Dalfy Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Holy hell. Is that current? No its recent though.. like past 10 or so years Im guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I would, and likely will in the future, but it was much worse before. It took a lot to get it to this stage though lol. Isn't it just a question of even putting it in MSpaint and going to resize and hitting like 75% or even 60% lol. That's how I scaled mine down but I'm getting off topic. Phin - Probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Agreed, that coupled with potentially factoring in good 850's for ratios Baltimore and n/w/e. Well I mean its still like .2'' which, with good ratios is around 2-4''.. Remember for every tenth of an inch of rain is one inch of snow without ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Well I mean its still like .2'' which, with good ratios is around 2-4''.. Remember for every tenth of an inch of rain is one inch of snow without ratios. No way! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Guess they are not buying model runs verbatim. Likely coming up with their own theory on how this will evolve based on some model guidance, but not hugging changing or inconsistent solutions. You mean being Meteorologists? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 the weather channel has nothing for cent md, tom tasselmeyer from whal has 2-4 iin. Pretty big spread. I will be interested in seeing what really happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 the weather channel has nothing for cent md, tom tasselmeyer from whal has 2-4 iin. Pretty big spread. I will be interested in seeing what really happens. Jan 20 TomorrowPartly cloudy skies in the morning will give way to cloudy skies during the afternoon. High near 35F. Winds NW at 10 to 15 mph.Jan 20 Tomorrow nightCloudy with snow showers becoming a steady accumulating snow later on. Low near 30F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulating 1 to 3 inches.Jan 21 FridayWindy with times of sun and clouds. Highs in the low 30s and lows in the low 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 okay I was watching their zone forecasts as they do their us sweep. Baltimore had nothing but temps shown. I guess I,m wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 SREFS seem to be coming back more in line with the earlier solutions. Good sign, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 .1-.25 in the 21z SREFs... good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 SREFS seem to be coming back more in line with the earlier solutions. Good sign, imo. really? .25" precip area has really shrunk to BWI north to S PA even NYC on North gets screwed I'll take .25", don't get me wrong, its just become an incredible non-event when comparing it to yesterday's runs of NAM (which I know is more a statement on the NAM, but still it has weakened) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 really? .25" precip area has really shrunk to BWI north to S PA even NYC on North gets screwed I'll take .25", don't get me wrong, its just become an incredible non-event when comparing it to yesterday's runs of NAM (which I know is more a statement on the NAM, but still it has weakened) max precip field on this map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 really? .25" precip area has really shrunk to BWI north to S PA even NYC on North gets screwed I'll take .25", don't get me wrong, its just become an incredible non-event when comparing it to yesterday's runs of NAM (which I know is more a statement on the NAM, but still it has weakened) Compare the 24 hr precip on the 21z vs the 15z at 15z friday. That would be the 42 hour frame on the 21z vs the 48 hour on the 15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Compare the 24 hr precip on the 21z vs the 15z at 15z friday. That would be the 42 hour frame on the 21z vs the 48 hour on the 15z. not meaning to punt, but moving on to the NAM, its dried through 18hrs vs. 18z at 24 hrs I'm thinking that the Euro is going to be more right than wrong (if for no other reason that it is the one model that gives us almost nothing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 bad, or maybe pathetic would be the better word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 really? .25" precip area has really shrunk to BWI north to S PA even NYC on North gets screwed I'll take .25", don't get me wrong, its just become an incredible non-event when comparing it to yesterday's runs of NAM (which I know is more a statement on the NAM, but still it has weakened) its not just the NAM, the NAM was the most wound up and 12z yesterday gave NYC to BOS 10-16" of snow and Philly 5-8". But even the GFS at one time had a good stripe of .5+ liquid. Lest we forget the GGEM that 48 hours ago was showing a HECS. Models have seen that this would be another northern branch dominated system. Without the good inflow of moisture from the STJ precip totals have gone down. On top of this the trough has been digging less and less each run and so less amplified northern stream solution to boot. This is also a seasonal trend. At 7 days out models are showing more STJ and more northern branch digging then ends up reality. That said, I was wondering if 0z guidance would shift south some with the axis of snow, what I am seeing out in the plains seems to indicate the chance this is coming east a bit south of guidance so far. This may be a lesser event then models indicated the other day, but if it shifts south we may still be ok with our 1-3 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 this run will suck, count on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 At least we never had very high expectations here, at least not since the signs started 3 days ago this was another screwjob. But imagine the NYC area, they just spent a week tracking what they thought was another SECS/MECS and is going to be an inch or two of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 NAM is smoking crack, what the heck is it showing. It can screw off, GFS in 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 NAM is smoking crack, what the heck is it showing. It can screw off, GFS in 90. you forget, the Euro is showing .03 for BWI come tomorrow, all the models will converge on its solution lesson of the year remains to run with the model that screws the MA; that's not whining, that's pure fact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 At least we never had very high expectations here, at least not since the signs started 3 days ago this was another screwjob. But imagine the NYC area, they just spent a week tracking what they thought was another SECS/MECS and is going to be an inch or two of snow. They are still expecting 6+" in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 you forget, the Euro is showing .03 for BWI come tomorrow, all the models will converge on its solution lesson of the year remains to run with the model that screws the MA; that's not whining, that's pure fact True, but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 True, but who knows. we should by now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Not even .01 now??? and this is the wet model. There are supernatural forces at work here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Well, **** happens. An inch should do it. Most interesting part of the run should be toward the later frames to get some hint of the next system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Well, **** happens. An inch should do it. Most interesting part of the run should be toward the later frames to get some hint of the next system Randy, you're kidding right? We already know what to expect of the next system... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Ric get like 0 precip this run. Was expecting some showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.