free_man Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 impeccable ratios so far. 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 18F and moderate snow with good dendritic growth. Very light wind. It should be good for ratios. Yeah this stuff is piling up quickly..fluff factor FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yeah this stuff is piling up quickly..fluff factor FTW Yeah its gotten a lot better with flakes...still not ideal...probably a lot of plates still inthere....but I have the type of snow that is smaller flakes mixed in with good dendrites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Man whoever this new guy is at BOX ...Sipperell..he is good this is Dragesque type stuff.. What a winter CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCRS INTO AFTN AS A SECOND SHRTWV TROF WILL TRANSLATE THRU THE ERN GRT LKS RGN AND THRU NEW ENGLAND. A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/ECMWF HIGHLIGHT A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING ACRS THE ERN GRT LKS THRU NEW ENGLAND AHEAD OF THE ANTICIPATORY ARCTIC AIR MASS. MID-LVL CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BE ON THE INCREASE LIMITING TEMPS FROM AN AVERAGE 5-10 DEGREE RISE FOR HIGHS ON SAT. POPS ARE LIKELY MORESO IN THE VICINITY OF THE GRT LKS RGN...BUT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHC FOR -SN TO REACH INTO THE BERKSHIRES AS THERE IS ADIABATIC LIFT EVIDENT IN THE ISENTROPIC FLOW FIELDS...ESPECIALLY IN FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH REGIMES. INTO SUN...WITH W-NWLY FLOW DECOUPLING OVRNGT AND INCRSG CLOUDS OVRNGT MINS SHOULD FALL BELOW ZERO FOR INTERIOR ELEVATED RGNS...SUCH AS THE BERKSHIRES AND WORCESTER HILLS...WITH SINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE EXCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK INTO THE AFTN WITH DEPARTING WEAK SFC LOW ALLOWING TEMPS TO REBOUND AN AVERAGE OF 10 DEGREES FOR DAYTIME HIGHS...BUT AT THIS POINT THE ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO SETTLE ACRS THE AREA WITH H85 TEMPS AVERAGING -16C AT MORNING TO -20 TO -22C BY EVNG. INTO MON...CHALLENGES REMAIN AS SOME UNCERTAINTY LIES WITH POTENTIAL CLOUD COVER. NEVERTHELESS WITH SUFFICIENTLY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS... WEAKENED NWLY FLOW...AND LIKELY SNOW COVER...TEMPS WILL PLUMMET TO COLDEST VALUES YET FOR THE SEASON. GOING BELOW GUIDANCE...PRESENT THINKING IS FOR INTERIOR VALLEYS AND HILLS TO FALL TO -10 TO -15F... WITH REMAINING INTERIOR SECTIONS...INCLUDING THE BOSTON METRO...TO FALL SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW ZERO. ONLY THE CAPE AND ISLANDS LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE ZERO FOR THE MON MORNING TIMEFRAME. SKIES LOOK TO REMAIN CLEAR THRU MON ALLOWING HIGHS TO RISE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR INTERIOR HILLS AND VALLEYS WITH TEENS ELSEWHERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yeah its gotten a lot better with flakes...still not ideal...probably a lot of plates still inthere....but I have the type of snow that is smaller flakes mixed in with good dendrites 1/2 new decent flakes moderate snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Man whoever this new guy is at BOX ...Sipperell..he is good this is Dragesque type stuff.. What a winter CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCRS INTO AFTN AS A SECOND SHRTWV TROF WILL TRANSLATE THRU THE ERN GRT LKS RGN AND THRU NEW ENGLAND. A BLEND OF THE NAM/GEM/ECMWF HIGHLIGHT A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES DEVELOPING ACRS THE ERN GRT LKS THRU NEW ENGLAND AHEAD OF THE ANTICIPATORY ARCTIC AIR MASS. MID-LVL CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO BE ON THE INCREASE LIMITING TEMPS FROM AN AVERAGE 5-10 DEGREE RISE FOR HIGHS ON SAT. POPS ARE LIKELY MORESO IN THE VICINITY OF THE GRT LKS RGN...BUT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHC FOR -SN TO REACH INTO THE BERKSHIRES AS THERE IS ADIABATIC LIFT EVIDENT IN THE ISENTROPIC FLOW FIELDS...ESPECIALLY IN FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH REGIMES. INTO SUN...WITH W-NWLY FLOW DECOUPLING OVRNGT AND INCRSG CLOUDS OVRNGT MINS SHOULD FALL BELOW ZERO FOR INTERIOR ELEVATED RGNS...SUCH AS THE BERKSHIRES AND WORCESTER HILLS...WITH SINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE EXCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK INTO THE AFTN WITH DEPARTING WEAK SFC LOW ALLOWING TEMPS TO REBOUND AN AVERAGE OF 10 DEGREES FOR DAYTIME HIGHS...BUT AT THIS POINT THE ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO SETTLE ACRS THE AREA WITH H85 TEMPS AVERAGING -16C AT MORNING TO -20 TO -22C BY EVNG. INTO MON...CHALLENGES REMAIN AS SOME UNCERTAINTY LIES WITH POTENTIAL CLOUD COVER. NEVERTHELESS WITH SUFFICIENTLY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS... WEAKENED NWLY FLOW...AND LIKELY SNOW COVER...TEMPS WILL PLUMMET TO COLDEST VALUES YET FOR THE SEASON. GOING BELOW GUIDANCE...PRESENT THINKING IS FOR INTERIOR VALLEYS AND HILLS TO FALL TO -10 TO -15F... WITH REMAINING INTERIOR SECTIONS...INCLUDING THE BOSTON METRO...TO FALL SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW ZERO. ONLY THE CAPE AND ISLANDS LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE ZERO FOR THE MON MORNING TIMEFRAME. SKIES LOOK TO REMAIN CLEAR THRU MON ALLOWING HIGHS TO RISE INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR INTERIOR HILLS AND VALLEYS WITH TEENS ELSEWHERE. BOS last temp below 0 I think was Jan 2005...have to double check but I think that is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 BOS last temp below 0 I think was Jan 2005...have to double check but I think that is correct. We're gonna have 2 days this weekend where the hills don't get out of the single digits. And -10 -15 at night is crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snowing very hard..bordering on S+..at least high end moderate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 BOS last temp below 0 I think was Jan 2005...have to double check but I think that is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 We're gonna have 2 days this weekend where the hills don't get out of the single digits. And -10 -15 at night is crazy ORH hasn't been below -12F since 1994 I don't think. That is the benchmark. They hit -12F twice in Jan 2004. And I think once in Jan 2005. BOS got below 0 in Jan 2005 (and a few times in Jan 2004)...but they are likely to get below 0F again this coming outbreak. Pretty good stuff. The trajectory is perfect for SNE..its NNW...our coldest outbreaks come out of the NNW from E Ontario and W Quebec. Not from the W like other cities on the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Radar looks awesome folks..nice push north and it is ripping in much of CT now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 There is a thread devoted to the cold snap. Do I need to hit the report button? I've joined the Winter Storm Warning party. Light snow currently falling. 16.3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Starting to get a bit more low level inflow from the Atlantic into SNE...so the radar returns are darkening....hopefully we can get a little more help. Its about time to go to town...next 2-4 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 ACK/PVC/HYA all with SE winds...there will likely be a CF enhancement somewhere in E MA. That's where the lolli will likely occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 ACK/PVC/HYA all with SE winds...there will likely be a CF enhancement somewhere in E MA. That's where the lolli will likely occur. Just not KGAY please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Just not KGAY please It very well might be him....maybe not for complete CF enhancement...but he could catch the tail end of that ccb and also could get CF enhancement...we'll see how it evolved over the next 2-3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 pretty close to heavy snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Radar looks awesome folks..nice push north and it is ripping in much of CT now Mod to heavy now, pouring snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snow growth here is still a bit annoying...it has dendrites mixed in, but still a lot of plates...we need to get the omega to deepen a little which should happen in the next hour or so. But we can't keep on like this and try to squeeze out 6-7"...we'll be 3-5" and done if it doesn't get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Mod snow 1.5" so far 15.5F Son, wife have no school, will Leominster bow to the NWS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 1.0" on the board currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack Suslak Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 BOX updated their snowfall map cutting totals SE a bit and highest totals in NE mass ie Essex county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Latest 09z RUC indicates this will really pop in the 12z time frame...a bit sooner for CT in the next hour. So if it doesn't start to go nuts in the next 1-2 hours, then the warning snows will be tough to come by...only in isolated pockets. Arnold needs to respond saying how he can't believe models can't agree on 8" or 3" within 6 hours for his BY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Latest 09z RUC indicates this will really pop in the 12z time frame...a bit sooner for CT in the next hour. So if it doesn't start to go nuts in the next 1-2 hours, then the warning snows will be tough to come by...only in isolated pockets. Arnold needs to respond saying how he can't believe models can't agree on 8" or 3" within 6 hours for his BY. Well based on how hard its snowing along with good dendrites in CT it would appear the RUC has done a good job with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Well based on how hard its snowing along with good dendrites in CT it would appear the RUC has done a good job with this Well I think its sort of on track, but there is nothing that screams to me yet on bust or hit...its a tedious situation. I'm calling him Arnold now...I keep picturing Arnold from Terminator II everytime I see the handle. I'd like to hear his thoughts for there...because its insane how different the RUC and the NAM are and even other guidance. Difference between like 8-10" there and 3-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 We're closed... back to bed for a little while Should be nice skiing later today and real nice being in school June 30th Any reports of thundersnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Middletown NY has 5 inches already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Latest 09z RUC indicates this will really pop in the 12z time frame...a bit sooner for CT in the next hour. So if it doesn't start to go nuts in the next 1-2 hours, then the warning snows will be tough to come by...only in isolated pockets. Arnold needs to respond saying how he can't believe models can't agree on 8" or 3" within 6 hours for his BY. I threw out the 06z nam. the 03z srefs, ec, gfs are in decent agreement. this stuff is adding up quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Well I think its sort of on track, but there is nothing that screams to me yet on bust or hit...its a tedious situation. I'm calling him Arnold now...I keep picturing Arnold from Terminator II everytime I see the handle. I'd like to hear his thoughts for there...because its insane how different the RUC and the NAM are and even other guidance. Difference between like 8-10" there and 3-4". How about this Arnold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Well I think its sort of on track, but there is nothing that screams to me yet on bust or hit...its a tedious situation. I'm calling him Arnold now...I keep picturing Arnold from Terminator II everytime I see the handle. I'd like to hear his thoughts for there...because its insane how different the RUC and the NAM are and even other guidance. Difference between like 8-10" there and 3-4". I just picture some tall, geeky type guy named Arnold with gangly arms ..He needs to switch back to Mekster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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