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1/21/11 Storm Discussion III


ConvectiveSolutions

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It's doing what I talked about earlier when I was saying the NAM was trimming from the max in the SW and dispersing that in Maine.....think more of that.

It blows for the big snow some were hoping for if right. if Cape Cod can pull off a cold air miracle it'd be in good shape...

Looks like 10-15mm here, or .4-.6'' of QPF...5-8'' with fluff factor.

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I can't see between 12z Friday and 00z Saturday obviously, but it doesn't look that bad.

Posted above...it's not terrible like you said, it's just not going to be a widespread 6-12" snow on the RGEM/NAM. Not without tremendous/epic ratios.

I'm eyeballing maybe .25 to .4 across most of the region, with maybe more right in the east.

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Looks like 10-15mm here, or .4-.6'' of QPF...5-8'' with fluff factor.

It's tough to tell looks like 2-5 for period one, 5 to 7.5 in period two...7 to 12.5 mm, around .4. CT it's pretty similar, but again tough to be exact.

Downeast gets pounded.

Not bad, but it's backing down gradually. Cape gets hit hard but it's toasty.

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.4'' seems to be the magic QPF number...6'' of snow with the vaunted 15:1 ratios. I bet we see similar amounts to Tuesday's deal.

Yeah I agree. I never really bought the 0.75-1" QPF from earlier today anyway. Either way the AM commute will be disastrous

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