MillzPirate Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 1 inch acc. Heavy heavy wind driven snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 1 inch acc. Heavy heavy wind driven snow In Greenville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 anyone think the returns may 'sneak' into coastal Virginia Beach?? BTW the radar looks stunning in the southern OBX right now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No I came to ocracoke for the weekend and it is well worth it. Hardest snow I've seen in years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No I came to ocracoke for the weekend and it is well worth it. Hardest snow I've seen in years Enjoy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRED Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 SNOWING IN HAVELOCK, CHERRY POINT AND BETWEEN TO NEW BERN. 3RD TIME IN ONE MONT H No I came to ocracoke for the weekend and it is well worth it. Hardest snow I've seen in years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 SNOWING IN HAVELOCK, CHERRY POINT AND BETWEEN TO NEW BERN. 3RD TIME IN ONE MONT H Why are you yelling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Why are you yelling? He hates snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Hubby just said flurries in Surfside Beach, SC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 just stopping by quickly . very intrigued by events along Se coastal Nc today. looks like 12z nam gave .75 qpf from harkers island over to ocracoke to hatteras. radar looks impressive over that area.....watchin to see if that 35dbz stuff pushes inland anywhere watchin the 0c 850 line http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfctest/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# good luck to all wishing to see snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Sky is brightening in Charleston SC.. I think we have missed out on yet another opportunity for snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Flurries IMBY at the moment. This might be all I get. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Flurries in New Bern (Fairfield Harbour) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Flizzard IMBY! Hey kanc2001 where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Still light snow/ip here in ILM, starting to "dust" the areas....... <------- say N/A big ? mark,,, WTH is that? EDiT our "NOWcast"..... This AfternoonNumerous snow showers. Snow accumulation around an inch...mainly over the southern half of the County. Breezy. Near steady temperature in the lower 30s. North winds 20 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent. Under a WWA until 5 pm... KILM local afd vaild 11 AM this morning.. Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1155 am EST Sat Jan 22 2011 Synopsis... some wintry precipitation is possible across coastal counties today as low pressure develops offshore. After a brief respite Sunday...unsettled conditions will return to the area Monday and Tuesday followed by high pressure for middle to late week. && Near term /through tonight/... as of 10:30 am Saturday...surface analysis showed that low pressure was developing between the 12z forecasted positions by the overnight suite of guidance. 12z WRF came in with a position a little too far south yet still showed an overall slight westward shift in moisture and precipitation fields. This has lead to the raising of a Winter Weather Advisory for coastal NC zones. Light wintry precipitation already spreading across the Cape Fear region. So far the precipitation has been in the form of snow grains as the saturation layer is fairly shallow and in the 6-8kft range...well below the dendritic growth layer. This should deepen fairly quickly by 18z to include this layer as very strong vorticity swinging through the main trough moves up the coast. Snowfall gradient is expected to be considerable with up to 2 inches possible right at the cape with amounts dropping off quickly as one moves inland. Precipitation will be fighting very dry air and according to the WRF this will maintain itself through most of the event to keep accums low as currently forecast. The previous GFS has been showing that precipitation rates overwhelm the dry air. May make adjustments if needed when new GFS and future sref guidance becomes available. Infrared satellite showing the first SW-NE band of colder cloud tops indicating that the low offshore should start deepening. WV also shows good divergence over most of the southeast in the upper levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 ughh looks like screw job round 3 for coastal SC I have a different take. To me it isn't a screw job but just a big bad tease by a poor model (GFS) that likely raised expectations too much for some. When considering the relative rarity of accumulating snow there, it almost never is a screw job in my view since it is normal to not get it. CHS has had only 10 1"+ snows since 1940 or one every 7 years and only about five 3"+ or about one every 14 years. So, with the GFS on its own with those major snowfall amounts (3"+), it was likely to bust, regardless, despite the favorable model trends of yesterday. Actually, looking back at history since the 1700's for the SAV-CHS corridor (and probably also MYR), FEB has been the month with the most multiinch snows: 2010, 1973, 1968 (SAV), 1914, 1899, 1895, 1803, 1800, 1792, 1773, 1726, among others, all had 2"+ snow...say ~1 every 25 years on average in FEB, alone, and I could have missed a couple others. Dates in Feb. included: 8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14-15, 15, 21-22, 25, 28; There were apparently also three on ~3/4 (1969, 1837, and, I believe, 1835 though I haven't seen actual amounts for 1835). So, note the max during 2/8-15. If one were to try to pick the primary seasonal max. for this area for major snow, I'd pick this period. Secondary max. would probably be 2/21-3/4. Based on the way this winter has been going, the way the models look (no shortage of Arctic highs), and when considering this climo, I'm not going to give up on the chance for something special at least until we get well into Feb. This will become especially interesting if strong blocking were to reappear as it often does when there is early winter severe blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yeah. There's still a good ways to go in this winter. After what we've seen so far, anything could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Millz can we have an Ocracoke update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 To everyone here, us *COASTIES*, I've seen several panels of different ensembles of -0 850's locked in our COASTAL AREAS, with the up-coming Storm treat thats getting all the attention.... Several coastal peeps have asked about this with NO response or explanition... I think NOW is *WHY* were seeing this cold air "Dome" if i can call it that, sticking around for our next Storm, that has everyones attention.... Heres the panel.... WE maybe, a big one at that, that we'll get a bigger "surprize" on the upcoming event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 http://obxcams.com/ looks like all out blizz on the airport cam. 1 to 2 inches ....lol....time for an update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 http://obxcams.com/ looks like all out blizz on the airport cam. 1 to 2 inches ....lol....time for an update Ocracoke Isl airport is getting hammered right now! Congrats to the "coasties" getting some action today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Amazing cam pics! Everything is covered at Ocracoke Island! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Well thats it for this storm for me guys! It's been fun. Thanks for all the great discussion and I'll see ya during the next storm. Good Luck all you N/C coastal peeps, enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Light snow starting here in kitty hawk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Flizzard IMBY! Hey kanc2001 where are you? took a nap, meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I have a different take. To me it isn't a screw job but just a big bad tease by a poor model (GFS) that likely raised expectations too much for some. When considering the relative rarity of accumulating snow there, it almost never is a screw job in my view since it is normal to not get it. CHS has had only 10 1"+ snows since 1940 or one every 7 years and only about five 3"+ or about one every 14 years. So, with the GFS on its own with those major snowfall amounts (3"+), it was likely to bust, regardless, despite the favorable model trends of yesterday. Actually, looking back at history since the 1700's for the SAV-CHS corridor (and probably also MYR), FEB has been the month with the most multiinch snows: 2010, 1973, 1968 (SAV), 1914, 1899, 1895, 1803, 1792, 1773, 1726, among others, all had 2"+ snow...say ~1 every 30 years on average in FEB, alone, and I could have missed a couple others. Dates in Feb. included: 8, 10, 12, 13, 14-15, 15-16, 21-22, 25, 28; There were apparently also three on ~3/4 (1969, 1837, and, I believe, 1835 though I haven't seen actual amounts for 1835). So, note the max during 2/8-16. If one were to try to pick the primary seasonal max. for this area for major snow, I'd pick this period. Secondary max. would probably be 2/21-3/4. Based on the way this winter has been going, the way the models look (no shortage of Arctic highs), and when considering this climo, I'm not going to give up on the chance for something special at least until we get well into Feb. This will become especially interesting if strong blocking were to reappear as it often does when there is early winter severe blocking. your right, all praise Dr. No I need to pay for access to the Euro in the future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 A 1/4" in new bern to 1/2" south of New Bern according to an employee. Webcam shot that shows sticking snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 METAR KNKT 221654Z 36017G22KT 1 1/4SM -SN BKN021 OVC038 M02/M06 A2990 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 SLP120 P0000 T10221061 SPECI KNKT 221712Z 01013KT 1SM -SN VV012 M03/M06 A2989 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 P0000 SPECI KNKT 221729Z 01012KT 1SM -SN BR VV008 M03/M05 A2988 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 P0000 METAR KNKT 221754Z 01016G25KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV007 M03/M06 A2987 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 SLP112 P0001 60001 T10331056 11006 21033 58016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.