tamarack Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 My temp for Sunday is 12 During the day and -12 sunday night........ And Monday is colder. AFD from GYX this morning noted "coldest air in 2 yr". Not that it would take much to beat last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 With a side of fries. The 12z GGEM is a beaut. What does the GGEM look like for Portland, ME area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 -14ºF Monday morning at BOS if GFS 2 meter raw numbers are to be believed. They aren't to be believed, but i think Bos will get near 0 or a hair below.....I'll prob be like -12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
W1WFG Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Local guys taking the plunge. GYX having none of it. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ATTM THAT THE OCEAN STORM WILL PASS WELL S AND E OF NEW ENGL ON FRI. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM THE OVERUNNING PATTERN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF FRI MRNG WITH A FEW INCHES PSBL WITH RAPID CLRG BY LATER IN THE DAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 First guess: http://www.americanw...post&pid=312856 Updated map. I left the same intervals for the fun of it, but I think 6-10 and 10+ would be better suited. Anyway, there ya go: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 They aren't to be believed, but i think Bos will get near 0 or a hair below.....I'll prob be like -12. gfs mos is -10 in Bedford...-9F down by my way. One of the top three coldest nights of my life if this comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteOut56 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 gfs mos is -10 in Bedford...-9F down by my way. One of the top three coldest nights of my life if this comes to fruition. -18.2 for KORH. Yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 GYX having none of it. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ATTM THAT THE OCEAN STORM WILL PASS WELL S AND E OF NEW ENGL ON FRI. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM THE OVERUNNING PATTERN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF FRI MRNG WITH A FEW INCHES PSBL WITH RAPID CLRG BY LATER IN THE DAY Last to the party....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 GYX having none of it. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ATTM THAT THE OCEAN STORM WILL PASS WELL S AND E OF NEW ENGL ON FRI. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM THE OVERUNNING PATTERN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF FRI MRNG WITH A FEW INCHES PSBL WITH RAPID CLRG BY LATER IN THE DAY that was written before the 12z model suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 As. We. Thought.. 5-10'' lock. Kevin FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 You have pretty near what we have....although it is def. worse n of you. After 2007-08, they can deal. Yeah. I'm about 2" below what I've averaged to date since 1998, while CAR is 22" below. And this winter seems headed for their 2nd way below winter in a row, though it shouldn't end up with the same neverending torch as last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 And Monday is colder. AFD from GYX this morning noted "coldest air in 2 yr". Not that it would take much to beat last winter. Sure is, I bet we dont get out of the single numbers for highs either day.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 -18.2 for KORH. Yikes! where are you getting -18.2 from? 12z GFS MOS is -9F at ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 You and I up this way are going to need this storm to get its act together a little further south........ True..... We'll still get a nice refresher either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 gfs mos is -10 in Bedford...-9F down by my way. One of the top three coldest nights of my life if this comes to fruition. I'd prob be -9....I'm usually about a deg warmer than KBED in radiational situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 First guess: http://www.americanw...post&pid=312856 Updated map. I left the same intervals for the fun of it, but I think 6-10 and 10+ would be better suited. Anyway, there ya go: I like the 12"+ contour alignment for the heaviest snow. Whether we get that much remains to be seen, but that seems like a best guess for jackpot areas imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I like the 12"+ contour alignment for the heaviest snow. Whether we get that much remains to be seen, but that seems like a best guess for jackpot areas imo. I wouldn't have gone that gung hoe surprisngly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 GYX having none of it. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ATTM THAT THE OCEAN STORM WILL PASS WELL S AND E OF NEW ENGL ON FRI. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM THE OVERUNNING PATTERN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF FRI MRNG WITH A FEW INCHES PSBL WITH RAPID CLRG BY LATER IN THE DAY That from from 2:08 AM, this afternoon they will make big changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 True..... We'll still get a nice refresher either way Thats all we need really, Just a little lube for the sliders.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 where are you getting -18.2 from? 12z GFS MOS is -9F at ORH. I'm guessing 2 meter raw numbers versus MOS output which starts weighting climatology, as I understand it. ETA- or a Farenheit vs Celcius issue... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I wouldn't have gone that gung hoe surprisngly. I meant, he contoured the area that I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I like the 12"+ contour alignment for the heaviest snow. Whether we get that much remains to be seen, but that seems like a best guess for jackpot areas imo. Yea, it looks qualitatively sound, but may be a little robust, quantitatively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteOut56 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 where are you getting -18.2 from? 12z GFS MOS is -9F at ORH. The 12z GFS Metar at hour 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 GYX having none of it. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ATTM THAT THE OCEAN STORM WILL PASS WELL S AND E OF NEW ENGL ON FRI. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM THE OVERUNNING PATTERN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF FRI MRNG WITH A FEW INCHES PSBL WITH RAPID CLRG BY LATER IN THE DAY Almost verbatim what they said during the last 2 storms. It will change later today or this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I like the 12"+ contour alignment for the heaviest snow. Whether we get that much remains to be seen, but that seems like a best guess for jackpot areas imo. I wish he had hung it back a county west in CT..but it looks good to me for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This winter is like the antithesis of last winter. Last winter it'd be 5-10'' at D3 to 2-4'' the day of. I like this better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Euro looks to deliver......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 What does the GGEM look like for Portland, ME area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 GYX having none of it. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ATTM THAT THE OCEAN STORM WILL PASS WELL S AND E OF NEW ENGL ON FRI. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM THE OVERUNNING PATTERN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF FRI MRNG WITH A FEW INCHES PSBL WITH RAPID CLRG BY LATER IN THE DAY once again, they are late to the party I just don't get those guys issuing AFD updates just "before" model runs come in - why not wait until at least a few of the 12z results are in???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Some friends of ours out in St. Louis were expecting 3-5 inches from the storm, they are at 12" now. Alot more moisture in it, then they thought the day before. So this storm was definitely stronger than forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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