Lehigh Valley to Reading to Southern Poconos to NW NJ ...obs and banter!

[chrisNJ]

Regarding the frigid temps, I assume tomorrow morning could even be colder? Starting a week of field work at Picatinny. The work happens to be at the highest point within the facility; elevations over 1200'.

[eastonwx]

You must live off Rte 611. I hope you are not stuck in one of those homes that has those flooding concerns. Seems like people cannot sell those homes.

I actually live in Martins Creek, about 3/4 mi. from the river. Those people right along the river have had it tough the last 8 yrs. or so. There are still a couple abandoned homes along 611.

[_AR_]

Since I don't think this should be posted in the main disco thread, I'll post it here. (Plus I'm sure posting anything about a western trend/solution would be deleted lol)

12Z runs are looking better again for our interior areas. I think this is a classic case of models showing a western solution, jumping east, then trending back west. The main thing to watch it that kicker vort (visible around hour 90-96 on todays 12Z GFS at 500mb). If that weakens, or phases with our main vort, we are in business for heavy precip.

Other than models trending back west, GFS ensembles are west again, EURO ensembles have been consistently west.

[wederwarrior]

my assessment: things( ) are looking good for this week up in our neck of the woods

Now lets watch those temps drop

Currently 18.5

[LVblizzard]

Am I the only one who thinks Allentown will be dangerously close to the rain/snow line? Everyone is saying we'll do well but I'm skeptical. I don't really have a great feeling about this storm, especially with all the things that need to go right.

[blinkers88]

Am I the only one who thinks Allentown will be dangerously close to the rain/snow line? Everyone is saying we'll do well but I'm skeptical. I don't really have a great feeling about this storm, especially with all the things that need to go right.

I think this is gonna be one of those old school "NW of the cities" type of storms... you will do fine

[chrisNJ]

This is going to be a tough storm to call. 18z NAM shows not even flurries, but the 12z Euro today was encouraging for our area. Regardless of what happens, the current snow/ice glaciers on our lawns is not going anywhere. Another possible storm around Groundhog's day and cold temps probably for the foreseeable future.

[blinkers88]

DT is woofin Feb 2/3...

[dssbss]

DT is woofin Feb 2/3...

Starting to look like a lot of people are writing off this week's storm alraeady.

[_AR_]

Am I the only one who thinks Allentown will be dangerously close to the rain/snow line? Everyone is saying we'll do well but I'm skeptical. I don't really have a great feeling about this storm, especially with all the things that need to go right.

With the GGEM west/warm solution, the west ECMWF solution, and the east scraper GFS and NAM solutions, I really have no idea what to think at all. We could honestly end up with rain, a foot of snow, flurries, or a mix.

[Ej257 snow lover]

Starting to look like a lot of people are writing off this week's storm alraeady.

yeah i think a little bit. It might be because Friday 2.50-2.75 QPF numbers were thrown around and now we would be lucky with 1.0 QPF

[wederwarrior]

down to 5

[rygar]

I don't think anyone should feel 'good' about this storm yet. Seems like every possible solution is on the table, and it is not like the euro has been brilliant this year.

[Grothar]

I think this is gonna be one of those old school "NW of the cities" type of storms... you will do fine

We have been burned so many times in the past two years, it is regrettable that many LV posters feel this way. This storm on Wed. so far looks no different. For once I would love to see all of the models show 2" of QPF only over the LV and Poconos for three straight runs with blizzard warnings being issued. But lets face it, we do not live in NYC so why should we even expect it. i will be happy with my usual 2-4 inch snowfall on top of my glacier. Thats why we live here and not in NYC or PHL. Try to shovel out a spot only for it to be taken the next day.

[Boreal]

yeah i think a little bit. It might be because Friday 2.50-2.75 QPF numbers were thrown around and now we would be lucky with 1.0 QPF

Interestingly, despite all of the varied solutions over the last 5 days, I don't recall a single model run for this upcoming system in which our general area has been in the qpf bullseye. Maybe that's a good thing this go around.

[Sunny and Warm]

Starting to look like a lot of people are writing off this week's storm alraeady.

Only the people east of 95 are writing it off potentially, although it's too early to tell. I believe we get a good storm out of this mid week storm.

[RkTec]

8:20 p.m.

Temp: 9

Forecast low or the night is 0.

[NortheastPAWx]

5.2*F in Hazleton...but the DP is 0 so if we want the subzero forecasts we're going to need something to get the humidity down.

[Storm017]

TEMP 4

DP -1

[LVblizzard]

Tamaqua Area School District is on a 2 hour delay already. I'd expect mine to have one too, or possibly even have off since about 80% of the students walk. I wouldn't mind walking in 0 degree weather but they figure it's too dangerous for the people who choose to wear nothing but a sweatshirt.

[_AR_]

Tamaqua Area School District is on a 2 hour delay already. I'd expect mine to have one too, or possibly even have off since about 80% of the students walk. I wouldn't mind walking in 0 degree weather but they figure it's too dangerous for the people who choose to wear nothing but a sweatshirt.

Pfft. Suck it up.

[LVblizzard]

Pfft. Suck it up.

It's pretty pathetic, in January 2009 school closed when the morning low was 7.

[_AR_]

It's pretty pathetic, in January 2009 school closed when the morning low was 7.

haha. I remember my school delaying a couple times for cold temps. I think it mostly had to do with taking too long to get the buses started.

[Pohopoco]

1.9 here,going down slowly,unlike last night...need the wind to die down...

[WeatherGuide]

I think making any real judgments until tommorows 12z runs about the LV may be premature. I'll be happy with 4-6 outta this.

I look at it this way rather have a lot of small events than a once and done deal with the "big one"

[Voyager]

Pfft. Suck it up.

It's pretty pathetic, in January 2009 school closed when the morning low was 7.

I don't ever remember school being delayed for cold when I went, but that was from 1973 to 1986.

[NortheastPAWx]

3.0*F

[Storm017]

Temp :2.0

DP: -2.0

[NortheastPAWx]

2.2*F

I will pull my hair out if the GFS verifies verbatim.

[Grothar]

My Lehigh Valley friends - all I have heard tonight and in the past week is the upcoming storm is either more inland or NW of philly. Frankly I am getting real tired of the LV valley either referenced as being inland, as Philly suburbs or being northwest of philly. We say something on the board in the other threads about this, we are often accused of IMBY posts. Just simply tell me how much the QPF or snowfall is for the LV or ABE. With nearly a half a million people in the LV, we deserve more than a casual mention of .50 qpf nw of NYC. Please let me know what you think