kanc2001 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I dont think this thing is dead just yet. Let's wait for the 12z's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 HOLY COW! how did I miss THIS thread! HELLO MY COASTAL FRIENDS!.... (Dec 89 thoughts creeping in my head again).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Fun times ahead for areas that most often get left out, may be making a trip to Riverside in Swansboro for dinner Saturday night, and a walk on N Topsail if it pans out. Don't take all My Oysters on N. Topsail....... PM Me for directions.. lol... Snow & Hot Oysters... hmmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 local AFD doesn't say much... Developing coastal low off the southeast coast on Sat may brush close enough to the Carolina coast to produce some clouds but current forecast holds any pcp off shore. Shortwave digs down across the East Coast and should hold the system off shore. By Sat evening the shortwave swings off shore and expect cold and dry weather to continue into Sunday. Temperatures on Sat will have trouble making it into the 40s and will drop down once again into the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 better get your boats ready for a little trip to see the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Looks like the NAM is going to have some snow on the SC coast in the next frame (after 54) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 A little snow right on the immediate coast, but that's it. I wouldn't sleep on this though. The wave looks good on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 so close at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 00z NAM last night vs. 06z NAM this morning vs. Latest 12z NAM 12z shifts west and throws some precip on coastal SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 The west trend is your friend for sure and it will probably continue to get closer and closer to the coast. Should be a fun little snow for the beachcombers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Is the wave in the US raob network yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This will be worse than any other snow miss this winter if we can't get snow on the coast from this storm. I mean...come on!! Snow in the ocean!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This will be worse than any other snow miss this winter if we can't get snow on the coast from this storm. I mean...come on!! Snow in the ocean!!! This would definitely go down as one of the most heartbreaking misses if it verifies. 50 miles offshore its snowing like crazy while we sit on the coast looking at virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So right now we should listen to the NAM being that the event is 2 days out, correct? How about GFS in this range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So right now we should listen to the NAM being that the event is 2 days out, correct? How about GFS in this range? and the SREF, but it keeps the qpf well offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Can someone run BUFKIT on KCRE for newest NAM and tell me how much snow that is. I don't know how to post link here or how to read those outputs. Just trying to learn. Thanks! http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_nam/nam_kcre.dat Here see if this link works! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Can someone run BUFKIT on KCRE for newest NAM and tell me how much snow that is. I don't know how to post link here or how to read those outputs. Just trying to learn. Thanks! http://www.meteor.ia...am/nam_kcre.dat Here see if this link works! 1.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 the 500mb s/w is a lot sharper on this run vs the 2 previous runs on the 12z NAM. Some reason I don't expect much from the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 1.8" nice ratios too, ill take 2" after the past two screw jobs here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Great! Thanks guys! Any snow looks good to me. Hope the trends keep coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 the 500mb s/w is a lot sharper on this run vs the 2 previous runs on the 12z NAM. Some reason I don't expect much from the 12z GFS. Anything for CHS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 And a swing and a miss by the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 And a swing and a miss by the 12z GFS. It's almost comical how the precip line runs just off the coast all the way up into NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Folks, The NAM (12Z) is back at giving SAV light snow Sat. AM (**fwiw** since it is still an outlier). Furthermore, it now gives SAV measurable snow of 0.2" with 32F temp./25 TD as it is snowing! I'm not buying this since it is out on its own pretty much and climo says snow is very rare there, but this will be followed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 12z JMA....it's inside 72, it's money now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Folks, Although still saying no dice, the 48-54 hour maps of the just released 12Z Euro do suggest that the offshore low of 1/22 is a litle bit stronger as the 500 mb energy hangs back ever so slightly more than the prior run. Time is running out, but let's see if this is a new trend developing on the Euro fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 possible snow on the coast hr 60 surface temps look warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Folks, I spoke too soon in saying "no dice". The coast from Beaufort, SC, (0.04") to the city of Charleston, itself, (0.09') actually gets qpf on this run vs. ~nothing on the 0Z Euro. MYR also gets 0.09" vs. ~0.01" on the 0Z Euro. All qpf is for when 850's are 0C or colder. Trends, my friends, trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 0.25 to hat somebody in a thin strip inland might get some snow not much precip inland but a littl better than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 so to get the current score on things Nam says a coastal scrap/just offshore JMA says congrats coastal NC LOL Euro says well maybe things will change just in time for coastal magic? GFS says "yeah right" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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