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Friday, January 21st Storm Discussion II


Baroclinic Zone

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  On 1/20/2011 at 12:55 PM, mattlacroix4 said:

So 5-10 inches..maybe more depending on fluff factor..wow. Taunton talks about the shift in the models and upping amounts, but GYX doesn't. Once again..I bet they will at 2:45 pm today or so.

GYX will wait until the storm is in progress :devilsmiley:

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  On 1/20/2011 at 12:58 PM, ski MRG said:

Lol Scott, don't get bent out of shape, I'm just messin'. I said the NW trend was inevitable and you said I was ignoring the clear SE trend. I wasn't. I was just counting on the windshield wiper effect that seems to be in effect this year. SE,SE,SE, NW,NW,NW.....HIT! Man,it's windy here on top of the mountain today. Tough to push. All these little buttons. Enjoy the snow!!!

Hey Pete! You are going to get incredible ratios up there, insane fluff factor.............enjoy the powder in the trees, bushwacking galore :snowman:

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  On 1/20/2011 at 1:41 PM, CT Rain said:

Yeah I could see this overperforming. A bit. Most people probably get 3 or 4"

The reduced expectations after runs a day or two ago had this spitting out .5-1.0 of QPF for many would lend, naturally, for the impression of over-achievement.

But even against reasonable expectations -- which have been in the 3-6 range thus far, in my opinion -- this one seems to have a little more oomph written all over it.

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  On 1/20/2011 at 1:47 PM, ORH_wxman said:

SREFS NW again...looks like a low end warning storm for SE half of SNE.

Will, look at the radar in the Midwest.. doesn't it have that featherly look that scream good ratios? If it dropped 9 inches in St. Louis, Why can't it drop more here?

If the Nam comes in NW I think BOX has to put up WSWs Dont you?

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