Ji Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 whoever drew this diagram has obviously never lived in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 What puts the nail in the coffin on this one is that it looks like the SNE is going to make out very well yet again. Screw them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 What puts the nail in the coffin on this one is that it looks like the SNE is going to make out very well yet again. Screw them! Did you expect any different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 NAM is very painful, very painful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 NAM is very painful, very painful The NAM is who we thought the NAM was! Now watch the GFS try to drag us back... I dislike SNE now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 NAM is very painful, very painful Meh. I guess we can look forward to maybe the psu storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 wow...every run since 00z Tuesday has gotten drier and drier till we get nothing. Thank god for the Psuhoffman storm because thats where my focus has been and ive given this little time That is quite false. The trend has been going slightly drier, but it is still fluctuating between wetter/drier solutions. See: 00z NAM vs. 06z NAM today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Ride the GFS folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The NAM is who we thought the NAM was! Now watch the GFS try to drag us back... I dislike SNE now GFS has been pretty consistent actually...NAM has gone from wrapped up and warm and wet....to cold and further south and wet.....to dry...now further north and pasting the NE. GFS FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Ride the GFS folks. I am going to ride it over the rainbow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Eh, I really did expect this one to get us the 2-4 / 3-5 storm that we all need to stay alive another winter. Oh well, hotline has a busy signal. No southern stream interaction almost always ends up like this unless the coast gets cranking well south and we know the odds on that happening. Either way, it's no big deal IMHO. It's only snow for god sakes. I really think some of the posts on here are comical. I know most are in jest but for those that are seriously angry over weather need help. On to the Hoff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I come behind you and sweep up the remnants. Seriously. I'm sick of this. The clean up will be welcome. Some help from the Storm Mode mods might help, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 there's still time for a flight to boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Snow is snow people... whether it's one inch or five. You can't control it or do anything about it... so either accept it for what it is, or move on. This was never supposed to be a blockbuster of a storm and the NAM has been all over the place as of late with it's solutions. No need to model watch all day, just wait and see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinBerk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hey all... been a while since I chimed in here. Thought I would post my snowcast map.... this is based on the bulk of the snow arriving with the arctic air. 850 Temps will be falling to -8C, so snow ratios will be 15:1 or higher. Not a lot of QPF, a but a small change could mean a lot. This weekend will have highs stuck in the 20s with the white carpet laid out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pythium Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Justin have you seen Herk lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I personally don't mind the idea of cleaning house, but I'd think a lot of the posts are made in (sarcastic) jest because so many of us can't help but watch in amazement as areas all around us have gotten a good storm at one point or another so far this year. Snow is snow people... whether it's one inch or five. You can't control it or do anything about it... so either accept it for what it is, or move on. This was never supposed to be a blockbuster of a storm and the NAM has been all over the place as of late with it's solutions. No need to model watch all day, just wait and see what happens. Am I allowed to say "cool story?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hey all... been a while since I chimed in here. Thought I would post my snowcast map.... this is based on the bulk of the snow arriving with the arctic air. 850 Temps will be falling to -8C, so snow ratios will be 15:1 or higher. Not a lot of QPF, a but a small change could mean a lot. This weekend will have highs stuck in the 20s with the white carpet laid out I'd be happy with that thanks for the map, Justin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 there's still time for a flight to boston GFS should be more reasonable up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 fwiw, RGEM was not as bad as NAM brought 5mm (around .20") into Baltimore and DCA was probably around .15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 fwiw, RGEM was not as bad as NAM brought 5mm (around .20") into Baltimore and DCA was probably around .15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 fwiw, RGEM was not as bad as NAM brought 5mm (around .20") into Baltimore and DCA was probably around .15" I think .20 is reasonable for the area. GFS might drop a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I still like the looks of this radar for DCA/BWI http://www.atmos.albany.edu/products/radarse/radarloop.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hey all... been a while since I chimed in here. Thought I would post my snowcast map.... this is based on the bulk of the snow arriving with the arctic air. 850 Temps will be falling to -8C, so snow ratios will be 15:1 or higher. Not a lot of QPF, a but a small change could mean a lot. This weekend will have highs stuck in the 20s with the white carpet laid out Appreciate the update and your thoughts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I think .20 is reasonable for the area. GFS might drop a little more. 6Z GFS had exactly .20 for BWI seems like BWI should be somewhere between .15-.25" hopefully verifying at the high end of the range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 GFS should be more reasonable up there. yeah tho it has been before and been wrong. id guess they'll get 4-8 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 couple of mod snows and one Heavy snow ob at 10AM on this map, and they are pretty far south, which is a positive for DCA/BWI http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_map.php?inv=0&t=cur®ion=cp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 fwiw, RGEM was not as bad as NAM brought 5mm (around .20") into Baltimore and DCA was probably around .15" A slight step back from the ledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I still like the looks of this radar for DCA/BWI http://www.atmos.alb...e/radarloop.htm sir, that is well south and looks to put the bulk of the precip right over us, doesn't it??? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 wind streamlines at 10AM suggest to me the slp may move east along Southern VA still, thinks will change/morph, but I don't yet see anything that suggest the slp going over or west of DCA http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=st&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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