am19psu Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Let's talk about the Friday storm here and not so much about who has been or will be getting shafted. Posts about that will be immediately deleted. Also, the subforum is not being split. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 HOW MUCH FOR COMMACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Here is the 12z GGEM at 72 hours. It looks south and east of the previous run. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_072.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Here is the 12z GGEM at 72 hours. It looks south and east of the previous run. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_072.jpg Yesterdays run, ant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingwill Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I will personally wait until Wed 0z Runs or even 12Z thurs before coming to any final conclusions with this storm. Especially if one or two models (Nam, GGEM) are still showing a bigger hit. As of Now I would say there is a pretty good Chance of a decent 3-6 event but potential for more.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Here is the 12z GGEM at 72 hours. It looks south and east of the previous run. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_072.jpg GGEM looks like a moderate hit for most, a general 3-6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Today's 12z at 72 hours Looks 999mb off the delmarva at 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 HOW MUCH FOR COMMACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Here is the 12z GGEM at 72 hours. It looks south and east of the previous run. http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_072.jpg I know no one mentioned it, but the NAM was too. Trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yesterdays run, ant. Look at the timestamp, it's today's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yesterdays run, ant. That's todays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Today's 12z at 72 hours Looks 999mb off the delmarva at 72. Looks good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Never saw that photo before... where is it from? And when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GGEM looks like a moderate hit for most, a general 3-6" of snow. NYC looks to be roughly 15mm total, or .6". The low really hauls ass from 72 to 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 Never saw that photo before... where is it from? And when? Not sure. I just googled 'snow road alps' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Looks good to me Would that be between the GFS and NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GEFS in fair agreement with GFS. I'll take my 2-4" thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Im just concerned that with a low track so close to the coast, a little sleet mixes in and before you know it, 12 feet of snow becomes 9 feet and the whole thing is a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GFS/GGEM/UKMET/SREF mean all in agreement. NAM is an amplified outlier. Will the Euro come around later today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GGEM looks good. Like previous runs of the GFS (A little wetter than today's 12z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Im just concerned that with a low track so close to the coast, a little sleet mixes in and before you know it, 12 feet of snow becomes 9 feet and the whole thing is a bust. Ugh we just can't get ANYTHING to go right this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingwill Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GFS/GGEM/UKMET/SREF mean all in agreement. NAM is an amplified outlier. Will the Euro come around later today? I wouldn't take anything to the Bank yet..Yeah looks that way now but as U know with these Models things can change..The good news all still showing a storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 12z Nogaps agrees with the Ukie, GGEM,GFS,GEFS,SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GGEM looks good. Like previous runs of the GFS (A little wetter than today's 12z) Yup, a solid 3-6". If places get too greedy (Jersey/NYC/ong Island) a la NAM.....mixing becomes an issue. I'll take less snow/all snow, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yup, a solid 3-6". If places get too greedy (Jersey/NYC/ong Island) a la NAM.....mixing becomes an issue. I'll take less snow/all snow, I agree.Nam is too close to the coast for my liking. Also, I wonder if the ratios will be high if the GFS and GGEM verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 we will have interesting layers of snow pack if we pickup some more inches friday.. watch out for backyard avalanches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Getting a storm that only drops 2-5 inches these days is as rare as a below 0 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Let's talk about the Friday storm here and not so much about who has been or will be getting shafted. Posts about that will be immediately deleted. Also, the subforum is not being split. Sorry. am19psu - thanks for not splitting the subforum or model/threat threads. If you don't mind, I'll throw in a couple of comments from my soapbox: these model/threat threads would be far less cluttered if 75% of the non-pros simply refrained from posting in them or at least greatly reduced how often they post in them. At the risk of sounding arrogant, I know that I know more about meteorology than most non-pros (or at least about the fundamentals, like momentum, heat and mass transfer, physical chemistry, numerical modeling and thermodynamics - a PhD in chem eng'g does that for you), yet I rarely post in the model/threat threads, since I know the pros (and some selected non-pros) still know a lot more than I do and I'd rather not clutter up these threads. If more non-pros would simply read more and post less in these threads, it would likely make the threads much better and easier to read. In addition, there are tons of people in NJ, like me, who I'm sure really appreciate seeing the whole region discussed, as it's geographically small and insights from one area often apply to the other, plus it avoids dilution of the precious pro met talent. As an aside, I don't mind the observation threads being separated, as I'm rarely looking for pro insight in those - it's much more about what's going on, which anyone is qualified to post about. Off the soapbox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Getting a storm that only drops 2-5 inches these days is as rare as a below 0 low. I just received 2-3 inches last night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I agree.Nam is too close to the coast for my liking. Also, I wonder if the ratios will be high if the GFS and GGEM verify. I look at today as an example, low to mid-40s on Long Island courtesy of ESE flow. That's no good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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