Noreaster07 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 850 0 line makes just shy of Lehigh Valley at 126 crashes back thru philly at 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Very heavy wet snow west of I-95 at 132. Close enough this far out. The details will be refined as more data is ingested into the models. I can only imagine what the 1800z GFS looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 How far west does the 0C line get in Pennsylvania on the 12z ECMWF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Over 2 feet of snow for central PA/Poconos this run...I-78 to I-76 has snow to rain to snow and probably gets 10-15"...south of I-76 has a longer period of rain but still gets good snow on the front end and back end...5-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 EC DAY 5: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ru89 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 How does the interior of PA do. Sounds like they might have their first real shot at significant snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 that is not good Really this far out it will be very hard to tell where that high will exactly be. The models are bound to jump around a bit until we get closer to the event I just hope we can all get a decent snow out of this storm. Many times these storms give the Philly area heavy snow and in the middle sleet or fz or rain and then snow on the back end. At this point though anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 How does the interior of PA do. Sounds like they might have their first real shot at significant snow. Prolonged period of heavy snow...2 feet in most locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 EC DAY 6: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 euro has been to jumpy let me rephrase every model has,its just look and see possible tracks rite now and wishcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 at 132 850 0 line is north of just north of NYC and LI before crash back next 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 december 25 2002 FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Over 2 feet of snow for central PA/Poconos this run...I-78 to I-76 has snow to rain to snow and probably gets 10-15"...south of I-76 has a longer period of rain but still gets good snow on the front end and back end...5-10". Sounds like decent storm for many despite initial reports. I-76 is pretty south in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 at 132 850 0 line is north of just north of NYC and LI before crash back next 6 hours so out of 30 hrs of precip most of it is frozen (except those 6 hours)??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Surface temps, even back into Lancaster, get to around 35 for the height of the storm on this run, but prints out almost 3 inches of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 so out of 30 hrs of precip most of it is frozen (except those 6 hours)??? It seems to me between 0.50 and 1 of the 2(+) fall as some sort of frozen precip in the i95 and east crowd NJ/NYC/LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 well the EURO gets the low to the chesapeake and then it hits the breaks and goes out towards the BM but it warms up the coastal plain a lot before going back to snow. Its between the ggem and the gfs. What makes it go out to sea at that point? The High to the north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Anyone have info on how NW NJ makes out with this? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 so out of 30 hrs of precip most of it is frozen (except those 6 hours)??? Talking to people with maps, NYC is a slop storm. Snow, sleet, then heavy rain and then back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meteorjosh Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 so out of 30 hrs of precip most of it is frozen (except those 6 hours)??? on the Euro, by the time 850 is back below zero the heaviest precip has moved north of the city, but the trend is good, someone's going to get a blizzard I do believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 So, basically the 12z EURO is an improvement over the 0z EURO from last night? All we can ask for right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Surface temps, even back into Lancaster, get to around 35 for the height of the storm on this run, but prints out almost 3 inches of qpf Actually the track isnt that different form the GFS...Pulls in warmer air and is much more wound up, but track is not that diferent. Looks like it occludes south of the area. Anyone have an estiamte of how much of the storm is snow/mix/rain for N NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 qpf for event 3-4" DC just west of Baltimore to PA /MD border then east to norther DE line goes south to southern 3rd of DE and then back to DC 2.5-3" north thru dead center VA in to PA east of Altoona, goes east to NYC, all of NJ, delmarva and eastern VA 1.75-2" WV/MD border northeast to NY/PA border on up[ to NE I'm not doing the rest since this everybody anyway in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 qpf for event 3-4" DC just west of Baltimore to PA /MD border then east to norther DE line goes south to southern 3rd of DE and then back to DC 2.5-3" north thru dead center VA in to PA east of Altoona, goes east to NYC, all of NJ, delmarva and eastern VA 1.75-2" WV/MD border northeast to NY/PA border on up[ to NE I'm not doing the rest since this everybody anyway in here If the high was 300 miles farther west, that's all snow with Blizzard of 96 totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 At 132, LGA is 38ºF with 850 mb right at freezing, per my AccuWx PPV raw numbers. 542 dm thickness. 1.21 inches prior 6 hours. AccuWx PPV Euro has a skew-T forecast generator, but that hasn't updated yet. If the prog was perfect, I'd guess NYC would just barely be on the wrong side of the rain snow line at this point. Some of that 1.21 inches will have fallen as snow. I can't wait to see the forecast skew-T to get a better feel. I'd like 850 to be colder, and 38ºF is usually too warm, but when it is coming down .2 inches liquid per hour, it could be snow. Assuming a forecast 5 and a half days out would be exact anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 qpf for event 3-4" DC just west of Baltimore to PA /MD border then east to norther DE line goes south to southern 3rd of DE and then back to DC 2.5-3" north thru dead center VA in to PA east of Altoona, goes east to NYC, all of NJ, delmarva and eastern VA 1.75-2" WV/MD border northeast to NY/PA border on up[ to NE I'm not doing the rest since this everybody anyway in here Actually you forgot long island, which has roughly 3x the population of the entire state of Delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 If the high was 300 miles farther west, that's all snow with Blizzard of 96 totals. Right and there is some time to get that too move west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Images for ECM Seems very similar to last night with the results..... And pretty much as stated earlier ..GFS op is all alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 If the high was 300 miles farther west, that's all snow SURPASSING Blizzard of 96 totals. FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Does the rain/snow line on the euro ever get as northwest as the I-78 I-287 junction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.