chris87 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This. I was hesitant to commit to attending this year given climo, and what it was like last time the annual meeting was there in January. It'll be a pleasant change of pace to have nice weather, and be distracted enough not to bother tracking all of these non-events. Yeah, I had to go regardless, and I like Seattle as a city (not necessarily in Jan.)...but I was pleasantly surprised when I checked the forecast yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Whatever the euro shows this far out must be thrown out. It needs to earn my trust again before I am willing to listen to anything it has to say. Until the Gfs shows something worth watching we need to talk about something else. the euro solution is weird as is so it's probably not right, but i would not necessarily weight the gfs over it at this pt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I've been in Israel the past month, but still had the urge to lurk onto this board and NWS at times. I come home Sunday.... maybe I'll get rewarded with a nice little snow Tuesday...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Oh yeah forgot one thing, Lakes Cutter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 t. tasselmeyer is going with snow on tues and wed. Interesting considering the banter on this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 t. tasselmeyer is going with snow on tues and wed. Interesting considering the banter on this board. calling for snow isnt that bold given what we see on models.. the amounts/size of storm is the real question. if we had not been burned by the euro several times this yr i'd like how things are looking on it and the gfs at this point at least as far as potential and surface placement. im somewhat optimistic i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 calling for snow isnt that bold given what we see on models.. the amounts/size of storm is the real question. if we had not been burned by the euro several times this yr i'd like how things are looking on it and the gfs at this point at least as far as potential and surface placement. im somewhat optimistic i think. Never without a stipulation. "i guess" "but meh" "i think" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Never without a stipulation. "i guess" "but meh" "i think" that's true and i'll try to work on that but honestly no one knows wtf is going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 the euro solution is weird as is so it's probably not right, but i would not necessarily weight the gfs over it at this pt. I agree but the euro has been unbelievably cruel this year with its fantasy storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Is it just me or is the first PSUHoffman storm dead and now we are tracking a new threat? Perhaps PSUHoffman2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 calling for snow isnt that bold given what we see on models.. the amounts/size of storm is the real question. if we had not been burned by the euro several times this yr i'd like how things are looking on it and the gfs at this point at least as far as potential and surface placement. im somewhat optimistic i think. Yeah, normally given the Euro solution and the GFS look at 114HR I'd feel pretty good. I was looking at some old posts from the big storms last year and the GFS was usually too south for a while before finally getting it and coming north. The Euro is due for a big win over its major rival, I suppose. I don't like this new stubborn GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Is it just me or is the first PSUHoffman storm dead and now we are tracking a new threat? Perhaps PSUHoffman2? You might be thinking of the DT or "NADS" storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 PV? Do you mean energy? Or shortwave? Or PVA or what? lol I don't think that thing's a polar vortex? He probably means PV (potential vorticity) max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Is it just me or is the first PSUHoffman storm dead and now we are tracking a new threat? Perhaps PSUHoffman2? it depends on the model i guess. it's the psuhoffman week of potential activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 He probably means PV (potential vorticity) max. Yes I did! Sorry I'm new at this trying to learn as I go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Yeah, normally given the Euro solution and the GFS look at 114HR I'd feel pretty good. I was looking at some old posts from the big storms last year and the GFS was usually too south for a while before finally getting it and coming north. The Euro is due for a big win over its major rival, I suppose. I don't like this new stubborn GFS. the euro doesnt have much continuity going for it other than spitting out at least a few inches every run of late. the 18z gfs is a good deal closer than previous to being a bigger storm tho. they might trend toward eachother then away from eachother before the storm swings around us and clobbers sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Is it just me or is the first PSUHoffman storm dead and now we are tracking a new threat? Perhaps PSUHoffman2? Yes the Euro/Nogaps slow the first storm down a lot. If it comes out to ealy it ruins the setup, so snowier solutions will be slower. Was 5 days away yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 the euro doesnt have much continuity going for it other than spitting out at least a few inches every run of late. the 18z gfs is a good deal closer than previous to being a bigger storm tho. they might trend toward eachother then away from eachother before the storm swings around us and clobbers sne. If history is any indication, they might switch places in the next few cycles. That is always fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 the euro doesnt have much continuity going for it other than spitting out at least a few inches every run of late. the 18z gfs is a good deal closer than previous to being a bigger storm tho. they might trend toward eachother then away from eachother before the storm swings around us and clobbers sne. The euro solution looks weird so it probably isn't right but the gfs isn't so far from being a decent solution so it's still an interesting set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The poor euro has just been terrible this winter. This us now tues through wed time right? I need to get off this phone and find a computer to use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 He probably means PV (potential vorticity) max. Jason by the way where do you live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The poor euro has just been terrible this winter. This us now tues through wed time right? I need to get off this phone and find a computer to use. for us, yes further north and east, its been pretty good whatever it takes to give us the short end this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Jason by the way where do you live? he's all the way in MN I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 he's all the way in MN I think Oh ok, because i always see him in the east coast threads but he does not have his location. I guess he just loves snowstorms. He is sure in the right place for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 that's true and i'll try to work on that but honestly no one knows wtf is going to happen You wouldn't be Ian without that stuff though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It feels good to have Ian and psuhoffman on our side for this one. Those two are usually right when it isn't going to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 The euro solution looks weird so it probably isn't right but the gfs isn't so far from being a decent solution so it's still an interesting set up. All 20+ i storms in DC are wierd. Thats why I go lakes cutter or OTS on everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 he's all the way in MN I think Oh ok, because i always see him in the east coast threads but he does not have his location. I guess he just loves snowstorms. He is sure in the right place for them. Yes sir, Northern Plains. I just like to track weather everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 for us, yes further north and east, its been pretty good whatever it takes to give us the short end this year Shoot you do have a point there. It's been great once you leave the no-snow zone. Just spoke to my parents who live in central NJ. "HEY! You getting snow tonight! 3-6" here!" "No Dad...snow anus continues..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Is it just me or is the first PSUHoffman storm dead and now we are tracking a new threat? Perhaps PSUHoffman2? Electric Boogaloo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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