weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 quote name='SnowMan' timestamp='1295496039' post='319045'] Hey Jerry - you mentioned you use a pay site for the model runs...which site? Storm Vista Platinum. Although I didn't need it tonight as I was in meetings until 15 minutes ago. Crazy Uncle looks like a decent hit....storm beginning around now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Pending the Euro, of course, it looks as though the 21z SREF's were a blip on the screen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Jerry, I was looking at the site (stormvista plat) and couldn't figure out how much this is...rough ballpark. Wouldn't subscribe this winter, but next... EDIT: Found it... 30/month 330/year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Jerry, I was looking at the site (stormvista plat) and couldn't figure out how much this is...rough ballpark. Wouldn't subscribe this winter, but next... I registered to find out...I think it is 30 per month or 330 annually...correct me if I am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Pending the Euro, of course, it looks as though the 21z SREF's were a blip on the screen They likely would not have had the benefit of the better sampling the 00Z NAM/GFS would have had with the northern stream disturbance now at the US/Canada border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The vortmax is now tracking on top of us this 00z suite so far rather than NW of us so that is a good start (well GFS is still just a shade NW). If we can just shove it a little further south underneath SNE then I think the snow potential would increase to low end warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nice to see the GFS come through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This might be one of these storms where just a glitch northwest in the track at the last minute can mean fairly significant differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Ensembles are a little nw and slightly stronger than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So we have GFS/UKMET and at 12Z sort of Euro and CMC. Big ratios...cold storm. Mets...any idea of snow growth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So we have GFS/UKMET and at 12Z sort of Euro and CMC. Big ratios...cold storm. Mets...any idea of snow growth? NAM had ideal snow growth...perhaps 18 to 1 type ratios. Conservatively, I'd bet 15 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So we have GFS/UKMET and at 12Z sort of Euro and CMC. Big ratios...cold storm. Mets...any idea of snow growth? 00z GGEM looks a bit like the RGEM...probably an advisory event except the Cape which might get warning snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 ya ensembles look good. 0.5-0.75 up to about BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 00z GGEM looks a bit like the RGEM...probably an advisory event except the Cape which might get warning snow. CMC goes back and forth from 2 foot blizzard to advisory event.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Upton says a general 2-5 for their areas. Not too shabby here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Wow, ensembles are a warning event probably for a good chunk of the area...esp SE half of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Wow, ensembles are a warning event probably for a good chunk of the area...esp SE half of SNE. Overperformer on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Ensembles are a little nw and slightly stronger than the op. Yeah...high end advisory Boston metro....solid advisory snows out to GC. Perhaps warning snow PYM S&E towards CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 For BDR, 00z NAM...I'd believe those 20+ ratios when it happened but hey, we're all good. Eastern areas should do very well. 110121/0700Z 31 VRB02KT 28.4F SNOW 12:1| 0.1|| 0.1 0.012|| 0.01 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/0800Z 32 09003KT 28.4F SNOW 13:1| 0.4|| 0.5 0.028|| 0.04 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/0900Z 33 05004KT 28.4F SNOW 14:1| 0.5|| 1.0 0.035|| 0.07 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/1000Z 34 04005KT 28.2F SNOW 15:1| 0.5|| 1.5 0.035|| 0.11 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/1100Z 35 05004KT 28.2F SNOW 17:1| 0.7|| 2.2 0.039|| 0.15 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/1200Z 36 02004KT 28.0F SNOW 24:1| 0.9|| 3.1 0.035|| 0.19 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Date/hour FHr Wind SfcT Ptype SRat|Snow||TotSN QPF ||TotQPF Sleet||TotPL FZRA||TotZR S%| I%| L% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 110121/1300Z 37 34005KT 27.9F SNOW 22:1| 0.6|| 3.7 0.028|| 0.21 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/1400Z 38 33006KT 28.2F SNOW 23:1| 0.3|| 3.9 0.012|| 0.22 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/1500Z 39 31007KT 30.0F SNOW 23:1| 0.1|| 4.0 0.004|| 0.23 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/1600Z 40 29010KT 31.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 4.0 0.000|| 0.23 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110121/1700Z 41 29014KT 31.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 4.0 0.000|| 0.23 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110121/1800Z 42 29014KT 32.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 4.0 0.000|| 0.23 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110121/1900Z 43 29015KT 31.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 4.0 0.000|| 0.23 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110121/2000Z 44 29016KT 30.0F SNOW 23:1| 0.1|| 4.1 0.004|| 0.23 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110121/2100Z 45 29017KT 27.1F SNOW 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.004|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Will, how much snow do you have left... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The soundings look great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The soundings look great. Until the EURO rolls of the presses with a .2" QPF bomb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Will, how much snow do you have left... What is the state of the cp snowpack? I haven't seen it since it was snowing hard yesterday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Will, how much snow do you have left... A lot. There was probably a net gain of 4" or so (6-7" compacted by IP/ZR)...it all got iced over from the ZR. It had to deal with a few hours of 33-34F today, but that didnt do much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Until the EURO rolls of the presses with a .2" QPF bomb... I'll take anything. It really sucked to watch the scenery get destroyed. Hell, I'm having fun watching these great dendrites whitening up the landscape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 What is the state of the cp snowpack? I haven't seen it since it was snowing hard yesterday morning. I was left with about 16" at the end of the carnage and picked up anohter inch this aft\evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The soundings look great. 12/30/93 again (Will's memory ftw...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I'll take anything. It really sucked to watch the scenery get destroyed. Hell, I'm having fun watching these great dendrites whitening up the landscape. What do we have left in town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 What is the state of the cp snowpack? I haven't seen it since it was snowing hard yesterday morning. A spotty 1-2 inches down here but I know my area is not representative of most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 What is the state of the cp snowpack? I haven't seen it since it was snowing hard yesterday morning. It took a good hit, but still pretty deep in most spots. I'd say a foot or so on avg. Exposed areas have maybe 6- 8" or so. Some areas more than a foot. In general 10-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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