tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 alright the euro has just init. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 High's moving east off Newfoundland. It's a classic setup for the Appalachians verbatim, not us. Luckily it's the Canadian in the long range... I'm still enthused by the fact that all models have a storm in this time range, keep the hits coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 The Euro could be the finisher in determining what type of storm we'll be seeing, which most likely seems like a moderate event. Although, variances in QPF, track, and amplification are still not set in stone. For one, I'm exciting just to have it snow again. Just so much snow, it's awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 The further west track of the GGEM makes more sense then the tracking of the GFS considering the NOGAPS is located where it is at 156 hrs..Again that model should be more Southeast. Alot seem to avoid it but it has been pointing out the way for these systems to be further west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Luckily it's the Canadian in the long range... I'm still enthused by the fact that all models have a storm in this time range, keep the hits coming! Its still somewhat PD II like but the key will be to keep the system weak, the 1040mb high or whatever it is will do all the work as it did during the PDII storm, if a deep low forms there it will go west for sure, same would have happened during the PD II storm as we discussed earlier today if the low was deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Luckily it's the Canadian in the long range... I'm still enthused by the fact that all models have a storm in this time range, keep the hits coming! Definitely. Still tons of time to iron out any kind of solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 The Euro could be the finisher in determining what type of storm we'll be seeing, which most likely seems like a moderate event. Although, variances in QPF, track, and amplification are still not set in stone. For one, I'm exciting just to have it snow again. Just so much snow, it's awesome. Agreed. Hopefully there's a shot at me breaking 40" on Friday, before the start of Feb. That's just incredible for this area. The cold shot incoming immediately after looks vicious too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingwill Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 The Euro could be the finisher in determining what type of storm we'll be seeing, which most likely seems like a moderate event. Although, variances in QPF, track, and amplification are still not set in stone. For one, I'm exciting just to have it snow again. Just so much snow, it's awesome. IMO nothing is Written in stone until this time tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 so far through hr 30, the northern stream is digging a little more this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 through hr 36 continues to dig more than 12z and hgr hgts along the ec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hr 42 conitnues the same theme... larger area of .1-.25 qpf breaking out from eastern OK to southern indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hr 54 .01-.1 from nyc to phl west .1-.25 central pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hr 54 .01-.1 from nyc to phl west .1-.25 central pa Can we please get some Baltimore QPF, thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Euro trended stronger but it's still the weakest of all the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hr 60 has a sub 1004 low about 75 miles east of cape may .1-.25 phl to acy to li to hfd to alb to wellsboro to gettysburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hr 66 sub 996 75 miles sse of ack .01-.1 nj, phl to wellsboro to nyc .1-.25 nyc and li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Can we please get some Baltimore QPF, thank you. .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 phl and nyc .15-.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 .1 Thank you very much Tombo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 A lighter 1-3" event on the Euro, with every other model showing more. Still many variances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hr 66 sub 996 75 miles sse of ac .01-.1 nj, phl to wellsboro to nyc .1-.25 nyc and li i'm sorry but is this for real? a 996mb low hugging the coast and we only get 0.10" QPF? also... it would appear that the storm almost stalls between hr60 and hr66, is that true, or just my imagination? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 i'm sorry but is this for real? a 996mb low hugging the coast and we only get 0.10" QPF? also... it would appear that the storm almost stalls between hr60 and hr66, is that true, or just my imagination? no, hr 60 has it just east of cape may. hr 66 has it by ack lol. I forgot the k in ack sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 phl and nyc .15-.25 This seems low...there were two frames where NYC metro was in the .1-.25 and now you're saying total QPF is <.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 no, hr 60 has it just east of cape may. hr 66 has it by ack lol. I forgot the k in ack sorry Euro seems skimpy on the QPF with a track like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 This seems low...there were two frames where NYC metro was in the .1-.25 and now you're saying total QPF is <.25" i cant tell really its hard to see. Cause i have accum precip maps. And its printing out .1-.25 for tonight. Then after fridays event the total qpf is .25-.5...lean more towards the .15 towards phl. The 2nd time nyc has .1 its like just east of the city, so its prob like .08-.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 00z UKMET @ 60 Is the ECM east of this position that the UK shows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 the euro keeps showing a decent size coastal that scrapes hse. Im not sure if other models have this. If not, thats could be the reason why its so light on the storm cause its holding some energy back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 00z UKMET @ 60 Is the ECM east of this position that the UK shows? pretty much spot on with the ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 i'm sorry but is this for real? a 996mb low hugging the coast and we only get 0.10" QPF? also... it would appear that the storm almost stalls between hr60 and hr66, is that true, or just my imagination? I agree. I mean look at the GFS's precip shield with a 1000 mb low off the coast at 60 while the Euro has a 996 off the coast. Euro definitely struggling with the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 the euro keeps showing a decent size coastal that scrapes hse. Im not sure if other models have this. If not, thats could be the reason why its so light on the storm cause its holding some energy back. Most of the models show some QPF with that small coastal . The other models are still more bullish on the QPF with the friday storm than the Euro. It's Euro vs the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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