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Lehigh Valley to Reading to Southern Poconos to NW NJ ...obs and banter!

mcgin

By mcgin,
in New York City Metro

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Grothar

Grothar

Posted
Posted

Could you take a guess on the highs/lows for the cold snap? I mean are you talking records being broken type cold?

Does -5 to-15 break records? The point is that it will be cold. Any thawing from the previous storm will be frozen. If there is an ice storm, a disaster declaration may be issued with states of emergency being issued if power outages are widespread. With that type of cold- how will people say warm? It is going to be interesting come next weekend

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Voyager

Voyager

Posted
Posted

Does -5 to-15 break records? The point is that it will be cold. Any thawing from the previous storm will be frozen. If there is an ice storm, a disaster declaration may be issued with states of emergency being issued if power outages are widespread. With that type of cold- how will people say warm? It is going to be interesting come next weekend

-15 is ABE's all time record low, so it's close.

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Voyager

Voyager

Posted
Posted

Thanks Grothar. I'd like 4-8 to top off what we already have on the ground. The official forecast is for snow starting starting after midnight Monday night. Then after 1:00PM possibly mixing or changing to freezing rain.

Tuesday: Snow likely before 1pm, then snow and freezing rain. High near 26. East wind between 5 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: Snow and freezing rain before 1am, then rain or freezing rain. Low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Then there is this HWS from State College:

A LONG-DURATION STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING A WINTRY MIX OF

SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN TO THE REGION FROM MONDAY

NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BE HEAVY ACROSS THE

NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE STARTING MONDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT

ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL

PENNSYLVANIA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

If most of that precip were to fall as freezing rain....ouch. :unsure:

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RkTec

RkTec

Posted
Posted 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
435 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-311100-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
435 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

AN ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY,
WITH A FEW INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY MAY RECEIVE SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOW.

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THAT TIME PERIOD IS ICE.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION.

Allentown Forecast:

Monday Night: Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low

around 18. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph. Chance of

precipitation is 60%.

Tuesday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 30. East wind between 3 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Tuesday Night: Snow

and sleet likely before 1am, then freezing rain likely. Cloudy, with a

low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation

amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday: Freezing

rain likely before 3pm, then rain likely between 3pm and 5pm, then rain

or freezing rain likely after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 34.

Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

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_AR_

_AR_

Posted
Posted

I am legitimately concerned for a major ice storm across the area. The models seem to have been trending colder at the surface. Especially the lehigh valley, as they will change over to freezing rain first. The northern tier of PA may be saved by a few more inches of snow before changing over.

nam_namer_075_10m_wnd_precip.gif

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goldstar

goldstar

Posted
Posted

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

835 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...A LARGE WINTER STORM IS FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR PORTIONS

OF THE NORTHEAST USA...

.SNOW TUESDAY MORNING WILL TURN TO RAIN...SLEET AND FREEZING DRIZZLE

SOMETIME TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN RESUME AS HEAVY RAIN OR FREEZING

RAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE WEDNESDAY.

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-068-069-310945-

/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110201T0800Z-110202T2200Z/

SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-

MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...

FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...JIM THORPE...

STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...

NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN

835 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER

STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE: EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

AS WELL AS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW TUESDAY MORNING CHANGES TO SLEET OR

FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. PERIODS OF

HEAVY SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT

INTO WEDNESDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET TUESDAY. GLAZE

MAY ACCUMULATE FROM ONE QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH.

* TIMING: SNOW BEGINS BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE

CHANGE TO SLEET OR FREEZING DRIZZLE SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN NOON

AND 6 PM TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS: THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE WILL LIKELY BE HAZARDOUS

WITH AT LEAST SOME SNOW AND TEMPERATURES NEAR 20. THE WEDNESDAY

MORNING COMMUTE IS ALSO LIKELY TO BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO ICE AND

THE WEDNESDAY EVENING COMMUTE MAY STILL BE HAZARDOUS FOR ALL

UNTREATED PAVEMENTS. IF GLAZE REACHES OR EXCEEDS ONE HALF

INCH...POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR. ALSO...THE WATER EQUIVALENT

PRECIPITATION FOR THIS STORM MAY EXCEED ONE INCH AND THIS ADDED

TO SNOW LOADS ON SOME ROOFS AND ATTEMPTING TO RUN OFF INTO ICE

ALREADY ICE CLOGGED ROOF GUTTERS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO STRUCTURE LEAKS.

* CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE ON BOTH SNOW AND GLAZE OCCURRING BUT

TOP END AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET AND THREE

QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF GLAZE ARE BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT

SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

DRAG

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

840 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-068-069-311200-

SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-

MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-

840 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN

NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL

PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE

INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

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