weathafella Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Borderline heavy snow here. It appears that this even (for us) will deliver looking at radar and out the window. It snows right after I return from FL. Happy it waited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Its improved a lot in this band....much better than 12/13/07 baking powder shake-fest. But I'm skeptical that it sticks around...the RUC has much better lift moving overhead in the next 2-3 hours, so hopefully its all good from here on out. But if 12/13/07 taught us anything, don't believe the cross sections until you actually see the dendrite landing on your coat sleeve. Remember how it showed decent dendrite growth? Then it was garbage for the actual event. I think we talked about it on of our vintage late night '08 or '09 sprees...we usually want to see the lift very deep and pretty strong. You loved the 20 microbar per second threshold IIRC. seems to be the threshold where hell breaks loose...especially if the omega is deep. 12/13/07 is still a bit of an enigma to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 12/13/07 may have had baking powder but it delivered a fast 10 inches. It actually was (short term) a crippling event given timing and poor planning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 seems to be the threshold where hell breaks loose...especially if the omega is deep. I think I will be scrapping for the low end of my forecast. I'm not sure 4" will be that easy. Its not a storm that wants to cooperate. Lots of red flags. We should call this storm the "red flag storm"...since the models were getting qpf-happy with a lot of the synoptics a bit off. Still should claw my way there and the bands should darken at the last second, but its certainly not the way you want to try and get a forecast to work....since you already know in the back of your mind that there are some things wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 12/13/07 may have had baking powder but it delivered a fast 10 inches. It actually was (short term) a crippling event given timing and poor planning. We talk about it because of how much snow it delivered....we said back then how it might have produced an 18" lolli if it had been good dendrite growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oswego Wx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Huh? Ending in NNJ very soon....NYC by 7, your done by 10am no? Me think so. Done in 2 hrs? It's still snowing back in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Horrendous, disgusting, obscene snow growth About an inch on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 whdh holding strong with their wide swath of 7-10"...bold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 2.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Huh? Ending in NNJ very soon....NYC by 7, your done by 10am no? Me think so. KEWR 211051Z 35008KT 1/2SM SN FZFG FEW003 BKN006 OVC012 M02/M03 A2954 RMK AO2 SLP003 SNINCR 1/6 P0014 T10221033 RVRNO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Still all snow in Newport, not hearing any sleet yet. 2 plus inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 We got the 12/13/07 snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Huh? Ending in NNJ very soon....NYC by 7, your done by 10am no? Me think so. Yeah prob 10 or 11 it stops in CT.. Ends in NYC by 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I'll be content with 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 We got the 12/13/07 snow now. Pretty good dendrites here now...but we need to play catchup. I've already gotten two calls on this storm asking me where the snow is. It sucks having to answer to people. I want to just weenie out. But the snow growth has def improved so we can get some good snow accumulations here in the next few hours if it doesn't die on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I think I will be scrapping for the low end of my forecast. I'm not sure 4" will be that easy. Its not a storm that wants to cooperate. Lots of red flags. We should call this storm the "red flag storm"...since the models were getting qpf-happy with a lot of the synoptics a bit off. Still should claw my way there and the bands should darken at the last second, but its certainly not the way you want to try and get a forecast to work....since you already know in the back of your mind that there are some things wrong. I don't know what it means up there, but we're getting pummeled right now...easily over 4" in Westchester, thinking I make 6"+...ratios improved rapidly as the storm wore on, and this last area of banding looks extremely intense. 25/23 SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Heavy snow. Still small flakes but vis under 1/4 mile. New 10z ruc continues to seriously clobber east coastal MA this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Pretty good dendrites here now...but we need to play catchup. I've already gotten two calls on this storm asking me where the snow is. It sucks having to answer to people. I want to just weenie out. But the snow growth has def improved so we can get some good snow accumulations here in the next few hours if it doesn't die on me. Waiting to see what that stuff near SFZ is like. Hopefully, that's the better lift giving the good dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 1.5" ... 0.5" in the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I am up to 1.4" at 6 am here. Based on BED and ORH obs of 0.11-0.12" I am guessing a ratio of 12-13:1 at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 We got the 12/13/07 snow now. METAR KTAN 211052Z AUTO 34003KT 1/2SM SN FZFG OVC008 M03/M04 A2955 RMK AO2 SLP007 P0004 T10331044 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctweather Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 2" Wethersfield, ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Heavy snow. Still small flakes but vis under 1/4 mile. New 10z ruc continues to seriously clobber east coastal MA this morning. yeah the 10z ruc is wetter for most folks if you can believe it. I usually don't trust that thing much but we'll see how it goes. really goes to town between 12z and 15z across central/eastern mass...and eventually pounds maine with several cans of baking soda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Really coming down here in Brockton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi from Brookline MA. Hey Jer. Looks like sugar snow here, getting a bit heavier in the past few minutes though and good banding developing to the west. I bet that brings some nice dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Some nice convective elements to the snow over nw CT and wrn MA on Albany's radar. It ties into the band near nzucker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi from Brookline MA. Hey Jer. Looks like sugar snow here, getting a bit heavier in the past few minutes though and good banding developing to the west. I bet that brings some nice dendrites. Where are you at? I'm about to go out for a quick dog walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 3.7 pouring snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 3'' here in West Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 100% pure snow grains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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