros. In most other areas of life it'd be the middle schoolers that'd be making all these references not the adults. Not a commentary on individual posters or moderators etc. I think a lot of people feel it needs to be cleaned up but for various reasons have either given up on it ever happening or are afraid to say anything for fear of rocking the cart. Just my thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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