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Jan 20-22 Mid-Atlantic OBS thread


Ellinwood

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post-96-0-53910400-1295538664.png

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO

9 AM EST FRIDAY...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES. HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE

RIDGELINES OF THE ALLEGHENY FRONT AND SURROUNDING RIDGES ALONG

THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS.

* TIMING...INITIAL SNOW BANDS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE THIS

EVENING...CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. OUTSIDE OF THE

ALLEGHENY FRONT REGION...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO END BY THE PRE-DAWN

HOURS BUT CONTINUE ACROSS THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE HIGHER

TERRAIN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF FRIDAY MORNING.

-----

Premature jumpers are not allowed back on the ship.

EDIT: I guess I psychically stole wxtrix's idea (from 40S)... started this obs thread in nearly the same way :arrowhead:

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post-96-0-53910400-1295538664.png

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO

9 AM EST FRIDAY...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES. HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE

RIDGELINES OF THE ALLEGHENY FRONT AND SURROUNDING RIDGES ALONG

THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS.

* TIMING...INITIAL SNOW BANDS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE THIS

EVENING...CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. OUTSIDE OF THE

ALLEGHENY FRONT REGION...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO END BY THE PRE-DAWN

HOURS BUT CONTINUE ACROSS THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE HIGHER

TERRAIN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF FRIDAY MORNING.

-----

Premature jumpers are now allowed back on the ship.

:lol: good luck keeping that rule enforced

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:lol:

You meant not right? Cause that's what I read haha

Yeah I went back and fixed it.

Jumpers should be 5 posted... already seeing the "NEXT!" replies going on.

-----

16z SFC... secondary low trying to form over the mountains (some of which is likely due to the orographic effects).

post-96-0-30473500-1295540899.png

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BTW...it would be really nice if temps would start dropping quickly now. Although that's probably hard with this kind of cloud cover.

Even if the temps drop below freezing prior to the precip which is doubtful with cloud cover, the ground temps are going to stay above freezing for awhile which will probably prevent the early snow from sticking. Temps in the 40s prior to light snow is a bad combo.

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Even if the temps drop below freezing prior to the precip which is doubtful with cloud cover, the ground temps are going to stay above freezing for awhile which will probably prevent the early snow from sticking. Temps in the 40s prior to light snow is a bad combo.

were getting light snow??

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Ian this is your forecast for tonight:

Tonight: Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 30. East wind at 11 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Also your zones show all snow for Mon night- Tues night.

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Even if the temps drop below freezing prior to the precip which is doubtful with cloud cover, the ground temps are going to stay above freezing for awhile which will probably prevent the early snow from sticking. Temps in the 40s prior to light snow is a bad combo.

I don't know how accurate this mesoscale site is, but it shows 850 temp over BWI around -8C and 925 temp around -4C if you go to the drop menu under Basic UA

http://w1.spc.woc.no....php?sector=17#

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... Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 6 PM EST

Friday...

A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 6 PM EST

Friday.

* Accumulation: 3 to 6 inches through tonight... with an

additional 1 to 3 inches Friday.

* Timing: late this afternoon through Friday.

* Impacts: roads will likely become snow covered.

* Visibilities: reduced to less than one mile at times.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow

will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow

covered roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while

driving. Report your snowfall accumulations to the National

Weather Service by calling toll free... 1-877-633-6772.

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Ian this is your forecast for tonight:

Tonight: Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 30. East wind at 11 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Also your zones show all snow for Mon night- Tues night.

that's not the zone forecast.. it's the point one, not sure why it shows 1-2 though.

Tonight

Cloudy...snow...mainly after midnight. Snow accumulation around an inch. Lows in the upper 20s. Southeast winds around 5 mph...becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of snow 90 percent.

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=20036

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Why is your WWA in effect through 6pm? Is the sunshine tomorrow afternoon shining off the dusting of snow going to cause problems?

Mine says 9am.

oakland md

and for those keeping track of BOS ;)

... Winter Storm Warning in effect from 2 am to 3 PM EST Friday...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a Winter Storm

Warning for heavy snow... which is in effect from

2 am to 3 PM EST Friday. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer

in effect.

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oakland md

and for those keeping track of BOS ;)

... Winter Storm Warning in effect from 2 am to 3 PM EST Friday...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a Winter Storm

Warning for heavy snow... which is in effect from

2 am to 3 PM EST Friday. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer

in effect.

I think you've got an audience of one, Ian. And it happens to be you.

:bike:

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