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The Psuhoffman Storm


Ji

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In the Millersville/Severna Park area here, so close to you. I think if our high stays in the 33-34 range, that's a very good sign for us. Some of the text forecasts we are seeing I think are overestimating the mix, but maybe there's a warm tongue somewhere that we aren't seeing? Doubtful, but just a possible explanation. Still think we see 4-8 inches in general in the area.

new SREFs are fine

it does bring the highest axis south a bit, but won't effect BWI/DCA metro areas

temps crash after 1PM

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If the rain/snow issue is what's keeping our totals down here in the DC area, I have to say... I can't see how, with the rates we're talking about later (and with snow already covering the grass) we have trouble with snow sticking. Our high today is 34. With what's on the ground I'm sure if we get some decent rates, which looks very likely, we will have no trouble surpassing the 2-4 inch accumulations LWX is calling for, as well as dropping two degrees to get to the freezing mark.

I can see if all we had this morning was wet ground and grassy areas, but that's not the case.

Exactly. But, these LWX guys are experienced pros. They must be basing their opinions on SOMETHING. I just can't figure out what is is. Do they have access to models/data that nobody else does? Is there some colorable theory how one could examine the models we're all looking at and reject their bottom line conclusions (perhaps based on a perceived bias/flaw in the model runs)?

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Less than one hour after bumping down to "around an inch", NWS bumps it back up for Anne Arundel:

Tonight Snow and rain in the evening...then snow likely after midnight. Total snow accumulation of 4 to 6 inches. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

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