tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 2:23 AM, Yes_Probably_Maybe_No said: yes since I will have to drive in this nuisance event if I were home, I have no problem with snow falling but we still have another day to make the low QPF final yes i agree, this can deff trend a little juicier. I still think around .2 qpf for this event which will bring a gen 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 For our area the 21z sref looks better than the nam, but like Tom said, 1-3 inches on the nam is better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 21z rsm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 2:24 AM, tombo82685 said: yes i agree, this can deff trend a little juicier. I still think around .2 qpf for this event which will bring a gen 2-4 NAM develops a nice OTS storm and that steals some precip from our heavy flurrie event Sat night/sun morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 No big changes on the NAM (other than a tad off the QPF), maybe an hour or two quicker with the start and end times. Still looks like 2-3 inches can be squeezed out. Probably a 4-5 hour period of steady snow. Reminds me of earlier this month with the first of those 2 back to back events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 2:50 AM, Parsley said: No big changes on the NAM (other than a tad off the QPF), maybe an hour or two quicker with the start and end times. Still looks like 2-3 inches can be squeezed out. Probably a 4-5 hour period of steady snow. Reminds me of earlier this month with the first of those 2 back to back events. Care to elaborate on the start/end time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 2:58 AM, DavidK said: Care to elaborate on the start/end time? Starts between 8pm-11pm. Ends between 6am-8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 here are the indiv 21z srefs tot precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 0z rgem still hitting the area with over .2 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Interesting to see if that area of enhanced QPF along the southern tier of PA pans out. With the low track, you think it would. Oh well, I'm only handing around for the 00z RGEM....I'm tired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 And there it is, 0.20"-0.30" for eastern PA of the 00Z RGEM. Snow is over across eastern PA by 7 or 8 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 ptype on the rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 gfs is wetter than 18z... general .25-.5 for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 3:45 AM, tombo82685 said: gfs is wetter than 18z... general .25-.5 for the region. yes plz, 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 3:48 AM, Yes_Probably_Maybe_No said: yes plz, 3-5" 18z had the same for phl, but the overall coverage of the .25-.5 is greater this run. I should know in like 5-10 mins what the qpf is more precise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 abe .25-.3 phl .3-.35 rdg .3-.35 dov .25-.3 acy .3-.35 ttn .3-.35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 3:05 AM, tombo82685 said: here are the indiv 21z srefs tot precip Here are individual snow totals for PHL using the max profile temp technique (ratios averaging 13:1 to 15:1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Light snow falling here now...no idea where this came from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 2:20 AM, tombo82685 said: would you rather have sun with a few clouds, temp around freezing? Yes. Since this little nuisance snow will still be enough to give me yet another day off with no pay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:01 AM, Voyager said: Yes. Since this little nuisance snow will still be enough to give me yet another day off with no pay. what type of job cancels work for 2-4 of snow? I would think we all would be a bit more harden by now....unless its outside work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 ukmet looks a little wetter...looks lie .25 plus for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:03 AM, Allsnow said: what type of job cancels work for 2-4 of snow? I would think we all would be a bit more harden by now....unless its outside work tim, i believe he does coal mining. am i right steve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:03 AM, Allsnow said: what type of job cancels work for 2-4 of snow? I would think we all would be a bit more harden by now....unless its outside work Hauling coal out of a very deep stripping pit with a 15% grade. It's one of the last roads on the property to get cleared. Seriously though, I probably need to look for another job, as I can't have this every week all winter. On 1/20/2011 at 4:07 AM, tombo82685 said: tim, i believe he does coal mining. am i right steve? Correct Tom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:08 AM, Voyager said: Hauling coal out of a very deep stripping pit with a 15% grade. It's one of the last roads on the property to get cleared. Seriously though, I probably need to look for another job, as I can't have this every week all winter. Correct Tom. where is the mining pit at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:08 AM, Voyager said: Hauling coal out of a very deep stripping pit with a 15% grade. It's one of the last roads on the property to get cleared. Seriously though, I probably need to look for another job, as I can't have this every week all winter. Correct Tom. Thats def a hardworking job....was jw, i would think this would be a little bit better to allow daily routines to go on......hope it works out for you.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:10 AM, tombo82685 said: where is the mining pit at? In Cumbola, just outside of Port Carbon/Pottsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 WTF? We had an unexpected period of snow, and we are getting an even more unexpected period of sleet. Coating of snow and sleet on the ground. 28.2*F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:12 AM, Voyager said: In Cumbola, just outside of Port Carbon/Pottsville. ahh i know cumbola, thats just over the mtn from new philly correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 qpf run down from 0z models for phl gfs .25-.3 nam .13 rgem .2-.3 sref .25+ ukmet .25+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On 1/20/2011 at 4:12 AM, PSUHazletonWx said: WTF? We had an unexpected period of snow, and we are getting an even more unexpected period of sleet. Coating of snow and sleet on the ground. 28.2*F It's been snowing very lightly here for the past 30 minutes or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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