Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 This made me LOL. Ginx leading the pack with "-NAO" tatooed on his chest. LOL...just picture all of them standing around in a circle up on Brokeback..MRG's hair blowing in all their faces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 No piece of guidance at any point, other than the long range NAM and GEM, has ever modeled this as more than a 4-8" event. Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 friday storm will be over 8 inches for every one inland sne area . We have had more snowfall than model forecast for most storms this winter . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL, I guess the MA guys are bored. This will be another hit in the end. AWT. I know it will be.. I was just pointing out the differences in QPF. Sure, they could come together... just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL...just picture all of them standing around in a circle up on Brokeback..MRG's hair blowing in all their faces LOL, Kocin book in hand with his hair blowing in the wind, like Conan the Barbarian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Albany maintaining snow likely in all there Berkshire forecasts. This storm should also come to fruition as the seasonal trend continues. LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY THERE IS LOOSE MODEL CONSENSUS FOR AT LEAST A LIGHT SNOWFALL /AND POSSIBLY MODERATE TO HEAVY/ TO DEVELOP AS A SHARP 500 HPA TROF TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY...AND STARTS TO BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT REACHES THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY MORNING. THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL SPAWN A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE DELMARVA...BUT THE MAIN QUESTION IS HOW DEEP WILL THE LOW GET AND HOW CLOSE TO THE COAST WILL THE LOW DEEPEN? AS OF NOW...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE MODEL SPREAD IN THE TOTAL QPF BASED ON THE EITHER MORE OR LESS AMPLIFIED SOLUTIONS. THE NAM IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN DEEPENING THE LOW JUST EAST OF NEW JERSEY AND TRACKING IT VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ESPECIALLY FROM ALBANY SOUTH. HOWEVER...THERE IS LITTLE SUPPORT FROM OTHER MODELS AT THIS TIME...AS THE OPERATIONAL GFS/ECMWF CONTINUE TO SHOW LIGHT SNOW ON FRIDAY AS THE UPPER TROF IS LESS AMPLIFIED AND THE LOW DEEPENS TOO FAR TO THE EAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO AFFECT OUR AREA. ENSEMBLES/PLUME DIAGRAMS SHOW CONSIDERABLE SPREAD WITH CLUSTERING OF LOW AND HIGH QPF AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY THE SREFS. SO AT THIS TIME WILL MENTION LIKELY POPS AND CALL FOR LIGHT TO PERHAPS MODERATE SNOWFALL SOUTHEAST OF ALBANY...BUT WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE SOLUTION. WILL MENTION THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IN THE HWO. TEMP PROFILES LOOK TO BE COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW...WITH RATIOS LIKELY EXCEEDING CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Someone referenced 12/31/2008 as an analog. I liked that storm. Nice mid-day thump. Just poured snow for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You people are odd says the guy who has Miley Cyrus posters on his bedroom wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I know it will be.. I was just pointing out the differences in QPF. Sure, they could come together... just saying Ok, cool, just don't come in here to troll as we've all showed great restraint in not raiding your threads to taunt.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The inland peeps have had their fun, now it's time for the immediate coast to cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I like the trend in the 18Z GFS, first run in 3 runs where it came a little NW and bumped up precip over Maine. I would say that the SE trend is over, bring the NW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 friday storm will be over 8 inches for every one inland sne area . We have had more snowfall than model forecast for most storms this winter . Go Blizzard24 !!! You know it !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 says the guy who has Miley Cyrus posters on his bedroom wall. I only have two...one is a poster of The Last Song and the other is one I made...the third one isn't a poster..it's just a paper bag that says Hannah Montana Forever on it b/c that was the name of the final season which just ended Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Six guys in a circle jerk trusting each other with their weenies in hands thats a lot of weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 says the guy who has Miley Cyrus posters on his bedroom wall. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I only have two...one is a poster of The Last Song and the other is one I made...the third one isn't a poster..it's just a paper bag that says Hannah Montana Forever on it b/c that was the name of the final season which just ended Sunday night. No one cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I like the trend in the 18Z GFS, first run in 3 runs where it came a little NW and bumped up precip over Maine. I would say that the SE trend is over, bring the NW! So it begins, we all know what will happen in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 No one cares. So cruel, so concise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 So cruel, so concise, so true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Albany also setting the table for the weekend threat. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH SATURDAY NIGHT. AT THIS POINT...THE MODELS DIVERGE IN SOLUTIONS. HOW DEEP THIS TROUGH WILL BE REMAINS TO BE SEEN AS THE GFS HAS A MUCH BROADER TROUGH WITH LOW PRESSURE AT THE SFC FORMING NEAR THE GREAT LAKES. ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND...HAS A MUCH STRONGER SFC LOW FORMING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE ECMWF INDICATES THE COASTAL LOW WILL BECOME A SFC CLOSED LOW...WITH THE TROUGH ALOFT OVER THE NY CANADIAN BORDER FOLLOWING THE SFC LOW. GFS WEAKENS ITS GREAT LAKES LOW AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE NE US...LIMITING ANY PRECIP BY SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS AS IT GETS CLOSER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 This made me LOL. Ginx leading the pack with "-NAO" tatooed on his chest. I want my block back. Back in July we were three guys who were considered extreme weenies, heavy snow in a Nina winter, multiple stream storms?, what a bunch of weenies' I am only 4 away from my average Jan 18th Tattoo this big boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 No one cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 says the guy who has Miley Cyrus posters on his bedroom wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL, such sour grapes that you didn't have the vision to see this would be an epic Winter. I should go back and dig up all your nervous Nellie posts about how Winter would be over by January, how if we didn't capitalize in December we werre cooked. Rev Kev outlook phail. But hey, we're cool, we'd still let you into the club. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The inland peeps have had their fun, now it's time for the immediate coast to cash in Yeah, you inland guys have enjoyed everything, let me finally get one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You people are odd Just don't say "Yes" when they ask you to be the pivot man in the jerk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I have a NYE 2008 fetish. 3+ in/hr rates. ~9" total all falling in a four hour period for me. 20:1 ratios without any doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 43 inches of snow to date as of 1/18/11 Just insane, hoping to make a run at 95-96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 I want my block back. Back in July we were three guys who were considered extreme weenies, heavy snow in a Nina winter, multiple stream storms?, what a bunch of weenies' I am only 4 away from my average Jan 18th Tattoo this big boy. I'm already over my average seasonal snowfall. Everything else I receive is gravy at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I have a NYE 2008 fetish. 3+ in/hr rates. ~9" total all falling in a four hour period for me. 20:1 ratios without any doubt This storm could have a nice Sam band, somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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