Ajdos Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 And when I meant widespread, I was talking about Southern Illinois, Kentucky, Southern Indiana, and Ohio. http://raleighwx.ame...fsensemble.html fine, i just needed the link anyway.. thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 A Never seen an nws office do this before.. Lucky you guys wish our local nws offices did stuff like this.. http://www.crh.noaa..../?n=webbriefing Almost all of the Central Region offices do the web briefings, but they are much more interactive than the Eastern Offices (AKA ILN, CLE) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 The king will let us know what the verdict is, Nam or GEM/GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I still think a few surprises are still to come. The models never do well with phasing. One little change in the speed of either wave could be good or bad for some regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 A Almost all of the Central Region offices do the web briefings, but they are much more interactive than the Eastern Offices (AKA ILN, CLE) Let me guess? GRR and DTX are the lone exceptions? Granted i am not sure i have seen one from Lot either? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Let me guess? GRR and DTX are the lone exceptions? Granted i am not sure i have seen one from Lot either? Ive never seen one for CLE/PIT/ or ILN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I still think a few surprises are still to come. The models never do well with phasing. One little change in the speed of either wave could be good or bad for some regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Ive never seen one for CLE/PIT/ or ILN They are not in the CRH ( Central region ) either. DTX/GRR/LOT is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Ive never seen one for CLE/PIT/ or ILN They don't have anything to brief about anyways lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHWxWatcher Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Almost all of the Central Region offices do the web briefings, but they are much more interactive than the Eastern Offices (AKA ILN, CLE) OT Why is that? Is it just a regional difference regardless of office (ie Eastern offices just aren't as quick to be so interactive?) or is it just the type of weather (ie the Central region having more dynamic weather overall through the year than some Eastern locations?)? Or does it just vary by WFO? I think at times ILN (as a local example) has events that could benefit from this type of media. I always enjoy maps and graphics in addition to the standard data. [/OT] Back to the issue at hand, I'll take whatever comes, although 2-5 / 3-6 inches could make a Thursday evening drive on I-70 to Columbus interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 It at least gives us a little love. But I'm usually less than impressed with the RGEM's performance. Have to think the NAM is much more likely for here, 0.0". I don't trust the NAM...not with how it has been shifting. Other solutions have been a bit more stable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 They don't have anything to brief about anyways lol.. about as much as ind does.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Buckeye, what are you thinking for average ratios? BUFKIT drops us down to 15:1 so less than 5 inches, but I was thinking 18:1 with 850s near -10C most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Ive never seen one for CLE/PIT/ or ILN Because they are in eastern region. They are discussing central region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I still think a few surprises are still to come. The models never do well with phasing. One little change in the speed of either wave could be good or bad for some regions. Like the euro showing a 980mb low over CMH? Not happening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Buckeye, what are you thinking for average ratios? BUFKIT drops us down to 15:1 so less than 5 inches, but I was thinking 18:1 with 850s near -10C most of the time. I know I was going with 15:1. Usually really high ratios dont work out. Per bufkit it gives cmh 4.2" and me 4.9" cvg 6.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 How does the euro look? looks like snow in NW MO at 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I don't trust the NAM...not with how it has been shifting. Other solutions have been a bit more stable. Agreed. Even though the NAM did better (for us) with the last system as far as thermo profiles, the GFS remained the most consistent with the QPF distribution. If I were forecasting for LAF I'd probably be thinking a general 2-3" of 15:1 ratio type snowfall is in order. The good thing about being on the northern fringe in this situation is any bump up in QPF will increase snow amounts quite quickly given the higher ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Like the euro showing a 980mb low over CMH? U really got me with this one LMFAO Not happening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Like the euro showing a 980mb low over CMH? Not happening.. Nothing shows up but at this point I hate to be so negative about the EC, but if they miss out I'll consider this a win win. I believe in karma so my dislike for the NE may be causing my area to constantly get the shaft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Let me guess? GRR and DTX are the lone exceptions? Granted i am not sure i have seen one from Lot either? LOT does them periodically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I am guessing the euro didn't do so well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I am guessing the euro didn't do so well? I dont think it has even started yet. Hasnt on accuwx pro anyways.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I dont think it has even started yet. Hasnt on accuwx pro anyways.. out to 72 on plymouth, can't tell much, 1st wave looks a bit further south then the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I dont think it has even started yet. Hasnt on accuwx pro anyways.. It's out to at least 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It's out to at least 72. well accuwx pro hasnt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 How does the euro look? looks like snow in NW MO at 24 hours. A present from me. Not much but it is something. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Agreed. Even though the NAM did better (for us) with the last system as far as thermo profiles, the GFS remained the most consistent with the QPF distribution. If I were forecasting for LAF I'd probably be thinking a general 2-3" of 15:1 ratio type snowfall is in order. The good thing about being on the northern fringe in this situation is any bump up in QPF will increase snow amounts quite quickly given the higher ratios. I don't think that's a terrible call at this point. I'd have to lean on the lower side until we see a more favorable trend (if ever). I'll tip my hat if the NAM near shutout verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 0z ECMWF... JLN: 0.38" STL: 0.47" EVV: 0.30" SDF: 0.26" CMH: 0.29" PIT: 0.27" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 LOT does them periodically. Yeah i was not certain but i had thought maybe i had seen them during severe season anyways. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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