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NYC Jan 20/21 Obs and Discussion Thread


am19psu

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This would be a great event to forecast right now not getting any model data but just having to use the observations.

They should have a competition, meteorologist survivor. Take some mets away from things for a few days in a controlled environment and see which one can best forecast a storm using only obs and sat/rad. Total viewers for this show would be around the total currently reading this thread...but I'd be one of them.

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They should have a competition, meteorologist survivor. Take some mets away from things for a few days in a controlled environment and see which one can best forecast a storm using only obs and sat/rad. Total viewers for this show would be around the total currently reading this thread...but I'd be one of them.

If those nuts on TLC can have a show screaming about a scud cloud, crashing vehicles and breaking windows chasing tornadoes I'd be surprised if a show like that would not actually work out okay....I'd estimate most people who watch Storm Chasers are in this field.

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They should have a competition, meteorologist survivor. Take some mets away from things for a few days in a controlled environment and see which one can best forecast a storm using only obs and sat/rad. Total viewers for this show would be around the total currently reading this thread...but I'd be one of them.

I'm down, let's start right now.

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I'm telling you, the map showing where the greatest pressure falls are is a very good indicator as to whats going to happen. With the last snow event, the greatest pressure falls were right at the coast and in the end the storm hugged the coast. I could see several people waking up suprised, and the recent radar trends over MD support a further south development.

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This could be the type of very dynamic setup where the radar one hour could look very bleak, but an hour later a massive area of S+ is encroaching into the area. This is a situation best suited to nowcasting and looking at pressure change charts and the like. I'm sure it won't be quite like the 1/12 storm, but it could go very quickly for a lot of us from not so exciting to a more dramatic situation and heavy snow.

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Since the heavy echoes over the Chesapeake first started popping about an hour ago, they've just continued to grow and back build. We're in a perfect spot here in NYC- things are blossoming more to the SW than the models were showing this afternoon.

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going to take a miracle to get 3-5 in NYC as its already snowing to our NE. We will probably get missed between two areas of snow.

Radar beams often catch high level areas of snow surrounding the radar, since the beam increases in altitude with distance from the radar. Doesn't mean the event is going to be a "bust", especially in a dynamic event such as this.

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