NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I don't have any access to those so I have no clue. Perhaps cheeznado can clue us in. For NC off Allen site for 12z euro ensemble basically everything west of RDU/Sanford & perhaps way out into the coastal plain would be all snow as 850's stay plenty cold enough. Has storm ridng up coast, not sure about qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WFDDeac Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Honestly, if you read carefully this msg board and be patient with picking up some of the lingo, you will learn A LOT, QUICKLY. Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Honestly, if you read carefully this msg board and be patient with picking up some of the lingo, you will learn A LOT, QUICKLY. most definitely. you will learn far more here than from any book we have the best pro mets, forecasters and posters on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac I would suggest "Weather Basics" by Joseph Balsama and Peter Chaston and also "Weather Maps: How to read and Interpret all the basic weather charts" also by Peter Chaston. Both are simple enough for the novice to read and understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAWGNKITTEN Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac You learn alot by reading...and, if it's not in storm mode, a lot of the people here are very quick to answer questions. You'll find you really don't need to ask a lot because some of the people on here explain as they talk. Read, look up some of the things you don't know, and take notes...by next winter you'll understand a lot more than you think...actually by the end of this winter you will. Oh, and WELCOME!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac Weather Forecasting Handbook is a pretty good resource. I'm reading it now. The guys over at the NWS recommended it to me. http://www.weathergr...s.com/fcstbook/ There's actually two more books in the series, as well, Weather Map Handbook and Weather Forecasting Red Book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scooter Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac As several people on here have stated, read more and post less. I have learned so much by just reading on this forum. Everyone is helpful as long as your considerate. This is the best place to find out what is happening with the weather in our big neighborhood! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac Awesome website for learning - http://www.theweatherprediction.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowflake29684 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Nam looks colder 850 this run @ 78 than last run did @84 slower and further south and a little stronger correct me if I am wrong on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Hi folks! I'm amateur, and most likely posting in the wrong forum. (Redirect please, if this is a violation of protocol). My son and I want to get the best (hint) book to begin to understand Weather-101, and what you fine folks are talking about on these threads. Is there a basic/favorite text that you would recommend? Please email/PM or whatever. Thanks alot, in advance. WFDDeac Well, I came to WWBB in 2001 and I basically knew nothing. It takes some time and effort to learn what you need to know to be even a mildly skilled amatuer but if you want to do it, it definitely can be done. And another thing, dont be afraid to ask questions. If you would like to know why a model is doing something or why things arent working out like you expected, feel free to ask away. That's how many of us learned ourselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Nam looks colder 850 this run @ 78 than last run did @84 slower and further south and a little stronger correct me if I am wrong on that? I think it is further south, and has some re-development further south and gets pushed as it comes into the big high. That high in the Northeast is almost 1040mb, the Euro had it at 1036 or so. For the damming areas east of the Apps, if theres a lot of moisture it would be pretty bad, except those who are mostly snow. The surface temps would be way down there, much lower than guidance has now. But thats a big "if" on the amount of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Oh yeah...gulf low stronger than TN valley low. I bet the GFS run will be a wet dream, then change again tomorrow, of course... http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_pcp_084l.gif GSP has issued a HWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bta0812 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 So, we want the TN valley low to be weaker, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Well, I came to WWBB in 2001 and I basically knew nothing. It takes some time and effort to learn what you need to know to be even a mildly skilled amatuer but if you want to do it, it definitely can be done. And another thing, dont be afraid to ask questions. If you would like to know why a model is doing something or why things arent working out like you expected, feel free to ask away. That's how many of us learned ourselves. You have only been at this since 2001? That amazes me, Jeremy. You are a quick study and I am very impressed at your knowledge. I respect your analysis as much as any "tagged" member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I think it is further south, and has some re-development further south and gets pushed as it comes into the big high. That high in the Northeast is almost 1040mb, the Euro had it at 1036 or so. For the damming areas east of the Apps, if theres a lot of moisture it would be pretty bad, except those who are mostly snow. The surface temps would be way down there, much lower than guidance has now. But thats a big "if" on the amount of precip. I like the setup right now though and still plenty of time to worry about the QPF amts later. Am I correct about the set up for taking the 0z NAM 84 hr panel into consideration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Oh yeah...gulf low stronger than TN valley low. I bet the GFS run will be a wet dream, then change again tomorrow, of course... http://www.nco.ncep....am_pcp_084l.gif GSP has issued a HWO. This has an overruning look to it at 84hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The NAM looks pretty darn interesting...but it's at 84. It almost makes me want to stay up for the 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The NAM looks pretty darn interesting...but it's at 84. It almost makes me want to stay up for the 00z GFS It ain't a storm until you give us a PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowflake29684 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 AND I WILL SECOND THAT ONE It ain't a storm until you give us a PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The NAM looks pretty darn interesting...but it's at 84. It almost makes me want to stay up for the 00z GFS Im gonna try as well. The Nam does look enticing at 84. 2 things off subject: Tonight its common but laughable how that line of precip moving west-east with the front hits the NC mtns and just stops, while to our north and south it just keeps on rolling. Price you pay for having all those 6,000 foot peaks. I beleive there are like 15 in the smokies alone. Also saw this weather history. Wonder how many people where complaining about the weather back then. This would be nice if it was all frozen. On This Date in central North Carolina Weather History (search)... The last day of 10 consecutive days with at least 0.01 inches of precipitation ends at Greensboro on January 20, 1947. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 It ain't a storm until you give us a PBP. Only PBPs are for the Euro precip and 12 hour forecasts- every other model folks can look at themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I've been very busy at work and trying to wake up early to work out at the YMCA...I'll be in for the PBP this weekend though for sure..and as Cheez said giving the precip totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Only PBPs are for the Euro precip and 12 hour forecasts- every other model folks can look at themselves. They can, but the burger delivers with style! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 You have only been at this since 2001? That amazes me, Jeremy. You are a quick study and I am very impressed at your knowledge. I respect your analysis as much as any "tagged" member. I really appreciate that compliment. yeah, it's hard to believe I've been posting here that long. I think my first post was asking DT if it was going to snow in the mountains on the day after thanksgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 NAM looks pretty good, but with the mid and upper lows so far to the NW, it's going to take a minor miracle to hold off the warm air pouring in aloft, with ice becoming predominate for a lot of us. We need the initial wave to dig deep to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 So, we want the TN valley low to be weaker, correct? Yes. And any low that tracks to your north is bad news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Only PBPs are for the Euro precip and 12 hour forecasts- every other model folks can look at themselves. DT mentioned the ensembles indicated a major storm....are you of the same opinion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 DT mentioned the ensembles indicated a major storm....are you of the same opinion? No- if you are referring to the Euro ensembles, that is not what I saw at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I agree with you. Also been around since 01 and I can tell you Jeremy knows his stuff. You have only been at this since 2001? That amazes me, Jeremy. You are a quick study and I am very impressed at your knowledge. I respect your analysis as much as any "tagged" member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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