Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I can't believe how close the rain/snow line is to NYC...tells you right there the farther NW track is gonna verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 A lot of rain reports near PHL and E of them...NAM said they would be all snow...the 06z NAM even...the RUC is def winning that battle which showed changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snow intensity is picking up quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 ACY has a SE wind...the sfc low is pretty far NW...its probably going to track near the Canal or over CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 ACY has a SE wind...the sfc low is pretty far NW...its probably going to track near the Canal or over CC. WHat a bust by the NAM ... though a good bust for much of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Nice burst of moderate snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Obs out of the Philly and NYC threads bode very well for our heavy snow burst between 5:00-10:00am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Nice steady snow falling and 19.8. Looks like 1/2" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 RUC 07 UTC seems to have a good handle of the current dry slot over SE Mass... verbatim looks like snow in eastern Mass does not really pick up in earnest until about 5am... and ultimately takes low over canal it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Robust echoes popping up south of LI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Robust echoes popping up south of LI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Despite the solid penetration of warmer air to the NW, the radar refuses to cooperate. The echoes really need to start turning more N to get a big hit. They are racing ENE toward SE MA. The RUC seems to be correct on the sfc low placement and the ptype issues in NJ and near PHL, but the precip is wanting to agree with the NAM which is all that matters for us. Still have a couple hours though to see some improvement and some blossoming of the echoes to the NW. Latest RUC yet again still wants to cream central and E SNE around 12-15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Impressive activity south of LI... anyone want to comment on model verification...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Moderate snow as a nice band as set up over CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 4am overcast in Boston... certainly a later onset than forecasted. Echoes south of LI look on track to target southeast Mass / Cape. RUC 8UTC brings best stuff into eastern 1/2 Mass between 9-11am Any obs from Hartford, looks like a nice band overhead...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 4am overcast in Boston... certainly a later onset than forecasted. Echoes south of LI look on track to target southeast Mass / Cape. RUC 8UTC brings best stuff into eastern 1/2 Mass between 9-11am Any obs from Hartford, looks like a nice band overhead...? Not HFD but NE CT it's coming down nicely. Reports of 2-3 inches already around the state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like those very intense echoes are headed for messenger...but the question is whether it might be a driving rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 its snowing at a pretty good clip 20 miles north of hartford!! Not HFD but NE CT it's coming down nicely. Reports of 2-3 inches already around the state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like those very intense echoes are headed for messenger...but the question is whether it might be a driving rainstorm. I was just gonna ask you if you thought SE Mass would change over..They almost have to as far NW as this thing is tracking right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastBayWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 25.1 F Moderate snow coming down and radar has really improved over the past hour with echoes moving NNE off the ocean. R/S line will be ominously close by mid-morning but probably fall short of making it N or W to PVD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I was just gonna ask you if you thought SE Mass would change over..They almost have to as far NW as this thing is tracking right? Yes I think they changeover...but just not sure where...I think the Cape changes (sorry Phil )...but it may creep a little further NW than that by 10-15 miles. We'll see. Its pretty weird tracking this. The NAM wants to be cold, but it clearly was wrong in NJ where all the mixing and rain reports came in E of PHL where the NAM said snow. But yet the precip wants to target SE MA like the NAM. But we're starting to finally get a little northward nudge the last couple frames on radar...so maybe it will begin to intensify in the western portions of the precip shield. There is def bright banding SE of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oswego Wx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Where are you hearing three? I was thinking most are around 1-2 so far. That lull hurt a little bit. Not HFD but NE CT it's coming down nicely. Reports of 2-3 inches already around the state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The ratios have got to be like 20 or 30 to 1 here (or there's tremendous wind, which there isn't)... cause the radar may look like rubbish by we got rates of near .75 inches+ per hour... measured 1.5-1.75, 45 minutes after measuring an inch... KLEB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yes I think they changeover...but just not sure where...I think the Cape changes (sorry Phil )...but it may creep a little further NW than that by 10-15 miles. We'll see. Its pretty weird tracking this. The NAM wants to be cold, but it clearly was wrong in NJ where all the mixing and rain reports came in E of PHL where the NAM said snow. But yet the precip wants to target SE MA like the NAM. But we're starting to finally get a little northward nudge the last couple frames on radar...so maybe it will begin to intensify in the western portions of the precip shield. There is def bright banding SE of LI. If you loop OKX radar you can see a definite push to the N on the last few frames. What kind of intensity do you have up there? It looks like you're at least getting into some of this moderate stuff we have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snow growth has gotten a lot better here in the past few minutes...or maybe longer. 15 min ago I looked out and it wasn't that good but I just looked out again now and its much better. Going out for a quick check. Probably a half inch here...hopefully this better growth can push us to an inch fairly quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like those very intense echoes are headed for messenger...but the question is whether it might be a driving rainstorm. SE wind at Otis and 32/28... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Where are you hearing three? I was thinking most are around 1-2 so far. That lull hurt a little bit. I heard a report in far western Ct of 2-3 on the ground.. no towns were specified though Yeah it did..but most of the models had our heavy snow between 4:00-10:00 am so it looks like all systems go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastBayWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looking at the Mesonet, Cape cod is cooked from here on out. Plymouth/ Taunton/ PVD corridor however looks to possibly be in a sweet spot for the next several hours at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 18F and moderate snow with good dendritic growth. Very light wind. It should be good for ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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