dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:25 AM, buckeye said: congrats e.KY, WV and DC....they look like the big winners, (biggest winners i should say) we'll see in a few lol.. still dont look horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hr 57 has a broad 1008 centered over ne NC....pretty drastic change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:26 AM, Madmaxweather said: FWIW yea, and wait til 66 and do it, it'll look better. I still think NAM gives us 5-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 ncep look better than i would have thought for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:28 AM, buckeye said: ncep look better than i would have thought for us. Agreed...pit should still push .4 qpf I'd think, and we don't dryslot at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 CVG .38 HAO .33 DAY .28 CMH .30 ILN .35 IND ,18 LOU .35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Congrats to Dr. No for being right for the wrong reason. But yeah--that southern wave is pathetic and even with a full phase it can't trigger rapid development of the dynamic tropo. Junk. Let the boring weather continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:30 AM, Madmaxweather said: CVG .38 HAO .33 DAY .28 CMH .30 ILN .35 IND ,18 LOU .35 HAHA I was right on the money for cmh. Check kzzv and kpit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Stick a fork in her for LAF. Final call 0": 50% T": 40% 1": 9% 2": 1% Good luck to the rest of you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:32 AM, dilly84 said: HAHA I was right on the money for cmh. Check kzzv and kpit I'm going to guess .39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 the big question is whether this weak east trend continues, holds serve, or reverses. Probably continues a tad bit. I could see us closer to the .25 by the time we switch to nowcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:36 AM, buckeye said: the big question is whether this weak east trend continues, holds serve, or reverses. Probably continues a tad bit. I could see us closer to the .25 by the time we switch to nowcasting. hard to say considering the gfs actually increased precip on the 18z run, couldve been a blip.. BTW. Ive got accuwx pro, but cannot find the mos data anywhere. Anyone have a clue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 remember last nights NAM? that was fun.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 BTW, the "storms always trend NW" crowd can now shut the hell up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:41 AM, Organizing Low said: remember last nights NAM? that was fun.... NAM remains a horrible model. It does ok inside 48 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:43 AM, Chicago WX said: BTW, the "storms always trend NW" crowd can now shut the hell up. Second half of winter they trend SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:41 AM, Organizing Low said: remember last nights NAM? that was fun.... you congratulated....and i said save it...it's all eyecandy until tonites runs. Only diff was my fear was it might end up further nw and we'd be dealing with precip issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:41 AM, Organizing Low said: remember last nights NAM? that was fun.... Feels like it was 4 days ago. But, NAM fail. Kudos to Dr No and the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:43 AM, Chicago WX said: BTW, the "storms always trend NW" crowd can now shut the hell up. i still have one foot on the 'it always adjust back a bit inside 36 hours" train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:45 AM, buckeye said: i still have one foot on the 'it always adjust back a bit inside 36 hours" train The nam wasnt horrible. Still gives a decent snow with ratios. I find it odd, the gfs had been going south until 18z when it went north a tad, and now the 0z nam goes south a bit. Be interesting to see the 0z gfs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:45 AM, buckeye said: i still have one foot on the 'it always adjust back a bit inside 36 hours" train Here's how that works... If it needs to stay south to stay all snow, it jumps 50 miles north and gives us slop...if we are fringed, it doesn't trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:45 AM, buckeye said: i still have one foot on the 'it always adjust back a bit inside 36 hours" train lol, I think the trend is clear. I went from 6" to zippo in 24 hours...and that was even with the good Dr and GFS giving me 2-3". Beware the SE trend...it's the new thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:47 AM, dilly84 said: The nam wasnt horrible. Still gives a decent snow with ratios. I find it odd, the gfs had been going south until 18z when it went north a tad, and now the 0z nam goes south a bit. Be interesting to see the 0z gfs.. How'd we do with ratios last week again? As I said, 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:48 AM, Chicago WX said: lol, I think the trend is clear. I went from 6" to zippo in 24 hours...and that was even with the good Dr and GFS giving me 2-3". Beware the SE trend...it's the new thing. nw trend is definitely dead and has been now for the last couple of winters. The new kid in town continues to be the suppressor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 damn, i need me a cras or fim fix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:51 AM, buckeye said: damn, i need me a cras or fim fix cras at 12z was the worst of all the models lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:50 AM, JayPSU said: How'd we do with ratios last week again? As I said, 3". I got 4.5 inches last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:52 AM, dilly84 said: I got 4.5 inches last week. wasn't some of that lake enhanced? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 On 1/19/2011 at 2:50 AM, buckeye said: nw trend is definitely dead and has been now for the last couple of winters. The new kid in town continues to be the suppressor Unless it's a MN bomb. But yeah, I harken back to the March 2008 event as when the NW trend died a little or lost its 100% supremacy. I'm still trying to figure how Hoosier and I didn't get a flake from that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.