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E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD/Elko, NV/Big Jim/ OBS 11/21-11/30


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Interesting to see the disparity in lows on ideal rad cooling nights. Classic case where suburbs are 10-15F cooler than NYC. Also, the UHI is clearly much stronger at NYC than PHL (no surprise, it's got 8 million people vs 2 million in PHL). ACY, SMQ, and MJX all tend to be the coldest on rad cooling nights.

Its not really NYC versus PHL... its more like JFK or EWR versus PHL, given the difference in locations between the airport and Center City.

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That LGA low is absurd. What did they drop 6 degrees from the high yesterday? I wouldn't be surprised if their first 32F comes w/ their first accumulating snowfall! Do you know if that's happened before?

Yes. In fact there's been years when it was after the first measurable snowfall:

1950: First measurable November 23, first 32F November 26

1953: First measurable and first 32F November 6

1955: First measurable and first 32F November 19

1961: First measurable November 20, first 32F November 28

1962: First measurable October 26, first 32F November 7

1980: First measurable and first 32F November 17

1985: First measurable November 16, first 32F December 2

1997: First measurable November 14, first 32F November 16

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Updated lows this morning:

TTN 25

DYL 23

PNE 25

NXX 29

WRI 23

VAY 22

SMQ 20

LOM 23

NEL 19

UKT 19

PHL 30

MJX 18

BLM 27

PTW 24

MMU 21

ABE 20

EWR 30

CDW 23

12N 22

TEB 28

NYC 35

ACY 22

ILG 26

LGA 39

MQS 28

JFK 31

RDG 24

MIV 21

MPO 20

FWN 18

LNS 23

HPN 28

FRG 28

DOV 26

AVP 23

WWD 27

MGJ 18

SWF 23

MUI 21

ISP 26

GED 26

ESN 28

W29 32

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Flood Watch out for NW parts of the forecast area. 2-3" of rain with an outside shot of a thunderstorm and some strong winds possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. Looking at the Euro, this might be the best chance of precip for the LV and So. Poconos for a while (I'm kidding, I hope :huh:).

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Its not really NYC versus PHL... its more like JFK or EWR versus PHL, given the difference in locations between the airport and Center City.

This. If PHL were at, say, the Franklin Institute or at Penn you'd have a warmer morning low coming out of Philly almost every day.

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I dont like that retrograding low idea. Isnt that one of the main reasons storm number 2 gets squashed, and not turn the corner?

i dont think its the storm really, its the h5 low. For instance look at the 18z gfs, that storm was weaker and further away, but the h 5 low was a lot stronger thus squashing everything even moreso

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