dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 This accu pro site is ticking me off. The mos data for the 6z nam still isn't out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 ILN has hoisted a WWA for their northern counties...3"-5" for the advisory area...kinda different than the map they had drawn earlier. They already put a warning where the watch was and added a wwa for the row of counties along I-70 from Dayton to Columbus. Surprized they put up the warning so quick. Still think there might be a shift north some with the advisory/warning at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 should have gone with stormvista Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 should have gone with stormvista I got it free anyways PIT says less than an inch for me LMAO!! County SW of me (Licking) 4 - 5". Stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Hope we can both get a 20-30 shift north in the snowfall amounts. looks like OAX is gonna issue me in a WWA for 3-5 (only forecasting max 3 inches though for me), but just south, 6 inches for a WSW Both 06z Nam and 06Z GFS give me .23" but different snowfall amouts per Cobb. Cant wait to test to see how 06z models do vs 12z models here in a little while (last set of model runs before event) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z nam bufkit gives 5.5" for cmh 5.9 for zzv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z GFS looks similar to the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z GFS looks similar to the 0z. Yep. Maybe even a tad weaker. Lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Central Indiana roads and interstates are nasty. I-69 is closed in a couple of spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 cmh .28 zzv .31 cvg .39 pit .34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Angela Buchman just had 6.3" for indy. i like her. And Randy just cut that down to 3.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 And Randy just cut that down to 3.3" 6z gfs gives IND .26 with 850 temps below -10, so Id say 3-5 probably close to 4" per 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 looks like a pretty solid concensus of .3 for the area. Will be a good test to see how the models end up verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z ensembles gfs.... I count about 7 members juicier than the op for the ov. After seeing the euro, 6z nam, ggem, and now this, I bet we tick up a bit on qpf for the final adjustments before the nowcasting begins. Maybe another .05-.1? before I head out here are my final official calls for Ohio: Findlay(nw OH): .12 (1.8 inches) Dayton: .40 (6 inches) Cincy: .45 (6.75 inches) Columbus: .36 (5.3 inches) Cleveland (synoptic only): .18 (2.7 inches) Zanesville(eastern OH): .39 (5.8 inches) Portsmouth(s. OH): .48 (7.2 inches) I'm juicier than probably most guidance but I like the small uptick in the latest models. Also these sw to ne i-70 specials can often surprise with heavier banding setting up. im most bullish on sw ohio and southern OH. I also think eastern OH could do better depending on what happens to the low over WV and how quickly it intensifies. What could go wrong? Dry air and a weaker more south precip shield is probably the biggest potential monkey wrench. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z ensembles gfs.... I count about 7 members juicier than the op for the ov. After seeing the euro, 6z nam, ggem, and now this, I bet we tick up a bit on qpf for the final adjustments before the nowcasting begins. Maybe another .05-.1? before I head out here are my final official calls for Ohio: Findlay(nw OH): .12 (1.8 inches) Dayton: .40 (6 inches) Cincy: .45 (6.75 inches) Columbus: .36 (5.3 inches) Cleveland (synoptic only): .18 (2.7 inches) Zanesville(eastern OH): .39 (5.8 inches) Portsmouth(s. OH): .48 (7.2 inches) I'd take that! The only issue I see is the heavier banding setting up closer to the OH river...still I think even in that scenario CMH would pull off 3"-4". But, I do like the way the models are trending so perhaps we can squeeze out that additional inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Just about all models show us on the very NW fringe. Still have a 3" glacier snowpack, so 2" would go a LONG way in freshening everything up. Really hoping we see 2" or so. Buckeye, any old snow left in CMH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I'd take that! The only issue I see is the heavier banding setting up closer to the OH river...still I think even in that scenario CMH would pull off 3"-4". But, I do like the way the models are trending so perhaps we can squeeze out that additional inch or so. i admit i'm definitely bullish here...which is usually not like me as i tend to take a bit more pessimistic view. I just like these sw systems that ride up just south of the ohio river and precipitate along i-70, especially one that is progged to strengthen vs. weaken. if they surprise it's usually on the positive side. oh well, if i'm wrong I still got my day job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Just about all models show us on the very NW fringe. Still have a 3" glacier snowpack, so 2" would go a LONG way in freshening everything up. Really hoping we see 2" or so. Buckeye, any old snow left in CMH? best description this morning would be frozen drizzle-encrusted patches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z runs have brought LAF out of the depths of hell. Well that's putting it too strongly obviously, but at least there's something going on. I'm looking at you NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 i admit i'm definitely bullish here...which is usually not like me as i tend to take a bit more pessimistic view. I just like these sw systems that ride up just south of the ohio river and precipitate along i-70, especially one that is progged to strengthen vs. weaken. if they surprise it's usually on the positive side. oh well, if i'm wrong I still got my day job Here's a little more encouragement for you, the 6z RGEM at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z runs have brought LAF have the depths of hell. Well that's putting it too strongly obviously, but at least there's something going on. I'm looking at you NAM. did you mean 'out of' the depths of hell? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 6z runs have brought LAF have the depths of hell. Well that's putting it too strongly obviously, but at least there's something going on. I'm looking at you NAM. I'm thinking 1-3" at best.. Was a little more optimistic yesterday, but not looking good.. I'm ready for spring warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Right now, 4-6" of snow looks to be a good bet across the Cincinnati area with some isolated higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 if it wasn't for all that junk in the great lakes, we'd probably have one hell of a ridge popping in the east and a hell of a lot bigger event, (I'd probably be sweating wtod too). Kinda what Harry alluded to yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 At least our people in the O/V are getting/will some decent snow, enjoy guys. You deserve it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 did you mean 'out of' the depths of hell? lol lol, it's early. I'm thinking 1-3" at best.. Was a little more optimistic yesterday, but not looking good.. I'm ready for spring warmth! Debbie downer. j/k But yeah 1-3" is the best we can do. Although you'll probably do better than here. One more cherry picked 6z run. WRF-NMM, which was much further south with the 0z run. Alright, enough optimism from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 best description this morning would be frozen drizzle-encrusted patches Gotcha. My dads work sent him to CMH for a few weeks, and when he got down there, he said the snow was about the same, maybe a little less...but over the next few days our snowpack upped to about 6" while yours fell to 3" or so. He was very pleased that he was missing deeper snow (he HATES snow). Havent talked to him since, but I suspect he is very happy theres almost no snow left. Will have to give him the news about tomorrow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Here's a little more encouragement for you, the 6z RGEM at 48. 6z NAM/RGEM encouraging for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 HPC has portions of Central and Southern Ohio in a Slight Chance (10%) of picking up at least 8" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 sref look south with a smaller area of .25 (from about i-70 to ohio river). ruh roh edit: maybe not so much south, just a shrinking of the precip shield in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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