Alpha5 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Wow... H5 is incredible, closed off ULL just sitting and spinning under NYC for hours We need the mother of God image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Lock this up now. This is the euro from yesterday but stronger and colder. The storm off the south coast tomorrow goes up into the atlantci and forms a beautiful 50/50 which works with the NAO to help trap in the HP. First time I can remember an east based NAO helping out, LOL. What a run. This 50/50, NAO interaction is key in this run and what wewere hoping for this recent storm to do. It is the first thing I noticed. Alas, we are still a bit far out to lock it in. Let's hope the Euro comes in similarly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Wow... H5 is incredible, closed off ULL just sitting and spinning under NYC for hours We need the mother of God image I knew it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Perfect set-up for this area but still 4-5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This run of the GFS looks like the Euro ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This is easily a warning criteria snow for everybody if it verifies. Haha you think? Its a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 12z GFS..wow!!..very different solution than Euro..another MIller B..but it stalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The constant threat of a big snowstorm is really keeping all of us on our toes here...I personally like this threat and seriously doubt the warmer solutions verify. GFS looks beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This 50/50, NAO interaction is key in this run and what wewere hoping for this recent storm to do. It is the first thing I noticed. Alas, we are still a bit far out to lock it in. Let's hope the Euro comes in similarly. NAM and GFS showing the same kind of feeback mechanism with the 50/50 and the NAO ridging. The 50/50 absolutely pulls the ridging up and over just enough this run and the HP just stops in its tracks. Doesn't help to have intense snow cover all over the NE and Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Jackpot phily on this run as the low starts to weaken some as it progresses into New ENgland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 WOW... sry but i have to say this..........EPIC run here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Anyone know how much QPF the gfs spits out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Anyone know how much QPF the gfs spits out? ALOOOOOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Are we going to need a MOTHER OF GOD picture soon?? I think it's best left to Earthlight.. )) This is all we need: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Anyone know how much QPF the gfs spits out? Through 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Looks like roughly 2'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This is a fairly long duration event compared to some other storms this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 looks like my HISTORIC debate yesterday that Earthlight killed me for aint looking too bad now..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Beautiful at 120 My goodness this is pretty as it gets. I bashed the 0z GFS last night and am still going to have to reserve judgement as we are still far out but this depiction is perfection. We must time this perfectly and teleconnect exactly as this shows to get this to happen. Thread the needle scenario Feb 2006 style, lol. Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Never want to be in the jackpot 5 days out on the GFS. I'll enjoy it while it shows it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This is a fairly long duration event compared to some other storms this year. This is what I'm looking forward to and daytime dumping! Lets hope euro stays put at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 That's 20-30" for Philly- and 1-2 feet for NYC.. wow! If something like this verifies, this winter will go down as the most unbelievable winter ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Lock this up now. This is the euro from yesterday but stronger and colder. The storm off the south coast tomorrow goes up into the atlantci and forms a beautiful 50/50 which works with the NAO to help trap in the HP. First time I can remember an east based NAO helping out, LOL. What a run. I cant remember from yesterday but was that Euro run Miller B'ish or more miller A? I agree this is what you want to see, not some juiced up phased beast. If that were to happen it may be to far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This is a fairly long duration event compared to some other storms this year. i saw from hr 96-126 we have precip....prob some after that too. but i think we all would setlle for 30hr event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 That's 20-30" for Philly- and 1-2 feet for NYC.. wow! If something like this verifies, this winter will go down as the most unbelievable winter ever! Kinda hard to top last winter down south of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4Me Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 That's 20-30" for Philly- and 1-2 feet for NYC.. wow! If something like this verifies, this winter will go down as the most unbelievable winter ever! COULDN'T FIND THE MOTHER OF G.... BUT HERE'S A REPLICA..... MOTHER OF G.mp3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 seasonal trends are so important here. So far we have seen strong 50/50 lows that, unlike last year, move up into a favorable position for the NYC area. Additionally, the HP's have been strong, cold, and slow to move out, but not overly cold and dry ala 12/19. Also, we have seen the storms take basically the same track over and over in response to the beautiful thermal gradient off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snows fro hr 96 to 132. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snows fro hr 96 to 132. Not bad. Not bad? that's 36 hours of snow! that's insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snowgoose mentioned about overrunning snow before the coastal hits. This is exactly what the GFS does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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