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E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD/Elko, NV/Big Jim/ OBS 11/21-11/30


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Does anyone else see the ice storm potential for Thursday-Friday?

Not literally.

I mean, the set-up seems like it's there if it were about 5-10° colder at the surface.

Look at the 12Z GFS, and hone in on Hours 78 & 81:

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kphl

850mb temps start out at 2C, then increase to 7C. Surface temps don't get above 38° until Hour 84.

Obviously it's all rain this time, but it seems like the classic over-running scenario come winter. 0.48" precip falls during that period. A month later that would probably be 2" snow and 1/4" ice.

Just a thought for the winter...

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