TheSnowman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 12/23/97? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 12/23/97? If we start seeing 50dbz returns that are confirmed as snow, then we can probably say yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 haha, no Will I meant I have No idea what that storm is special for. 97-98 sucks butts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 21.9\19.....I'm out....can't hang like back in the day; not for 4-8", anyway.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cannae Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 haha, no Will I meant I have No idea what that storm is special for. 97-98 sucks butts here. It's a weenie fantasy up here in a situation like this, sort of like 1/25/00 is to the MA. Not gonna happen but I guess a weenie can dream. You need all the models to massively screw the pooch to repeat it, might not even be possible anymore, but then again it seems like the models are getting worse rather than better lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It's a weenie fantasy up here in a situation like this, sort of like 1/25/00 is to the MA. Not gonna happen but I guess a weenie can dream. You need all the models to massively screw the pooch to repeat it, might not even be possible anymore, but then again it seems like the models are getting worse rather than better lately. The most amazing thing about that storm was that even if the models predicted it, nobody would have ever believed it. Nobody would think you can get 18-22" in a 6 hour storm unless you live in the Tug Hill or another prime LES belt. So while the models busted...that was just a foot note....the most amazing thing was seeing the radar develop into what it did and dump that amount of snow in 6 hours and then it was done. Basically like a faucet turned on and off. Wasn't much light snow on either side of the onslaught. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 that easterly llj the ec has at 144h over SNE is nasty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 that easterly llj the ec has at 144h over SNE is nasty... Yeah I mentioned in the other thread, its basically a cement bomb, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I forgot that That was the date for the "LES in SNE". Wish I had been in Northern MA for that. International Falls is getting Quietly Killed. So the Euro looks........like what for tonight and tomorrow? Looks good AGAIN for med-next week, even though every other model is a Dr. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 EC remains pretty robust for today...keeps on insisting that I get 8-12 today. I'm gonna go with 8 for myself...but we'll see...should have a rapidly developing CCB overhead late morning. Maybe some tssn. frontogen progs look fabulous...especilly from gyx to wvl to bgr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 EC remains pretty robust for today...keeps on insisting that I get 8-12 today. I'm gonna go with 8 for myself...but we'll see...should have a rapidly developing CCB overhead late morning. Maybe some tssn. frontogen progs look fabulous...especilly from gyx to wvl to bgr. Hopefully Attleboro gets more than you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hopefully Attleboro gets more than you. I'd say that's a very low prob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I'd say that's a very low prob. Yeah you guys will get the rapidly maturing CCB while we barely get in on it. I'm just hoping for a huge convective blob to try and develop to something and then move up over the area to make it more interesting. I'm about to get a brief dryslot from that leading edge of WAA snow. The stuff in NJ is starting to look pretty healthy though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Phew ..I woke up and it's not snowing at all...then I checked radar. Thought it was a bad dream when I flipped on floodlight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Phew ..I woke up and it's not snowing at all...then I checked radar. Thought it was a bad dream when I flipped on floodlight. You might not get an inch at this pace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 You might not get an inch at this pace. Looks like about 1/2 inch new snow. You think 4-8 here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yeah you guys will get the rapidly maturing CCB while we barely get in on it. I'm just hoping for a huge convective blob to try and develop to something and then move up over the area to make it more interesting. I'm about to get a brief dryslot from that leading edge of WAA snow. The stuff in NJ is starting to look pretty healthy though. radar is looking decent down in the philly area. kinda what we were saying last tue evening. except the result will be a little different this time. anyway, the model agreement on next wed/thurs is pretty crazy strong right now on some sort of monster...better model agreement day 5/day6 than inside of 36 hours much of this winter thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like about 1/2 inch new snow. You think 4-8 here? Yes, I have 4-8"...still watching the stuff in NJ carefully though. RUC wants to sort of make it go nuts over SNE between about 5am and 9am (inside its 6 hour threshold)...radar has been filling in pretty rapidly down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yes, I have 4-8"...still watching the stuff in NJ carefully though. RUC wants to sort of make it go nuts over SNE between about 5am and 9am (inside its 6 hour threshold)...radar has been filling in pretty rapidly down there. Snow just started up again here..Radar looks pretty damn good to the sw of New Eng. Kind of a weird brief dry tongue that is working thru..looks like maybe it stays just SE of you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snow just started up again here..Radar looks pretty damn good to the sw of New Eng. Kind of a weird brief dry tongue that is working thru..looks like maybe it stays just SE of you? It might sneak into me briefly over the next 15 min. That dryslot was actually showing up on models...it was hard to see if you looked at 6h increments, since it really only lasted an hour or two in the spots that get it...but you could see it on the 3 hourly progs. But it fills back in from the west and southwest quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It might sneak into me briefly over the next 15 min. That dryslot was actually showing up on models...it was hard to see if you looked at 6h increments, since it really only lasted an hour or two in the spots that get it...but you could see it on the 3 hourly progs. But it fills back in from the west and southwest quickly. Has it not been snowing here for 2 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Has it not been snowing here for 2 hours? No it probably was only an hour there or slightly less for the dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 No it probably was only an hour there or slightly less for the dryslot. Looks like some moderate snow into HFD county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like some moderate snow into HFD county Its going to ramp up pretty quick once that low starts to pop...but it might not be for another hour or so. You might be able to sneak in more sleep....but then you might miss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Its going to ramp up pretty quick once that low starts to pop...but it might not be for another hour or so. You might be able to sneak in more sleep....but then you might miss it. LOL..once I'm up..I'm up. I was asleep by 8:10 last night so got a good 5.5/6hrs. Turns out I could have slept another hour though. Did you sleep in the late aft/evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 LOL..once I'm up..I'm up. I was asleep by 8:10 last night so got a good 5.5/6hrs. Turns out I could have slept another hour though. Did you sleep in the late aft/evening? Slept right after 18z NAM was out to 36h then got up for 00z NAM...so a good 6h. So I can take this home to the finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I see Messenger was in usual the storm is a bust form last night. Thankfully I wasn't around for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 06z NAM isn't very good again...but the newest RUC says its really going to be going town around in the couple hours surrounding 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 06z NAM isn't very good again...but the newest RUC says its really going to be going town around in the couple hours surrounding 12z. Looking at radar and obs from Jersey/NYC/Philly says the NAM is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 06z NAM isn't very good again...but the newest RUC says its really going to be going town around in the couple hours surrounding 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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