ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Less than 12 hours to event commencement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hopefully you have some good juju. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Less than 12 hours to event commencement! are you new? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 are you new? Looks like he's been here since mid-November. . . . Wait a minute, we've all been here for about that long. EasternWX transfer like most of us? Yes, good ju ju is what we need. Let's get this storm rolling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 are you new? Hardly. And excuse me, I should've said 6hrs. 12Z SUNYSB MM5 offers some interesting banding for 24hr total qpf: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 To Ray who responded to me: Yeah I kind of figured it was common meteorological knowledge...I was just trying to get the discussion back on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Will hasnt been online since 3. Sleeping? Smart if he is. Anyway all systems go for a nice 6-10" snowfall here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave5 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Anyone in CT buying NBC's forecast of 5-10 statewide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 To Ray who responded to me: Yeah I kind of figured it was common meteorological knowledge...I was just trying to get the discussion back on topic. All you need to know is that your map totals are too low and you are looking way way too deep into things and using only the NAM and GFS isn't going to cut it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Anyone in CT buying NBC's forecast of 5-10 statewide? Everyone is forecasting that amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Anyone in CT buying NBC's forecast of 5-10 statewide? yes i think most get 5-7 some lolipops close to 10 maybe one or two spots get ten if a nice band sets up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 wxforecaster, had a whole dialog typed and of course the thread was locked. In short I mostly agree. It's lagging. The 18z NAM was bogus - it developed a mess of a sheared structure. Doesn't exist now and will correct at 0h init. 12z NAM was better but was far too slow along the TX border with the s/w. GFS was decent overall. No doubt we see a shift tonight, tough to figure which way but the fact that the RUC is running over ACK. Every other system since 12/26 it's been warm/inside by now. A little surprsing that it's normal NW bias isn't in play. Looks like we'll see a pretty intense band of precip develop well south of MVY later tonight and move up over the Cape at the same time the northwest precip shield is going pretty good. They combing over or just NE of EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave5 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Everyone is forecasting that amount I had thought the general consensus was 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Everyone is forecasting that amount Blizz, what's your call for 42.42N 72.94W ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowiscomingdown Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 can someone tell me what the12z Euro had for QPF in CT? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I had thought the general consensus was 3-6 YEsterday it was for most..but today things ramped up as some of us thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 nice cluster of storms firing in the Gulf near FL panhandle, and all of PA covered in radar echoes...inching right along... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Everyone is forecasting that amount Well everyone except the NWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Blizz, what's your call for 42.42N 72.94W ? I think you'll be in the 6-12 range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 can someone tell me what the12z Euro had for QPF in CT? Thanks Between .25-.5'', probably closer to .5'' for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I had thought the general consensus was 3-6 yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 All you need to know is that your map totals are too low and you are looking way way too deep into things and using only the NAM and GFS isn't going to cut it Using only the NAM? Dude, if I went by the NAM I'd have like 8-12'' I just don't feel confident in widespread 6''+ totals with the 850mb circulation closing off to our NE. Plus look at the RH fields at H7...they dry out when the models still show significant QPF over us...I just think it blossoms too late for us to get more than 3-6'' widespread with some isolated higher amounts in NE CT. On facebook I just left the door open to increasing totals tonight but I want to see some model show the 850 circulation closing off either over us or just to our SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Everyone is forecasting that amount Upton certainly is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I had thought the general consensus was 3-6 Seems fair. I'll be happy with 4 or 5, though with highs in the low-30s and full sunshine by afternoon, who knows what'll be left by the end of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 can someone tell me what the12z Euro had for QPF in CT? Thanks 0.5" east of the valley...more like 0.4" west if I remember correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 can someone tell me what the12z Euro had for QPF in CT? Thanks I would like to know as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Upton certainly is not. They will up their amounts either later tonight or after the snow starts falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 0.5" east of the valley...more like 0.4" west if I remember correctly so going by that then maybe 4-8'' from the Euro...lollis to 9''... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I would like to know as well. Had .50 back to the river valley at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Had .50 back to the river valley at least Not quite, no. .5''+ was confined to N MA and S NH/VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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