Kbosch Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Joe is one of the most respected level headed guys in the country and a native son of CT. When he gets excited look out. Euro has 1004 off of Cape Hat, huge overrunning That is great to hear, thanks! Euro can come around. Ens should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Eh, the Euro is lie an old mad King drooling on himself while locked out of sight in some forgotten tower at the back of the castle. Silly old King.lol Just saying what it shows. There has been somewhat of a se trend today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL Good man. Yeah, I think I'll lock up my 19 inches. I particularly liked the 20+ ratios during parts of the storm. This is a no doubt lock of the century HECS #2. It sure is intriguing, though... The NAM is all alone again for the most part. It's either going to be onto something for the same reasons John mentioned last time or it's showing it's bias of sucking most of the time. The OP EC and ENS were insistent on that last system tracking between ACK and the BM at this range...this time they're further SE. Joe is one of the most respected level headed guys in the country and a native son of CT. When he gets excited look out. Euro has 1004 off of Cape Hat, huge overrunning 12Z Euro is a glancing blow for SNE as low pressure heads NE off the coast around LI........ Same model, two different interpretations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Just saying what it shows. There has been somewhat of a se trend today. LOl, I know. I still want to have the Euro on our side. Still a lot of time and there definitely seems to be a proclivity for these storms to tag us one way or the other. I'll be curious what the ensembles do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 Just saying what it shows. There has been somewhat of a se trend today. Yes. The GFS the last 3 runs, the NAM's last runs, the GGEM's last 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Euro op says no go. QPF, looked juicy on 7h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The NAM is all alone again for the most part. It's either going to be onto something for the same reasons John mentioned last time or it's showing it's bias of sucking most of the time. The OP EC and ENS were insistent on that last system tracking between ACK and the BM at this range...this time they're further SE. Yeah, that's why I limited it to intriguing. Perhaps an advisory event for people like me and you. As long as it is clean that would be fine. Good to see some optimism expressed from mets, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The NAM is all alone again for the most part. It's either going to be onto something for the same reasons John mentioned last time or it's showing it's bias of sucking most of the time. The OP EC and ENS were insistent on that last system tracking between ACK and the BM at this range...this time they're further SE. Same model, two different interpretations. I am looking at 7 h , looked like a hit for SNE but guess not, would like to see QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Speed up the southern stream energy coming out of the southwest by half-a-day and it's a whole different ball game for the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I am looking at 7 h , looked like a hit for SNE but guess not, would like to see QPF NBD...it's hard when we all see different maps at different times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Both NAM and GFS take the southern stream energy from Idaho at 24hrs to North TX at 48 hrs. Euro goes from ID to Western NM. This is an age-old bias with euro. I don't say this about euro often...but toss it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The NAM is all alone again for the most part. It's either going to be onto something for the same reasons John mentioned last time or it's showing it's bias of sucking most of the time. The OP EC and ENS were insistent on that last system tracking between ACK and the BM at this range...this time they're further SE. Same model, two different interpretations. Hatteras/Delmarva not LI, Don't matter at this point its a scrape.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Euro op says no go. Time to toss that crap today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Not quite... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Euro is very close to a big hit. Still gives us some snow..thinking tonight it corrects itself of being too slow in SW..I'd be surprised if the Euro ens..aren't much farther NW with the mean or at least leaving lot of spread to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Not buying any far eastward track...yet another instance where we will see a pretty strongly negatively tilted trough...think west...how far west? Not sure, perhaps enough to get some mixing issues for the Cape but this one's going to be a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Probably another good ht for SNE. Every single storm wants to focus on that area this season. Even today's mess storm is focusing it's heaviest qpf there. Some years it just works out that way. Last year it was the Mid Atlantic. Euro is very close to a big hit. Still gives us some snow..thinking tonight it corrects itself of being too slow in SW..I'd be surprised if the Euro ens..aren't much farther NW with the mean or at least leaving lot of spread to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joecor Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Henry's snow map for Friday.... http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/meteomadness/story/44571/snow-map-for-the-snow-wednesday-to-friday-1.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Canadian ensembles pretty far se. Hopefully the euro ensembles are decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Still not sold on this for 6+ for SNE, need another day to get a full handle on things, model bias's still at play here, like the trends overall if this were to move west on the EURO would sleep a little easier but all in all its got good potential. I would imagine once this slop moves out we will see much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Still not sold on this for 6+ for SNE, need another day to get a full handle on things, model bias's still at play here, like the trends overall if this were to move west on the EURO would sleep a little easier but all in all its got good potential. I would imagine once this slop moves out we will see much better. This is another negatively tilted system...this one will be west rather than east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 12z UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 15z SREF's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Wow at the normally OTS Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 12z UKMET I posted the GFS/UK overlay earlier, pretty much dead similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 Wow at the normally OTS Ukie Yeah, that would be a solid hit. 15z SREF's have the 0.5" 24h QPF line kissing the South Shore and CC/Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Harrowing flight from BOS...2 de-icing delays....but got out just in time as apparently therer are 3-4 hour delays now. In my SNE overcoat at TPA an hour ago trying to call up model data on my phone. I'm an unbelievable weenie. Friday will yield 6+ imho. Meanwhile, today's snow part overperformed imby. Still snowing when we took off. Turbulence en rout....kind of sucked but on the ground now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Wow at the normally OTS Ukie This will be another solid warning criteria event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 4-8 works for me...cancels school and there's more events down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 4-8 works for me...cancels school and there's more events down the road. New England winter........ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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