Voyager Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Got down to -2*F last night. I see the 6z models still want to give us all the shaft. -3.5 here, but -10 where our work trucks are parked over in Brockton, about 5 miles west of Tamaqua. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 CTP has Lancaster at 8 - 10" trailing off as one goes N & W. At this point, that plus 5 cents gets you a nickel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 -3.5 here, but -10 where our work trucks are parked over in Brockton, about 5 miles west of Tamaqua. bet the diesel didn't wanna fire this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This was WNEP's preliminary guess map on last night's news cast. Usually, they are very conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 bet the diesel didn't wanna fire this morning It did, but gelled up when I started driving. The loaders in the mine wouldn't even start. After conferring with my boss and the mine owner we decided to call it a day and try again tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This was WNEP's preliminary guess map on last night's news cast. Usually, they are very conservative. Seems pretty reasonable, but I wouldn't curve off the amounts to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This was WNEP's preliminary guess map on last night's news cast. Usually, they are very conservative. Ugh, can't see your map.(.work) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 another shift back east on the NAM...nada for anyone this run even SC PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Ugh, can't see your map.(.work) Can't describe it all, but it looks like you're in the 3-6 range in Cumberland. It shows 6+ generally along I-81, and 1-3 for State College and Williamsport with perhaps a bit more in W-Port as they're on the 1-3, 3-6 line.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Can't describe it all, but it looks like you're in the 3-6 range in Cumberland. It shows 6+ generally along I-81, and 1-3 for State College and Williamsport with perhaps a bit more in W-Port as they're on the 1-3, 3-6 line.. Thank you sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 another shift back east on the NAM...nada for anyone this run even SC PA. Thats one strange looking model run. What's up with that stuff hanging back over the mid-Atlantic as the low is moving away. Don't recall ever seeing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 another shift back east on the NAM...nada for anyone this run even SC PA. The NAM has been awful with this event. I'm not saying that because it shows us with no snow, but every single run it basically has a new evolution of the storm with different results. There's a reason CTP's morning discussion at 8 a.m. said it's completely disregarding the NAM for a while. It might very well be right with this, but if so it's on a coup of its own basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 Thats one strange looking model run. What's up with that stuff hanging back over the mid-Atlantic as the low is moving away. Don't recall ever seeing that. yeah that was my thoughts as well...i really think that the NAM is again just otl on this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBRE Wx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 This was WNEP's preliminary guess map on last night's news cast. Usually, they are very conservative. Yes but then Joe said this morning it would be mainly a miss. They flip-flop every shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yes but then Joe said this morning it would be mainly a miss. They flip-flop every shift. I missed that as I was at work fighting with tri-axle that wouldn't run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 -2F here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawxworld Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 another shift back east on the NAM...nada for anyone this run even SC PA. pretty discouraging to continue to see the NAM/GFS miss us. Unbelievable model discrepancy going on getting this much closer to an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 pretty discouraging to continue to see the NAM/GFS miss us. Unbelievable model discrepancy going on getting this much closer to an event. with how consistent the euro has been with this event, really have to go with it as gfs/nam have been everywhere...shifting run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawxworld Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 with how consistent the euro has been with this event, really have to go with it as gfs/nam have been everywhere...shifting run to run. Agreed. But you would think at some point both these models would come around to the EURO solution but yet they have not. I'm glad I don't have to forecase thiss event. 2 days out - it could be 10 plus inches of snow to rain or nothing at all. Cold and Dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I think the southern part of this thread is safe. Northern part...still in the discomfort zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 DT's first call...I think he's too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 CTP has Lancaster at 8 - 10" trailing off as one goes N & W. At this point, that plus 5 cents gets you a nickel. I saw that too, and think it's laughable. If we get enough QPF for that amount of snow, the storm will be juicy enough that we mix and areas N and W of us get more, not less. The only way I think we beat areas northwest of us is if the storm is much weaker and strung out, thus giving us much lighter amounts. Just my guess right now. I'd want to be where Jon is, or perhaps just northwest of him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 DT's first call...I think he's too far west. looks like he's stickin to the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 DT's first call...I think he's too far west. Basically what I put out to my clients. He's obviously betting on the Euro/GEM, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I saw that too, and think it's laughable. If we get enough QPF for that amount of snow, the storm will be juicy enough that we mix and areas N and W of us get more, not less. The only way I think we beat areas northwest of us is if the storm is much weaker and strung out, thus giving us much lighter amounts. Just my guess right now. I'd want to be where Jon is, or perhaps just northwest of him. Yeah, i think myself and Canderson are in OK shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I think the southern part of this thread is safe. Northern part...still in the discomfort zone. Safe for what...QPF or snow? I think you stand a MUCH better chance of getting more snow than me. I might have more precip, but I like where you are at for snowfall. Just my 2 cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 looks like he's stickin to the euro And why not? It is the only global model that has been relatively consistent throughout the entire period leading up to the storm. With the exception of some of the thermal profiles, the Euro has been fairly consistent with its solution. The Canadian has also been consistent until its recent runs when it has now shifted towards the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I want the good stuff. lol...Alot of precip and lots and lots of inches.....Wishful thinkin huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Safe for what...QPF or snow? I think you stand a MUCH better chance of getting more snow than me. I might have more precip, but I like where you are at for snowfall. Just my 2 cents. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I want the good stuff. lol...Alot of precip and lots and lots of inches.....Wishful thinkin huh? i almost commented, but i'll refrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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