OKpowdah Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Looks like a 2-4 kinda deal. Cool. closer to 4-7" for the eastern third of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Where do you see 2-4? .30" qpf with high rations will net us 4-5". 3-6 would be my call. It's a decent starting point for a forecast 36 hours out. I'd rather have to go to 3-6 tomorrow than go from 3-6 to 1-3 or something drastic in case something doesn't pan out. If you're on TV or in the business of issuing a public forecast you have to give yourself some wiggle room and hedge a little bit to avoid having to make huge changes in a forecast close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Peacham is in the NEK about 10 mile SW of ST. J. I assume we will be on the fringe of this. Unless the great NW model migration takes place I would be pleased/surprised by more than an inch or two from this. I like your quote from "Winter Song". An excellent unreleased Springsteen song. Northeast Kingdom is such a great name, better than GC and thanks, yea looks to be a SE of you event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 closer to 4-7" for the eastern third of CT So what do u think about the RI/MA border? 5-9? seems high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 clinton will close for a few inches of pixie dust blown off the road by cars? I think they will have a delay, this snow will be long gone by lunch time and should be very, very easy to remove. why not? Virtually the whole state had early dismissals 2 weeks ago when most places outside SW CT didn't see a flake before 4-5pm. If snow is still falling at 8am...schools will be closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Clinton Public schools...holiday Monday. Closed due to weather Tuesday. Full-day Wednesday. 1/2 day Thursday for a "professional" day. Likely closed Friday. Day and a half of school this week. Ridiculous. A year ago I could've cared less...amazing how that changes once your child enters Kindergarten. Still hoping for a slight trend at 0z. Right now only confident for the low end in coastal areas...say 3-4". Would like a smidge more QPF to be more comfortable with widespread 6" amounts. Inland places should be better off with better ratios. lol very funny! our kids will be in school in july at the rate we are going.I say if they are going to be out friday ,lets atleast get 4-8 out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hope it slows down a little...kind of tired of these overnight events. Bring back, oh bring back. Bring back my block to me, to me, oh bring back......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Bring back, oh bring back. Bring back my block to me, to me, oh bring back......... Uh huh.........did you take a gander at what the king is putting out next week I liked our -nao in flux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Bring back, oh bring back. Bring back my block to me, to me, oh bring back......... Removed the cot mention btw. You may be in a good position regardless on this one. --- Read Joe Lundbergs column. He has a general 3-6 over all of us, no mention of the foot for some but that may not have been intended for public disclosure/discussion who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Huge inside runner. Would not be good for our snowpack if it verifies Uh huh.........did you take a gander at what the king is putting out next week I liked our -nao in flux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Removed the cot mention btw. You may be in a good position regardless on this one. Yea any snow is good snow to me, sitting getting torched today though after yesterday's rain storm sucked. Thanks for the removal, we are cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 looks like middlesex and new london have best chances for watch and rest of southern conn get advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Uh huh.........did you take a gander at what the king is putting out next week I liked our -nao in flux Yes exactly why I want the block back, not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Clinton Public schools...holiday Monday. Closed due to weather Tuesday. Full-day Wednesday. 1/2 day Thursday for a "professional" day. Likely closed Friday. Day and a half of school this week. Ridiculous. A year ago I could've cared less...amazing how that changes once your child enters Kindergarten. Still hoping for a slight trend at 0z. Right now only confident for the low end in coastal areas...say 3-4". Would like a smidge more QPF to be more comfortable with widespread 6" amounts. Inland places should be better off with better ratios. Amazing! No kids for me yet, but at 25 I already feel like an old man who was forced into school despite heavy snow. That sounds about right (and fine) to me. I would love to keep on building that total. Not going to get greedy. It's tough to get those real high ratios, especially for me it seems sometimes, but it could be fun if we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Huge inside runner. Would not be good for our snowpack if it verifies We are due for something like that. If winter ended today in a massive torch, I wouldn't have any room to complain after the last three weeks we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yes exactly why I want the block back, not good. Yep, any storm right now that gets amplified and goes negative will have a better chance to cut west of us, I suppose thats what may give Fridays storm a chance to creep back closer to the coast, really threading needles in this pattern, but like in 95-96 if there was an outside chance it would snow, it sure as hell did........hope for the best, looking forward to some powder!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yea any snow is good snow to me, sitting getting torched today though after yesterday's rain storm sucked. Thanks for the removal, we are cool. Wasn't meaning the literal cot good catch and thanks for allowing me to remove/understanding. Yeah it's warm today but it is allowing the roads to clean up a bit here finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Huge inside runner. Would not be good for our snowpack if it verifies The 12Z Euro is ridden with bizarre depictions for that storm...I would not trust it at all...it freezes the southern disturbance over AR from 120 hours onward allowing the northern one to catch it and result in the crazy phase...also its surface low is about 200 miles too far north at 168 hours vs. where it should be if you look at 500mb....the GEM ensembles all indicate a scenario more with a big high over the NE as opposed to its Op run where the high was absent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That day 8 storm is not as warm as you guys are making it out to be..very similiar setup to what we just went thru yesterday with snow to ice to maybe rain. Why all the whining? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That day 8 storm is not as warm as you guys are making it out to be..very similiar setup to what we just went thru yesterday with snow to ice to maybe rain. Why all the whining? Yesterday's storm wasn't exactly a winner for many. 2 inches of slush followed by rain. Oh, and more rain. . . . But yeah, I guess if you like winter rain storms one shouldn't be whining. I'm looking forward to another one like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yesterday's storm wasn't exactly a winner for many. 2 inches of slush followed by rain. Oh, and more rain. . . . But yeah, I guess if you like winter rain storms one shouldn't be whining. I'm looking forward to another one like that. Don't forget...it never rains in Tolland.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 really don't like the mention by will that 12z upper air guidance really put a cap on our "bigger snow" talk. looks like this one has more room to shift toward a glancing blow but "should" hold steady with the Southern and E part of SNE getting 2-4 with possibly 6 s. coast and cape to plymouth. arguments? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That day 8 storm is not as warm as you guys are making it out to be..very similiar setup to what we just went thru yesterday with snow to ice to maybe rain. Why all the whining? True, Its out in la la land anyways right now, Who should even care at this point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Amazing! No kids for me yet, but at 25 I already feel like an old man who was forced into school despite heavy snow. That sounds about right (and fine) to me. I would love to keep on building that total. Not going to get greedy. It's tough to get those real high ratios, especially for me it seems sometimes, but it could be fun if we do. Naugatuck has been closed since last Wednesday! They will go to school (one would think) tomorrow with a potential day off Friday! That means 3 days in the last two weeks! My poor co-worker is going out of her mind, its a good think our company allows work from home and is understanding to this...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Srefs are disgusting... 1-3 is not worth it IMO Keeps all of the heavy precip off the SC coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Srefs are disgusting... 1-3 is not worth it IMO Keeps all of the heavy precip off the SC coast wow, those are terrible...wouldn't have thought they would go to that sol'n, it's more like a frontal passage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Srefs are disgusting... 1-3 is not worth it IMO Keeps all of the heavy precip off the SC coast Yup, they look pretty ugly. Looks odd though tat they present more spread than the 09z SREF's. Very broad SLP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confuzzled Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Naugatuck has been closed since last Wednesday! They will go to school (one would think) tomorrow with a potential day off Friday! That means 3 days in the last two weeks! My poor co-worker is going out of her mind, its a good think our company allows work from home and is understanding to this...... And one of those days featured a 2hr delay Waterbury is in the same boat as naugy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 nam is Not looking too good to start either, huge differences at 5h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 really don't like the mention by will that 12z upper air guidance really put a cap on our "bigger snow" talk. looks like this one has more room to shift toward a glancing blow but "should" hold steady with the Southern and E part of SNE getting 2-4 with possibly 6 s. coast and cape to plymouth. arguments? No arguments, agree with all that will said and Scott. It could still trend better too, but a conservative starting point is wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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