CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 At the very least, I think there is more confidence in a nice little 8-10 hour fluff storm that could produce up to low end warning lollis amongst solid advisory snows. We still have 24-30 hours to get that vortmax just a bit more south, though I'd probably take the Euro right now and run if offered. The Euro actually is quite similar to the GFS ensembles for our area...much more impressive up in E ME though. Yeah a quick hitter, but it could snow at a good clip for a few hours. This looks like a widespread event too, with perhaps not much of a difference across the region. Maybe eastern areas have a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Question is now...Do WATCHES go up or do they wait and just throw up advisories. I'd think the latter. I'd think if by 12z tomorrow...there is not enough evidence of something greater that 3-6", they'll just throw advisories. However, if there is a decent shot at verifying 4-8" widespread, watches will be hoisted, at least for the eastern half of SNE. Coastal ME likely to have watches based on the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 What did the Euro have for QPF for CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 What did the Euro have for QPF for CT? 0.35 to 0.40 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 0.35 to 0.40 or so. Not shabby at all...still makes me think 3-6'' for the state then...maybe even more towards 4-8'' if ratios are higher than 15:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 going for 6- 9 inches in ct for the friday storm . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Looks like the SREF came back west which isn't a surprise considering how far east they were at 21z...brings most areas >0.25" and brings the 0.50" line back to the CC Canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 NAM really went nuts for SE MA, but a warning criteria storm for SE half of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 337 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011 ...A PLOWABLE SNOW STORM FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY... CTZ002>004-MAZ002>023-026-RIZ001>008-201645- /O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0006.110121T0500Z-110121T1700Z/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA- SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI- EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON... SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD... CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH... FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH... PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD... PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT... WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 337 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS...MASSACHUSETTS...RHODE ISLAND AND NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR THE CAPE COD CANAL. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY BY MIDNIGHT THEN QUICKLY SPREAD EAST OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL AROUND THE TIME OF THE MORNING COMMUTE. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THE MORNING COMMUTE MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SNOW AND/OR ICE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE DRIVING AND WALKING DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE...ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING...MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Looks like the SREF came back west which isn't a surprise considering how far east they were at 21z...brings most areas >0.25" and brings the 0.50" line back to the CC Canal. Awt! Nam is funny, not one stable run in the leadup. 4-8 or 5-10 all eastern areas oending the 12z. Out west good luck that's reverend country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 0.35 to 0.40 or so. AWW (As We Wished) Congrats to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nice trends on the overnight ... always a great way to kickoff the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Another nice move to the NW by the 6z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Euro raw output.. BDL .40" PVD .42" BOS .48" ORH .39" GON .39" EWB .43" PWM .61" CON .41" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 4-8 region-wide for SNE seems like a decent call attm. My 3 or 4" for mby is looking solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 As expected the NW trend kicks in at the eleventh hour and advisories are hoisted. General 3-6" forecast here from BOX at this time and, based on current trends I wouldn't be at all surprised to see a few more tacked on. Hey Messenger!!! what happened to all guidance pointing to a SE trend? Pattern recognition. Funny how jaded everyone is getting poo-pooing advisory level events.lol Good week so far here on the East slope, 6.75" Tuesday, 2.5" Wednesday, another 6" possible tonight then into the ice box with double digit negatives. Big Winter incoming, Big Big Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Wouldn't surprise me to see WWAs posted for coastal sections of NH and ME later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Next weeks storm looks juicy as per the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 And for coastal Connecticut ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 GFS Is 3-6" region wide....least in God's Country...perhaps an inch or two. <div><br></div><div>Still like my call...</div><div><br></div> Phail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I am a big guy and the glacier is so glacial that I can almost stand on it....and its great for measuring new snow on! I was bent about the mid thirties yesterday and never happy with snow to ip/zr/rn but this stuff has some super staying power!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Well things have come back NW ...Expect WWA to be upgraded to WSW later on today AWT. 6-12 folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nice trends overnight for 3-6 region wide, more coastal areas, Ocean enhancement from a SSE flow over the Arctic dome, would not be surprised to see some 8 totals. New call ,sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hope those that had ye little faith in the good Rev are ready to bow down in prayer. I will forgive you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Well things have come back NW ...Expect WWA to be upgraded to WSW later on today AWT. 6-12 folks It was never in doubt. Next week looks like it could be a thumper as well.AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hope those that had ye little faith in the good Rev are ready to bow down in prayer. I will forgive you I've been a believer! 6:30PM flight....should arrive about 6 hours ahead of the 1st flakes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hope those that had ye little faith in the good Rev are ready to bow down in prayer. I will forgive you What is your snowdepth currently? Did you recieve measurable snow yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I am cooked Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 6. Wind chill values as low as -50. Northwest wind between 9 and 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I've been a believer! 6:30PM flight....should arrive about 6 hours ahead of the 1st flakes.. We'll continue to see things come NW and stronger today. 12z runs should lock in 6-12 for all of SNE. Happens everytime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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