Noreaster07 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 102 996 low Wilmington, NC, 12z was 1004 GA/SC border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This may be ugly for ene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 That is just what I think will happen. Lets not devolve this into a civil war. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This may be ugly for ene. ugly for everyone with where the 850 temps started that High was well east of NE at 96 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hr 108 984 on the mouth of the chesapeke...everybody is raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 LOL, interesting solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This is how it starts and I don't want it to escalate.....no offense; didn't mean you, personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 warmest run of the euro yet it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro very nicely depicts what happens when there is no westward blocking to trap a cold Canadian high. Which is exactly what Earthlight and I have been talking about all evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 stark differences from gfs....really almost all solutions seem to be on the table here, i just dont like the lack of a good high on any model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 at least the beginning was much better...the trend is there, until the end.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hr 114 sub 980 over lewes del, captured... dc area may be hvy wet snow with the dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hr 108 984 on the mouth of the chesapeke...everybody is raining How can this be a pure rainstorm with a good track of the low and such a cold antecedent airmass? Where does the 850mb freezing contour run with the low over the Delmarva? Any chance we change back to snow as it bombs out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 LOL, interesting solution. You mean it blows. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 if the euro verified in and around the nyc area, the flooding of April 2007 would look like a kiddie pool compared to what could happen with this solution. This is a very bad setup in terms of flooding if this run verified. scary really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hr 108 984 on the mouth of the chesapeke...everybody is raining okay let me say that again...a 984 mb LP at the mouth of the chesapeake in the middle of winter and rain for everybody? hmm...weird...and probably going to be more snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I don't understand how this run is well east of 12z and yet rain, whereas the 12z was mostly snow to the north of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro very nicely depicts what happens when there is no westward blocking to trap a cold Canadian high. Which is exactly what Earthlight and I have been talking about all evening. Yup...viable solution without a doubt. Could be limited cold sector precip if the return flow develops as the euro depicts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 EC DAY 5: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I find it weird that it's rain with a great track like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hr 120 sub 980 about 50 miles east of lbi... the poconos lehigh valley and poss se pa are getting hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 heavy snow in eastern PA at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 You mean it blows. lol Hows central PA look with that track (30 miles west of MDT)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hr 126 still some mod precip for se pa to the pocs and nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 okay let me say that again...a 984 mb LP at the mouth of the chesapeake in the middle of winter and rain for everybody? hmm...weird...and probably going to be more snow the high pressure positioning is god awful and harbors warner air being returned from the east into the storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I find it weird that it's rain with a great track like that. It looks like snow at 120....NYC is below 0C at 850 if I'm reading the Day 5 map right. Sounds like rain-->heavy snow for NYC and especially the NW suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 2.5 to 3 inches liquid from nyc western li, s and w. epic flooding and it falls in a very short time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 EC DAY 5: I've gotta assume most of PA is getting hammered with that setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Congrats, Logan11 and Dendrite. Very similar to 12z, but about 50 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 DC might do better than a good chunk of sne on this run...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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