FLO Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 where are the 850s on that pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Someone notify powerstroke he needs bigger plows... Powerstroke is fine, you better order more loaders. Keep on mind we are still days away, nothing to get amped up about yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 wow what a bomb they are trending towards. very 96/93ish type of look. We all bash JB but he said this on his video and even mentioned it in his column yesterday. I told Big Frosty yesterday he is due to get one right let's hope its this one . I remember that storm. That was before we had truck plows. Used tractor whole time and that was no fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Still using a tractor plow, myself. But no commercial work like you boys! I all ways thought it would be fun to get in front of a state truck and plow in front of them! We all bash JB but he said this on his video and even mentioned it in his column yesterday. I told Big Frosty yesterday he is due to get one right let's hope its this one . I remember that storm. That was before we had truck plows. Used tractor whole time and that was no fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 KGSP Morning AFD laying out the landscape for trend of storm. Too early to call where any rain/snow line will be. LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 400 AM FRIDAY...SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST. THE 00Z RUNS OF THE OPERATIONAL GFS...ECMWF..AND GEM HAVE CHANGED DRASTICALLY FROM THEIR PREVIOUS RUNS AND NOW SHOW A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NE GULF AND TRACKING UP THE SOUTHEAST COASTLINE. AMAZINGLY...THE THREE MODELS SHOW GREAT CONSISTENCY FOR DAY 5/6 IN RAPIDLY DEEPENING THE CYCLONE AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD. PER HPC GUIDANCE A BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF IS PREFERRED...AND THE CURRENT FORECAST GENERALLY FOLLOWS THIS BLEND FOR THE DETAILS OF THE FORECAST. VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO DIVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS ON MONDAY...AND EVENTUALLY DEVELOP A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE MS VALLEY ON TUESDAY. THE MODELS THEN TRACK THIS CLOSED LOW FEATURE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH AND TN VALLEY TO THE CAROLINAS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE GFS IS FURTHER SOUTH WITH THIS FEATURE THAN THE ECMWF THOUGH THEY ARE QUITE SIMILAR WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE. BOTH MODELS DEPICT CYCLOGENESIS BEGINNING OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY...WITH THE SYSTEM UNDERGOING RAPID DEEPENING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IN FACT THE CYCLONE WOULD DEEPEN FROM AROUND 1012MB TUESDAY MORNING...TO AROUND 986MB WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES INTO THE VA TIDEWATER REGION. AS IT DOES SO...COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE SPREAD ACROSS THE FA WITH PLENTIFUL FORCING FOR ASCENT. AT THIS POINT THE TIMING OF PRECIP AND EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW ARE STILL UP IN THE AIR. OVERALL THE GFS IS SLOWER WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM...AND IS MORE CLOSELY ALIGNED WITH THE COASTLINE FOR ITS LOW TRACK. I TEND TO PREFER THIS COAST HUGGING TRACK COMPARED TO THE MORE INLAND TRACK OF THE ECMWF. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THE TIME PERIOD OF HEAVIEST PRECIP IS MOST LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS SUCH THE UPDATED FORECAST EXTENDS POPS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE HIGHEST POP PERIOD BETWEEN 00-12Z WEDNESDAY. AS THE LOW DEEPENS AND PUSHES OUT TO THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...UPSLOPE NW FLOW WILL OCCUR ON THE BACKSIDE LEADING TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. CONCERNING PTYPE...ALL THREE MODELS SUPPORT SOME DEGREE OF FROZEN OR FREEZING PRECIP. THE GFS AND ECMWF WOULD TEND TO FAVOR MOSTLY...IF NOT ALL SNOW...THOUGH NOMOGRAMS SHOW AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS BEGINNING AS LIQUID AND THEN TRANSITIONING AS COLD AIR IS USHERED IN AROUND THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING CYCLONE. GIVEN THE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF PRECIP GENERATED BY THE MODELS...THIS COULD BE A SITUATION WHERE HIGH PRECIP RATES ULTIMATELY DETERMINE THE EXACT PTYPE AND ITS PLACEMENT. AS THEY CURRENTLY SHOW...MODELS WOULD SUPPORT AREAS OF INTENSE PRECIP WITH DYNAMIC COOLING LIKELY PRODUCING AREAS OF HEAVY WET SNOW ACROSS THE FA. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE DOES NOT PRESENT A RIGOROUS EXAMINATION OF PTYPES AND MAINLY SERVES TO UPDATE THE POP TREND DURING THE PERIOD. STAY TUNED TO SUBSEQUENT FORECAST UPDATES AS RUN TO RUN MODEL TRENDS WILL SHED MUCH MORE LIGHT IN THE COMING DAYS. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Haha....just had to do that this morning! I didn't look at any of the 0z modeling prior to bed.....got in here to the weather office and my jaw dropped this morning. Matt I just finished watching the blog..... LOVE THE MUSIC! "You dropped a bomb on me. Classic Glad it is Friday because I'm going to be glued to the models all weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Still using a tractor plow, myself. But no commercial work like you boys! I all ways thought it would be fun to get in front of a state truck and plow in front of them! I have plenty of areas for you if we get a bomb!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Haha....just had to do that this morning! I didn't look at any of the 0z modeling prior to bed.....got in here to the weather office and my jaw dropped this morning. NERD ALERT!!!!! Haha good video, by the way I am glad I did not stay up last night as I wouldn't have gotten any sleep. As Phil pointed out these are great trends gotta see if the 12z follows suit...this has been just crazy model madness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Whew, no sleep.. 7am.. still up.. drinking.. lol.. anyway 00z GGEM shows ice during a portion of the event for the CAE area for this system coming up next week. Other guidance is too warm, but something to watch for sure! snippet from the last cae discussion.. LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/ FEW CHANGES MADE TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST AS MODELS CONTINUE TO MAKE RUN TO RUN CHANGES...HOWEVER THE MODELS ARE MOVING TOWARD A CONSENSUS. HAVE TRENDED CHANGES IN THE LONG TERM TOWARD THE ECMWF WHICH HAS HAD THE BEST RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. CURRENTLY THIS WILL RESULT IN DISORGANIZED WEATHER OVER THE EASTERN US ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE PLAINS STATES. MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY A LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AS TRACKS ACROSS NORTHERN FL. TUESDAY NIGHT THE LOW MOVES ALONG THE SC COAST AND TOWARD NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF IS WEAKER WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAN THE GFS WHICH CURRENTLY POINTS TO AN ALL RAIN EVENT FOR THE FORECAST AREA...HOWEVER THIS COULD CHANGE IF THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS FURTHER SOUTH OR THE CORRESPONDING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS DEEPER. HAVE REMAINED PESSIMISTIC AS MODEL AGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN CHANGES CONTINUE TO KEEP CONFIDENCE LOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Whew, no sleep.. 7am.. still up.. drinking.. lol.. anyway 00z GGEM shows ice during a portion of the event for the CAE area for this system coming up next week. Other guidance is too warm, but something to watch for sure! snippet from the last cae discussion.. I demand you keep drinking all day, as you are the only person from CAE that knows how to read these things. Need someone from our area to post updates since people from ATL, NE GA and NC never do. lol Pour some 5 hour energy in your drink of choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 NERD ALERT!!!!! Haha good video, by the way I am glad I did not stay up last night as I wouldn't have gotten any sleep. As Phil pointed out these are great trends gotta see if the 12z follows suit...this has been just crazy model madness. Burger, Thats perfect. Matt the video this morning Great job and the music was precise and to the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I have plenty of areas for you if we get a bomb!!!!! is this a case for CALLING ALL TRACTORS ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 is this a case for CALLING ALL TRACTORS ??? you better get the salt train heading I40 west tomorrow morning if this verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I have a hunch we are getting ready to head into one of those 3-4 week pattern repeat mini cycles. This is where you like get a winter storm/event on the same day every week for like 3-4 straight weeks. Gonna be interesting to see if this happens. I just have a strong feeling looking at the pattern upcoming and wouldnt be a bit suprised to see this unfold. If we do, then it would put an exclamation point on what has turned out to be an awesome winter. I'm sure their are others on here who have expierenced these novelties or mini pattern repeat cycles in past winters, so its not as uncommon as you think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ where are the 850s on that pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I have a hunch we are getting ready to head into one of those 3-4 week pattern repeat mini cycles. This is where you like get a winter storm/event on the same day every week for like 3-4 straight weeks. Gonna be interesting to see if this happens. I just have a strong feeling looking at the pattern upcoming and wouldnt be a bit suprised to see this unfold. If we do, then it would put an exclamation point on what has turned out to be an awesome winter. I'm sure their are others on here who have expierenced these novelties or mini pattern repeat cycles in past winters, so its not as uncommon as you think. you need to get into politics, I love the way you talk!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Great disco last night folks. So GSP like the coastal track instead on the inland runner as shown on the GFS.....Fun days ahead. BOMB KGSP Morning AFD laying out the landscape for trend of storm. Too early to call where any rain/snow line will be. LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 400 AM FRIDAY...SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST. THE 00Z RUNS OF THE OPERATIONAL GFS...ECMWF..AND GEM HAVE CHANGED DRASTICALLY FROM THEIR PREVIOUS RUNS AND NOW SHOW A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NE GULF AND TRACKING UP THE SOUTHEAST COASTLINE. AMAZINGLY...THE THREE MODELS SHOW GREAT CONSISTENCY FOR DAY 5/6 IN RAPIDLY DEEPENING THE CYCLONE AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD. PER HPC GUIDANCE A BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF IS PREFERRED...AND THE CURRENT FORECAST GENERALLY FOLLOWS THIS BLEND FOR THE DETAILS OF THE FORECAST. VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO DIVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS ON MONDAY...AND EVENTUALLY DEVELOP A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE MS VALLEY ON TUESDAY. THE MODELS THEN TRACK THIS CLOSED LOW FEATURE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH AND TN VALLEY TO THE CAROLINAS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE GFS IS FURTHER SOUTH WITH THIS FEATURE THAN THE ECMWF THOUGH THEY ARE QUITE SIMILAR WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE. BOTH MODELS DEPICT CYCLOGENESIS BEGINNING OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY...WITH THE SYSTEM UNDERGOING RAPID DEEPENING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IN FACT THE CYCLONE WOULD DEEPEN FROM AROUND 1012MB TUESDAY MORNING...TO AROUND 986MB WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES INTO THE VA TIDEWATER REGION. AS IT DOES SO...COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE SPREAD ACROSS THE FA WITH PLENTIFUL FORCING FOR ASCENT. AT THIS POINT THE TIMING OF PRECIP AND EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW ARE STILL UP IN THE AIR. OVERALL THE GFS IS SLOWER WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM...AND IS MORE CLOSELY ALIGNED WITH THE COASTLINE FOR ITS LOW TRACK. I TEND TO PREFER THIS COAST HUGGING TRACK COMPARED TO THE MORE INLAND TRACK OF THE ECMWF. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THE TIME PERIOD OF HEAVIEST PRECIP IS MOST LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS SUCH THE UPDATED FORECAST EXTENDS POPS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE HIGHEST POP PERIOD BETWEEN 00-12Z WEDNESDAY. AS THE LOW DEEPENS AND PUSHES OUT TO THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...UPSLOPE NW FLOW WILL OCCUR ON THE BACKSIDE LEADING TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. CONCERNING PTYPE...ALL THREE MODELS SUPPORT SOME DEGREE OF FROZEN OR FREEZING PRECIP. THE GFS AND ECMWF WOULD TEND TO FAVOR MOSTLY...IF NOT ALL SNOW...THOUGH NOMOGRAMS SHOW AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS BEGINNING AS LIQUID AND THEN TRANSITIONING AS COLD AIR IS USHERED IN AROUND THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING CYCLONE. GIVEN THE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF PRECIP GENERATED BY THE MODELS...THIS COULD BE A SITUATION WHERE HIGH PRECIP RATES ULTIMATELY DETERMINE THE EXACT PTYPE AND ITS PLACEMENT. AS THEY CURRENTLY SHOW...MODELS WOULD SUPPORT AREAS OF INTENSE PRECIP WITH DYNAMIC COOLING LIKELY PRODUCING AREAS OF HEAVY WET SNOW ACROSS THE FA. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE DOES NOT PRESENT A RIGOROUS EXAMINATION OF PTYPES AND MAINLY SERVES TO UPDATE THE POP TREND DURING THE PERIOD. STAY TUNED TO SUBSEQUENT FORECAST UPDATES AS RUN TO RUN MODEL TRENDS WILL SHED MUCH MORE LIGHT IN THE COMING DAYS. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Local meteorologists are still calling for a mix possibly changing to all rain here in the Triad (Winston-Salem/Greensboro). They've also changed it to starting on Tuesday possibly going into Wednesday.Time will only tell. This is going to be an exciting weekend. I love comparing you all to the meteorologists on tv. You all were right on the money when it came to our Christmas storm while the locals were saying 1-2 inches. We ended up with 6-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc87 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 if this storm were to play out and stay off the coast would that put any of us in east nc in the chance for frozen precip? i don't know if this will be anything like the last two storms but us in se nc did pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Local meteorologists are still calling for a mix possibly changing to all rain here in the Triad (Winston-Salem/Greensboro). They've also changed it to starting on Tuesday possibly going into Wednesday.Time will only tell. This is going to be an exciting weekend. I love comparing you all to the meteorologists on tv. You all were right on the money when it came to our Christmas storm while the locals were saying 1-2 inches. We ended up with 6-8. Van Denton said last night at least 2-3 and could be a lot more depending on tract. I met with him on the Monday before the Christmas storm and he said we would get 4-8 he would guess. He said he couldn't say that on tv because if it didn't there would be too many phone calls to the station complaining. He is the best in our area or tv mets. But I take the forum over any tv met in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Van Denton said last night at least 2-3 and could be a lot more depending on tract. I met with him on the Monday before the Christmas storm and he said we would get 4-8 he would guess. He said he couldn't say that on tv because if it didn't there would be too many phone calls to the station complaining. He is the best in our area I missed his report. I just watched Fox and WXII. They still have a mix. Emily said it could change to all rain but that the storm is still changing and it's something to watch. I hope she's wrong and that we get NO rain! Are you a meteorologist? I just wonder if they all place bets on storms like some do for the Superbowl. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I missed his report. I just watched Fox and WXII. They still have a mix. Emily said it could change to all rain but that the storm is still changing and it's something to watch. I hope she's wrong and that we get NO rain! Are you a meteorologist? I just wonder if they all place bets on storms like some do for the Superbowl. LOL Heck no! Just a landscaper that plows snow. Van talked about it last night at 10:30. Too far out to get excited just yet. But I am a HUGE Steeler fan if you talking Superbowl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Good discussion out of RAH this morning as well .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...-- Changed Discussion --AS OF 310 AM FRIDAY... DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL DETAILS FOR THE POTENTIAL BIG STORM (SNOW OR RAIN OR BOTH) EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK FOR OUR REGION REMAIN. THE OVERALL UPPER AIR PATTERN IS HANDLED SIMILARLY WITH A MEAN TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE SLOWLY FROM THE MIDWEST TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS THIS PERIOD. VERY INTERESTINGLY... THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF... GFS... AND GEM ALL PHASE THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN JET ENERGY WITH A STRONG H5 CUT OFF LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE MID SOUTH OR TENNESSEE VALLEY TUE... THEN SWINGING NE OVER NC WEDNESDAY WITH THE H5 CUT OFF FORECAST LOW OF BETWEEN 5250 AND 5300 DM. IN FACT... IF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS VERIFY WITH THE CURRENT STRENGTH/TRACKS... CENTRAL NC WOULD LIKELY SEE HEAVY RAIN IN THE EAST... HEAVY SNOW IN THE FAR NW... AND MULTIPLE CHANGEOVER P-TYPE IN THE PIEDMONT... WITH QPF OF 1 TO 2 OR MORE INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT. THESE RUNS ARE REMARKABLY SIMILAR IN COMPARISON WITH EACH OTHER - QUITE AMAZING GIVEN THIS IS STILL FORECAST 4-6 DAYS OUT GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF PHASING AND COMPLEXITY OF THE UPPER AIR FLOW PATTERN. THIS IS EXACTLY WHY WE CAN NOT SIMPLY NOT FULLY ACCEPT THESE SOLUTIONS - YET. THE MODEL ENSEMBLE TRENDS HAVE BEEN COMING A BIT WESTWARD IN TIME WITH THE SURFACE LOW TRACK... WITH THE 12Z (OLD ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE) OFF THE SC/NC COAST... THE LATEST 00Z RUNS (SOME NOW INLAND)... SUPPORTING THE LATEST OPERATIONAL RUNS OF A MORE INLAND AND DEEP SURFACE LOW TRACK. A SLOWING TREND / MORE INLAND LOW TRACK HAS BEEN NOTED AS WELL GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF CUTTING OFF AND DEEPENING OF THE MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE TN VALLEY INTO THE APPALACHIANS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A BIG WINTER STORM FOR PARTS OF THE REGION (FAVORED CLIMO)... RANGING TO A BIG RAIN PRODUCER FOR OTHERS. FOR NOW... WE WILL MAINTAIN A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH OUT 4-5 DAYS AND CONTINUE TO FAVOR CLIMATOLOGY P-TYPES FOR SIMILAR WINTER STORM TRACKS/STRENGTHS. GIVEN MODEL TRENDS... WE MAY HAVE TO SLOW DOWN THE CHANCE OF PRECIP BEGINNING UNTIL TUESDAY - THEN POTENTIALLY HAVE IT LAST INTO WED NIGHT. THERE WOULD BE MORE RAIN IN THE CENTRAL AND EAST AND POTENTIALLY VERY HEAVY SNOW IN THE NW. HOWEVER... CAUTION IS ADVISED AS MOST ENSEMBLE MODEL SOLUTIONS KEEP THE TRACK OF THE STORM ALONG THE COAST OR JUST OFFSHORE... WHILE TRENDS HAVE BEEN COMING WEST WITH TIME. RIGHT NOW... THIS WOULD STILL BRING THE WINTER STORM THREAT EASTWARD INTO A GOOD PORTION OF CENTRAL NC... IF TRENDS CONTINUE... WE MAY END UP WITH A STORM TRACK ENOUGH INLAND THAT CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES GET ALL RAIN. ALSO TO BE CONSIDERED... THE PARENT HIGH BEFORE THE STORM IS FORECAST TO BE IN POSITION TO DELIVER VERY COLD DRY AIR INTO OUR REGION BEFORE THE STORM DEVELOPS. EVEN IF HYBRID OR NON CLASSICAL DAMMING DEVELOPS (WHICH APPEARS LIKELY)... WITH A PROGRESSIVE SURFACE HIGH - THERE WOULD STILL BE THAT INITIAL COLD AIR TO DEAL WITH. THEN... THE STORM ITSELF WILL GENERATE ITS OWN COLD AIR (EXAMPLES INCLUDE THE MARCH 93 SUPERSTORM ON THE EXTREME AND THE CHRISTMAS 2010 SNOW). THIS STORM HAS A LOT OF POTENTIAL FOR OUR REGION INCLUDING HELPING SUPPRESS WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AND BRINGING WINTER STORM CONDITIONS TO PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I see Daddy Robert has arrived! Off to work I go. Bring it home Robert! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 if this storm were to play out and stay off the coast would that put any of us in east nc in the chance for frozen precip? i don't know if this will be anything like the last two storms but us in se nc did pretty well. Yes it would...How far east depends and the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc87 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 if the storm tracks to far north it will put alot of people in the southern flow and it would most likely be all rain, but i don't know how the storm will do as far as wrapping cold air around itself. Its a few days out so anything can change as we all know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgar2121 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 AND Van is a Wolfpacker! Im just sayin..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hpc likes the inland track idea and is leaning mostly on gfs and euro op for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 This has the potential to what I call a sleepless storm. You can guess why. Even if it's torrential rain here for the duration (looking likely), it's going to be fun to see all the obs from people who get dumped on! Will try and see the 12z modeling, but I'll be in class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The inland track would of course be the death nail here. As of now I can't get excited thinking it will be primarily rain IMBY but looks good for the Triad and I-85 region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.