SJonesWX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So 5-10 inches..maybe more depending on fluff factor..wow. Taunton talks about the shift in the models and upping amounts, but GYX doesn't. Once again..I bet they will at 2:45 pm today or so. GYX will wait until the storm is in progress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Lol Scott, don't get bent out of shape, I'm just messin'. I said the NW trend was inevitable and you said I was ignoring the clear SE trend. I wasn't. I was just counting on the windshield wiper effect that seems to be in effect this year. SE,SE,SE, NW,NW,NW.....HIT! Man,it's windy here on top of the mountain today. Tough to push. All these little buttons. Enjoy the snow!!! Hey Pete! You are going to get incredible ratios up there, insane fluff factor.............enjoy the powder in the trees, bushwacking galore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 any rough ideas on start time tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 . . .So. My tongue in cheek dusting to an inch call from yesterday is out the window? Sounds good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nice to see the 6z models to bump things up a bit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Srefs should be coming out......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Srefs should be coming out......... They bring the low to Albany in a surprise jump nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Srefs should be coming out......... going to be obviously better...big differences at 500mb already at 15 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nice to see the 6z models to bump things up a bit! I'm fairly optimistic for the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 They bring the low to Albany in a surprise jump nw Probably....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I'm fairly optimistic for the 12z runs. Yeah I could see this overperforming. A bit. Most people probably get 3 or 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 It would be nice to see 3-6" for my area instead of 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Yeah I could see this overperforming. A bit. Most people probably get 3 or 4" The reduced expectations after runs a day or two ago had this spitting out .5-1.0 of QPF for many would lend, naturally, for the impression of over-achievement. But even against reasonable expectations -- which have been in the 3-6 range thus far, in my opinion -- this one seems to have a little more oomph written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Srefs a solid 4-8 or 5-10 Boston providence se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 SREFS NW again...looks like a low end warning storm for SE half of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Looks good here for DE Maine....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 First bluff nam doesn't look all that different versus 6z, but little less energy in eastern Iowa? More in the base near southern il Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 SREFS NW again...looks like a low end warning storm for SE half of SNE. Will, look at the radar in the Midwest.. doesn't it have that featherly look that scream good ratios? If it dropped 9 inches in St. Louis, Why can't it drop more here? If the Nam comes in NW I think BOX has to put up WSWs Dont you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Anyone doubting 6-12 now??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Anyone doubting 6-12 now??? The trend will not be denied... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The trend will not be denied... LOL at Ryan sticking with 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nam is waaaay nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Anyone doubting 6-12 now??? For whom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 NAM is going to be better than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nam is waaaay nw AWT seasonal trend ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Low looks like it develops a couple ticks further north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Anyone doubting 6-12 now??? Great call Kevin, I hope it pans out for everyone! :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 If the nam is similar to the rest of the suite a changeover will occur over a lot of se MA and maybe along the shore of ri. It's busted too cold on temps in the previous coast tracks...will do the same here. This isn't bashing, but the lack of continuity run to run is staggering with such a short lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Lundberg text..says 8-12 inches for most of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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