H2Otown_WX Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Yeah there's still hints of a SE ridge with the Pacific set-up, but the airmass is now cold enough that even a cutter would probably produce some snow for SNE. Definitely a decent pattern modeled at Day 10 for people up by Will, but we'll see what it shows a few days from now. The storm this coming Tuesday looked from far out as well with the retrograding NAO and now is going to be a cutter in all probability. A north of the pike winter coming...just like 2007-2008. If you are along the pike like Boston, then you do okay or maybe a little better than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Crickets in here this morning--early departures for the holiday perhaps. Enjoy your Thanksgiving, folks. Travel safely if you are doing so and good luck getting glimpses at the models/postings between bites of turkey and cranberry sauce. Who knows, maybe we can get a (good) surprise of some sort or another. 36.5/25. Top gust last night at 31mph. Not too shabby for 8'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Wow epic. I would have thought the Bills gave you enough bad/bad/bad cycles to last a lifetime Enjoy the flakes and pellets over the holiday Pete, we here down in the tropics will live vicariously through you sir. Happy tday to you and yours. Same to you!!! Let it snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Gfs fantasy cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Gridlock storm....Kev jackpotted and the event exceled, despite some putrid snowgrowth.....poured pixie grains. I had 9". I had 11 inches and I think Bob and Ekster both had 11-12 too. Some decent news the last few runs..Still not getting too excited yet since we know what just happened modelwise for next week afte it was supposed to turn cold and snow..but I like how thinngs are starting to look after the cutter and 60's next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mad River Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Gfs fantasy cold Gotta love the 1052 over the rockies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Euro ensembles started out with higher heights across AK, but then lowered heights out west and actually trended warmer from 12z. It did go stronger with the -nao block and -epo at first, but digs a ton of energy out west, The 12/5 low looks to go overhead or perhaps just to the south for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I like what the models are showing overnight. Just gotta get through the next 2 storms Friday and Dec 1st and then we'll be able to start tacking some wintry precip. Absolute bomb on last nights Goofus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I like what the models are showing overnight. Just gotta get through the next 2 storms Friday and Dec 1st and then we'll be able to start tacking some wintry precip. Absolute bomb on last nights Goofus. I actually think the Canadian ensembles look better as well. They trended with higher heights out over the GOA. Hopefully the euro ensembles look a little better at 12z, but were taking some steps in the right direction at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I like what the models are showing overnight. Just gotta get through the next 2 storms Friday and Dec 1st and then we'll be able to start tacking some wintry precip. Absolute bomb on last nights Goofus. Dec 1st still rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Dec 1st still rain? Oh yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I like how the GFS long range suppresses the storms instead of dropping bombs on New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I like how the GFS long range suppresses the storms instead of dropping bombs on New England. -EPO is your friend. We just gotta get this to stick for the next couple of days. I am still nervous that too much energy digs in the west as the cold moves south, but overall better trends in the last 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I actually think the Canadian ensembles look better as well. They trended with higher heights out over the GOA. Hopefully the euro ensembles look a little better at 12z, but were talking some steps in the right direction at first. I have not looked at the Canadian Ens. but good to read this as well. The amount of cold building out west on the long term models is promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I have not looked at the Canadian Ens. but good to read this as well. The amount of cold building out west on the long term models is promising. Yeah, they're treated like a red-headed step child sometimes..lol. But they are good to have on your side as well. I look at them daily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I have not looked at the Canadian Ens. but good to read this as well. The amount of cold building out west on the long term models is promising. The 11-15 day anomalies are just filthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 The 11-15 day anomalies are just filthy. ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 ??? Temperatures, primarily out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 SWFE written all over Dec 5th if the OP Euro verified. 00z GFS is similar but looks rather week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Temperatures, primarily out west. You mean "more of the same"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 You mean "more of the same"? They're substantially below here as well but in the Rockies it's just off the hook crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 They're substantially below here as well but in the Rockies it's just off the hook crazy. The things a strong nina will do for you Seattle got some snow this week and there were -25 readings already in places in Idaho and Montana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 The things a strong nina will do for you Seattle got some snow this week and there were -25 readings already in places in Idaho and Montana Already record Nov. snows at some of the Colorado ski areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2010 Author Share Posted November 24, 2010 06z GFS ensembles trying to pull a '78-'79 where it unloads the cold across the whole CONUS with the dual blocking on each side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 I'll pass on '78-'79. I'm off for NH.....Fiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiyahhhhhhh!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Big -EPO showing up in the long range again. Big gradient setting up with very cold Northern tier. excellent news, looking forward to see if it holds the next few runs... then maybe we have something tangible in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Pretty cold run of the gfs op. It shows a classic swfe with snow to rain eventually on 12/5. Hopefully it trends more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Looks like the 12z GFS has a SWFE for 12/5. Bowling ball running W/E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Looks like the 12z GFS has a SWFE for 12/5. Bowling ball running W/E 12z gfs operational looks reasonable through hr 240 IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Eye candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.