Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 the nam waffles around like a weenie here. i'd ride the sref at this pt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Beginning to think an inch may not even happen here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 if the guy N of Harrisburg is getting mod snow and its still 32.5 with little accum, we are certain to see no more than a coating I said the storm was further north than any of the models had it this winter rocks....err.....sucks rocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I was in York PA the last few hours, car serviced and getting my ski's from the shop. Its been snowing there lightly since 6pm. Snow shut off around 10 miles north of the PA border Haven't had a flake here 5 miles south of the PA border. Thats a sign this is gonna be bad, when its snowing places northeast of me before it gets here in a storm coming from the southwest lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 if the guy N of Harrisburg is getting mod snow and its still 32.5 with little accum, we are certain to see no more than a coating I said the storm was further north than any of the models had it this winter rocks....err.....sucks rocks Its just a wave along the arctic front, problem was the arctic front did not make it as far south as it was supposed too. Think about the temps today in the mid 40's all the way to the PA border. The front was supposed to make it 50 miles south of where it got. That is the boundary the wave is moving along so naturally its north also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 if the guy N of Harrisburg is getting mod snow and its still 32.5 with little accum, we are certain to see no more than a coating I said the storm was further north than any of the models had it this winter rocks....err.....sucks rocks no way he had mod snow for more than like 3 minutes based on radar the stuff which would get us is still to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I was in York PA the last few hours, car serviced and getting my ski's from the shop. Its been snowing there lightly since 6pm. Snow shut off around 10 miles north of the PA border Haven't had a flake here 5 miles south of the PA border. Thats a sign this is gonna be bad, when its snowing places northeast of me before it gets here in a storm coming from the southwest lol. that is ALWAYS the kiss of death because it means its gone to our west and surrounded from the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 we should skip these pregame meltdowns when there is no game to begin with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 we should skip these pregame meltdowns when there is no game to begin with Is it snowing in DC yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 S winds 5-8 steady with gusts to 10. oh joy. We'll probably stay above freezing all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 no way he had mod snow for more than like 3 minutes based on radar the stuff which would get us is still to the west We had several embedded quick bands move through. 0.5in of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Is it snowing in DC yet? Not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Is it snowing raining in DC yet? nope, not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The first stuff to cross is hurtin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 no way he had mod snow for more than like 3 minutes based on radar the stuff which would get us is still to the west true and i think you may get a burst when the front comes through, but everything has shifted well north even from earlier today. The precip moving across central PA was supposed to affect areas right along the Mason Dixon line this evening but it is 50 miles north. It wouldn't have much impact on DC though you are right, but it means places north of Baltimore that were still holding out hope for perhaps 2 or 3 inches with good ratios are probably now in the "hope for an inch" category. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Nothing yet here, down to 30.2 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 nope, not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Its just a wave along the arctic front, problem was the arctic front did not make it as far south as it was supposed too. Think about the temps today in the mid 40's all the way to the PA border. The front was supposed to make it 50 miles south of where it got. That is the boundary the wave is moving along so naturally its north also. We hit a high of 37.1 here today according to my thermometer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timstobrazil Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Not even close yeah 46F in Rosslyn, not very conducive to snow, you think it will start as rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 yeah 46F in Rosslyn, not very conducive to snow, you think it will start as rain? that's warm.. really? i dunno. it could i guess be a few drops to start, but i would not really expect it to last long if it did from south of d.c. and north. i dont expect it to amount a ton overall but it was pretty clear that would be the case before today. could still get some decent bursts based on how radar has looked in wv over the past few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 850's aren't the problem, its 925mb on down to the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 We hit a high of 37.1 here today according to my thermometer. perhaps the front got further south west of Baltimore, but I know when driving from Baltimore to York up 83 today it was still 43 as I crossed the Mason Dixon line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 850's aren't the problem, its 925mb on down to the surface 925mb is marginally below freezing but the warning probably isn't done yet. Unfortunately, the surface is indeed torching though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 you can clearly see the problem in a nutshell the trough coming down from Canada in the Great Lakes was supposed to come down to N WV or Western PA instead, it never made it further south than central Indiana and it seems to be pulling north already at the end of this loop http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/noaaport_loop.php?PATH=/var/www/leads_images/satellite/SPN/WV/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Mother nature is laughing at me, no matter how low I set my expectations, she finds a way to lower the bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 perhaps the front got further south west of Baltimore, but I know when driving from Baltimore to York up 83 today it was still 43 as I crossed the Mason Dixon line. That's possible....I am also down in the valley....some times we are a bit slower to warm up (and vise versa at other times). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timstobrazil Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 that's warm.. really? i dunno. it could i guess be a few drops to start, but i would not really expect it to last long if it did from south of d.c. and north. i dont expect it to amount a ton overall but it was pretty clear that would be the case before today. could still get some decent bursts based on how radar has looked in wv over the past few hours. since i posted that it's down to 42, so going in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Mother nature is laughing at me, no matter how low I set my expectations, she finds a way to lower the bar. reminds me of the joke "if a girl doesn't meet your standards, lower them" well, if a snow event this winter doesn't meet out standards, we need to lower them problem is, you can't go below 0! as for WVA radar returns, the Apps love that qpf http://www.atmos.albany.edu/products/radarse/radarloop.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 you guys went all ji up in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I'm glad I invested so little in this thing. I can go to bed with my mind at peace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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